Good Friday afternoon, gang. Snow showers and flurries continue to wind down and now it’s time to fully focus on our Super Bowl Sunday storm system. We’re just now getting within the 48 hour window I’ve been yapping about all week. This is the time to really concentrate on model trends.

The first set of runs during this window are showing a low tracking right over Kentucky. Here’s the GFS…


That is not a very strong low at all and the track of weaker lows have a tendency to change because it doesn’t take much to push them around. As is, the above model shows snow to rain to snow…


That would take the best snows north of the Ohio River, but would still bring the risk of accumulating snows to the entire state.

The Canadian Model has adopted the Kentucky low scenario…


That alsoย features a weak low thatย would produce similar results to what the GFS shows.

It’s worth repeating… the track of those weak lows will often show up differently than modeled as we get closer. Tonight’s runs should really shed much more light on that possibility.

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.