Good Thursday everyone and thanks for checking out the blog. 9 is the magic number across the state for a couple of reasons. First is the lack of temps that start with the number so far this summer. The more impressive stat is that Wednesday made it 9 in a row of below normal temps! Now that is impressive to do in the heart of summer, folks.
We are going into a pattern for the next few days that will bring us more normal summertime temps. Just like several time before… when true summer tries to move in, it gets beaten back to the west. That will likely happen this go around too.
Wednesday featured some of the scattered showers and storms we had been talking about for a while. Today should feature some more scattered showers and thunderstorms and that will act to hold temps in check yet again. Track the rains here…
Some locally heavy downpours will be possible in the SCATTERED stuff that we see. Temps will range from the low to mid 80s with a touch more humidity.
Friday looks to be the warmest day as temps make a run into the upper 80s. Someone can see a 90 out of this. Friday’s atmosphere may also produce a stray storm.
A cold front moves in over the weekend with an increase in showers and thunderstorms later Saturday into Sunday. Some of these may be strong and produce some heavy rains. The SPC has the area under a risk for severe storms during this time…
Saturday’s highs will be totally up to the amount of clouds we see. More sun and it’s upper 80s to near 90 and more clouds means low to mid 80s.
Sunday may see temps struggling to get to 80 with showers and storms around.
I mentioned with my last post about us being in the squeeze play early next week that could lead to some heavy rains and thunderstorms. The models are picking up on that for Monday. Here is the Canadian Model…
Once the showers and storms move out… assuming they do… the heat may make one more run at us before getting smacked down yet again. The models continue to be gung ho on another big trough digging in across the eastern US by the end of next week that could bring more rains and much cooler temps to a whole lot of people. Here is the Canadian Model for next Friday…
Oh the fun of forecasting! hahaha.
Have a great Thursday and take care everyone.
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After the challenge of forecasting upslope snow all winter in WV I was hoping for a break during the summer. So much for that, this is the most active summer I can remember in quite some time.
Thanks Chris for the updates..Hey gang just wanted you all to know that my VERY PRECIOUS Grandmother passed away on Tuesday and I’m having a very,very hard time with it so just keep us in your thoughts and prayers…Thanks
I not only miss Chris at WKYT but also Kevin Lighty he was a pretty good on air talent also
bring back Chris and Kevin haha
NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El Niño, a climate phenomenon with a significant influence on global weather, ocean conditions and marine fisheries. El Niño, the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters, occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months.
NOAA expects this El Niño to continue developing during the next several months, with further strengthening possible. The event is expected to last through winter 2009-10.
“Advanced climate science allows us to alert industries, governments and emergency managers about the weather conditions El Niño may bring so these can be factored into decision-making and ultimately protect life, property and the economy,” said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator.
El Niño’s impacts depend on a variety of factors, such as intensity and extent of ocean warming, and the time of year. Contrary to popular belief, not all effects are negative. On the positive side, El Niño can help to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity. In the United States, it typically brings beneficial winter precipitation to the arid Southwest, less wintry weather across the North, and a reduced risk of Florida wildfires.
El Niño’s negative impacts have included damaging winter storms in California and increased storminess across the southern United States. Some past El Niños have also produced severe flooding and mudslides in Central and South America, and drought in Indonesia.
An El Niño event may significantly diminish ocean productivity off the west coast by limiting weather patterns that cause upwelling, or nutrient circulation in the ocean. These nutrients are the foundation of a vibrant marine food web and could negatively impact food sources for several types of birds, fish and marine mammals.
In its monthly El Niño diagnostics discussion today, scientists with the NOAA National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center noted weekly eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures were at least 1.0 degree C above average at the end of June. The most recent El Niño occurred in 2006.
El Niño includes weaker trade winds, increased rainfall over the central tropical Pacific, and decreased rainfall in Indonesia. These vast rainfall patterns in the tropics are responsible for many of El Niño’s global effects on weather patterns.
NOAA will continue to monitor the rapidly evolving situation in the tropical Pacific, and will provide more detailed information on possible Atlantic hurricane impacts in its updated Seasonal Hurricane Outlook scheduled for release on August 6, 2009.
NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.
Thanks for this
Well, Chris, while I am liking the not so HOT temps, I have to say that it really has not felt a lot like summer, either. Are you thinking that this will go on even into August, or will we then see the hot temps, (just about the time the kids all go back to school,).
WE are close to the 9 temps right now. We are sitting at 88 since the full sunshine came out about an hour ago. And yes, the humidity is up a bit, too, but it is not unbearable.
So, we get throught the work week dry, and have the rain on the weekends….oh well, at least we are getting rain this summer. That is more than we cansay about the pat two! Have a great afternoon, everyone, and thanks for the update, Chris!
Looks like Parts of Knox is fixin to get a storm
I had about 1.25 inches of rain in 45 min from that storm cooled things off
Yep…this was mentioned as going out to the press today during a conference call. Not all that great for us though if we have a decent El Nino. Near normal temps and below normal precipitation.
Of course, this is the average of all events and takes in those anomalous events that occur. I won’t be buying any of the cold/snowy forecasts for this area for the winter of 2010.
Hi MJ!
Good to hear from you again. I hope things are going well for you my friend.
The whole el nino thing perplexes me as far as how it is viewed by most. Most assume el nino is bad for the eastern us. I am not among those… especially if it is weak to low end moderate. That is where I think this one ends up to be honest. Looks to me like this will be more of a nino 3.4 based event as opposed to a Nino 1+2 event. That is good news in my view as our worst winters in el nino are east based events.
As always… good hearing from you and take care.
Tim, I’m so sorry to hear about your Grandmother. I will say a extra special prayer for you. You and your family will be in my thoughts and prayers.
Hello, guy! I am utterly acclaim your way of thinking and everything joined.