Good evening, folks. Big changes are pushing into the region and this could cause some travel issues for Thursday morning. This continues to look like the beginning of a very harsh period of winter weather around here and across much of the country.
Our front swings in tonight with snow showers and squalls developing early Thursday. Much of central and eastern Kentucky could pick up a coating to 1″ of wind blown snow. Locally higher amounts are possible for areas getting in on repeat intense squalls. These will reduce visibility and cause slick roads early tomorrow.
I’m still watching for the potential for a band of light snow and flurries by Friday afternoon and evening. That continues to show up on the NAM future radar…
The next arctic front rolls in for Valentine’s Day and will likely include much better coverage of snow showers and squalls. That will be directly behind the arctic front and travel issues are likely once again as winds blow the snow around.
Temps may rise just ahead of that front and then TANK as soon as the boundary slips trough. Wind gusts of 30-35mph will be possible and that means wind chills going below zero Saturday evening into Sunday morning.
Basically, I have no changes on how the next 4 days of weather plays out.
What happens beyond that continues to get my attention. I posted several days ago that the pattern for next week looked primed to produce a winter storm from the midwest into the Ohio Valley. This potential is still showing up on the various computer forecast models. The European Model snowfall forecast for the next week…
The late afternoon run of the GFS has a similar tone…
The European Ensembles for the same time…
If you really want to have some fun with the models, let’s expand the European Ensembles to show what it thinks will fall over the next two weeks…
The theme on the model is for busy, busy winter period from the Rockies due eastward to the Mid Atlantic States.
Your friendly disclaimer: take the model forecasts with a grain of salt from this far out. 🙂
I will have a full update later tonight. Until then… track away…
Take care.
Trying not get excited. The models have disappointed so many times this winter. It’s like a bad relationship…they keep breaking my heart and I keep crawling back. I swear if this doesn’t materialize I’m done for good. See ya winter…I’m moving on!!
18z GFS model run looks very impressive for Monday and Tuesday so far im liking the waffles lol
Models only seem to be waddling a little north and then a little south. Hopefully that trend continues. Spent the last four years at school in SE KY and missed out on numerous snows back home in louisville. Now I’m finally back in Louisville and I’m still missing the snow! The whole state deserves a foot.
What the heck, I’m getting excited! Why not? Maybe because I’m a baby boomer who grew up in Ohio, I had/have not given up on winter! I’ve been wishing for a snow day from work for 3+ years and I believe it will happen! Kroger, here I come (in the next couple days 🙂
https://kyweathercenter.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Euro-Snow2.png
Notice the lone blue area in that model map of KY.
Um, Andy Rose, you uh, wouldn’t happen to live in that area would you? (*please say no*).
Super close
Frankfort area has had about 8 inches or so of snow this winter so one good one will put us over normal, lets hope we get something out of these freezing temps?
Crazy! 8 inches? Richmond has had 2, perhaps 2.5. Some folks not far away have had 0. Oh, what a difference a few miles makes…
Those maps are so beautiful. They just need to chill where they are and forget the waffling.
Thanks Chris…I see you are putting out a little Valentine “eye candy” for us poor snow starved weather weenies! Right now, I am just concerned with getting through the next four days. Have a great evening everyone. Sounds like the next few days are going to be for lovers (lots of snuggling.) 😉
00Z NAM initialized…let’s see what unfolds…
This thing is still 5 days away. That’s an eternity.
I saved $450 with my insurance from Geico and slept in a Holiday Inn Express. Even with this obvious wealth of wisdom, I will abstain from weather speculation at this time.
That said, I can see the Goatrider in the distance and he is riding the Rolocoaster. Yeeeehaaaah!