Good Monday folks. I hope you guys had a great weekend! It was a half and half weekend with Saturday a mainly dry day and Sunday featuring more of the same. The trend of the week is for more rounds of showers and thunderstorms to move across the state.
We are likely to see at least some scattered stuff out there today. Any storm that goes up and be strong or briefly go severe. More locally heavy rains will be likely as well. The best threat for widespread severe weather SHOULD be just to our south and west today. Here is the all knowing severe weather map from the Storm Prediction Center…
We run the risk for more widespread severe weather coming for Tuesday and Wednesday as the storms come at us in waves. Not only is it the severe threat there… but the heavy rain and flood threat will also be increasing. Given how wet the ground is… we can’t take very much more rain!
Speaking of rain… you can track today’s storms here…
The overall pattern this week looks like this…
One monster heat ridge is located across the Lonestar sate of Texas and is going to try to nose in here later in the week. On the cusp of the heat is where we will be finding the rounds of thunderstorms. That will put us right in the middle of the “ring of fire” pattern over the next several days. At the same time the heat is building in the southern plains… a couple of chilly dips in the jet stream are located over the northern states.
The trough digging into the upper midwest later this week will work in here by the upcoming weekend and laying a smackdown on the heat ridge. That late week and weekend system has severe weather outbreak written all over it for a lot of states!
I mentioned the heat trying to surge in here. We have about a 48 hour window for some hot and humid weather to really take hold around here. That comes Thursday and Friday when temps will TRY to heat up toward 90. TRY is the key word here as the wet ground will have a say.
As quickly as the heat TRIES to get in… the cool comes and kicks it out as we go right back into a normal to cooler than normal pattern for much of the central and eastern US. You know… there is still a ton of chilly air around in Canada! It apparently likes the good old US of A… aye! 
I will have updates as needed. Have a great Monday and take care.
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All our relatives live in Texas and they are really suffering under that heat ridge. I checked my mom’s conditions yesterday and it was 95 degrees with 90% humidity. That “dry heat” does not exist in south Texas.
Cooler than normal is fine by me!
Chris, I was at Kroger yesterday and saw the display of weather radios. The big photo on the display is of you with T.G. and Lauren. It took me a few seconds to figure out that something was amiss. We still miss you! Todd is very good, though. I like hearing his tidbits about what to look for in the night sky. He must have an interest in astronomy.
No Derechos this week, I hope???
Is it just me, or is all that activity in MO moving due-east? That stuff is going to have to take a serious right turn if it’s going to miss LEX like SPC says..
Well, if you are looking at composite reflectivity then yes…it appears to be going west to east. However…much of the deeper convection is moving SE. Let’s also be clear that SPC never said it would miss LEX…let alone KY. We are in a general thunderstorm risk. The slight risk for any thing is across West KY. Of course, this is a forecast and subject to revision. None of the models have a good handle on this right now.
Ill ask this question again, since we have a new post—
JavaJoe wrote:
a question for my fellow lexingtonians- well, those of you that have NOAA radios- did your alarm sound today for the t-storm warning. I wasn’t home, but friends are telling me that their’s did not.
I guess I just feel that the current outline for the Slight Risk just doesn’t go far enough to the north and east. I think this afternoon we’re going to see some big storms outside of that Slight Risk zone..
Our weather radio never went off once yesterday. We live in Estill County and had warnings until last night. I wouldn’t have known we were in severe storms if it hadn’t been for this blog! Thanks goes to our friendly weather dude!
I agree with you WXman it looks like it is headed our way.
Ours didn’t go off yesterday at all. Don’t know about today. I’ll have to wait till I get home.
Ok…there is now a 100% chance of rain in Lexington.
Storms will be moving into the western Bluegrass counties soon…and they are strengthening as they do…
MJ- can you look into this? I keep hearing from people that their radios did not sound for the T-storm warning yesterday… Thanks for any info you can provide!
My weather radio received the warning signal yesterday in Lexington.
Are weather radio alerts still county-wide even if a part of a county receives a warning? For example, if I live in southern Fayette and a warning is issues for northern Fayette, my weather radio should still sound an alert, correct?
Bulan in Perry County had a flash flood overnight or early morning. Some houses were under water. I didn’t even hear it raining here north of Hazard. I guess I slept through it.
I totally agree. Thanks Chris! I come here to see what the weather’s going to bring us, too. I should have looked last night before going to bed.
I live here in Richmond and my Weather Radio went off like 15 time’s yesterday for the Watch and all of the Severe thunder storm Warnings. However it didnt go off for the Tornado warning….
But it depends on what kinda radio you have. If you have the Midland Digital All Hazards NOAA Weather Radio with the S.A.M.E technology, It is the number 1 selling weather radio in the Unites States. This radio is state of the art and gives you and your family the vital protection you need during severe weather. The Midland Digital All Hazards NOAA Weather Radio has a number of special features.
First and foremost this radio has a tone alarm. This is really a big key to the whole equation and radios without this feature are unable to alert you during severe weather. When the radio is in alert mode, it is on but silent, listening for the special tone that the National Weather Service puts out when a watch or warning is issued that will activate the alarm on your radio. This will serve as an “alarm clock” for you relative to severe weather, especially when you are sleeping or away from your television. Once you receive the alarm, you can listen to the radio message and tune into the 27 First Alert Weather Center for the latest information.
The big knock on weather radios until a few years ago was that they alerted everyone in a multi-county area so the alerts would go on and on for every county affected until the severe weather threat had passed. If you were in Lexington for example, and there was a warning just to the east of Lexington in Clark County, the alarm would sound even though it didn’t affect you in Lexington. So what did many people do? Simply shut the radios off so that they wouldn’t be disturbed by every alert…especially at night! This is a dangerous and potentially life threatening decision for anyone to make. That’s the beauty of the S.A.M.E. technology. S.A.M.E. stands for Specific Area Message Encoding and it allows the user to program their radio so that they get alerts for a SPECIFIC county or counties! For example if you want Fayette County watches and warnings only, you are able to program this radio to accomplish that. You can program your radio with as many or as few counties as you like.
The Midland Digital All Hazards NOAA Weather Radio has a battery backup. This is critical in case of a loss of power, which can happen when severe weather occurs. Since this radio is an All Hazards unit, it will alert you to all other public alerts and emergencies, such as Amber Alerts and Civil Emergency Messages, just to name a few.
Pass the word along to family and friends that these radios are available now at Lexington area Kroger stores. It is critical to have a Midland Digital All Hazards NOAA Weather Radio in your home or business before severe weather strikes! Just like a smoke detector against fires, this radio is the best and cheapest life insurance policy you can buy for yourself and your family against severe weather.
… EF1 tornado causes tree damage in Morgan County…
A National Weather Service storm survey concluded that a tornado
touched down in Morgan County yesterday… at approximately 655 PM
June 14th about 1.5 miles northwest of relief. The path length was
1.5 miles long… with a width of 75 yards. The twister lifted
shortly after crossing into Johnson County along Highway 1614. The
tornado… with winds of 90-95 mph… was rated an EF1 on the Enhanced
Fujita scale. Dozens of trees were damaged with numerous trees
snapped or uprooted.
As I understand it, yes. Since the SAME code is county based, your radio should still sound the alert, even if the warning is for another part of the county.