Good Friday morning gang. I will keep this one rather brief since we will likely have several updates through the day as we are facing at least two round of heavy rain producing showers and thunderstorms.
The first line is rolling into the area as of this writing and has been producing quite a bit of severe weather to our west. The big question is how far east will the damaging winds stay with this round? That’s something we will be following closely this morning. I have set this blog post up as you one stop shop for tracking these storms…
Here is the latest severe weather threat map from the Storm Prediction Center …
Here is a map showing the current severe weather watches…
Once this round of storms moves through the area today and does whatever it does… we will likely see some breaks in the clouds later this afternoon with more scattered storms going up. Then we are likely to see another huge cluster of thunderstorms develop to our west and roll in here this evening into the overnight.
Given the saturated ground around here… there is an elevated risk for flash flooding today into Saturday across most of our region so please be on guard during this time. Severe weather is also a strong possibility through Tonight so this adds another element to our situation.
I will be updating the blog as needed and as I can. Please follow my TWITTER comments in the top right hand section of this blog as I will be posting warnings and any quick comments there as well. You can sign up to follow me on twitter and receive my comments on your cell phone.
Stay tuned and take care.
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Chris,
I will say I am a bit surprised at how thunderstorms have started to develop so far out ahead of the front, apparently just north of Richmond and then on an eastward line.
In addition, I’m a bit surprised to see how the northward end of these storms seemed to magically move eastward once they hit the Ohio River. Mind you, I’m glad they did so, but perhaps I’m not as in tune to the upper air maps as I thought, since the Upward Propagation Vector maps had basically showed this area to be affected by northwesterly influencing thunderstorms. The big supercell I was tracking earlier seems to be on its own “individual” course, moving southeast, and heading towards Bowling Green, but the main line has suddenly come into alignment with what seems like a “clipper” type configuration, given that once it rounds southern Indiana, it decides to move more easterly….
Hmmm..
Can anyone else say rain, rain, rain? And of course the occasional lightning strike? This cluster here will only provide very isolated severe weather, outside of the supercell in western Kentucky. This is more likely a heavy rain threat over the next 10 hours. Additional thundershowers are likely to break out over central and east-central Kentucky before sunrise. (Basically in areas like Winchester, Somerset, and Ashland, for points of reference.)
Try to stay dry, folks, if you can!
All thoughts aside, I hope everyone enjoys their dosage of rain this morning, because it’s going to be very helpful to their gardens and planting grounds later on in the year. 😉
=Aaron=
I don’t care much for the flooding rains Eastern KY has had, and I certainly pray for anyone who is having flooding problems. But we took a chance & planted our garden early this year in Central KY – before this monsoon season. It’s been very happy with the rain we’ve gotten here.
yeah i’m sure people will enjoy the flooding in the the Knox Whitley Estil area
I would say there is a good chance that If anybody in our area had planted already its probably washed away and its to wet to plant or plow atm need a bout a week of dry weather maybe 2
2-3 inches of rain by Saturday AM? We have school on Saturday due to the flooding on Monday. HMMM!
Late garden here. Plants in pots just waiting for something besides a muddy and cold new home. Everyone stay safe.
Wow Saturday school ?
What County ?
They are giving 1-2 inches tonite for Knox
The NAM model is rocking right now and is (as usual) nailing these waves rolling in front the WNW. Buckle up..it’s not over yet!
thankful to have more lightening and thunder than rain so far
Martin County has school tomorrow.
Rain has ended for now at my house ended up with just around half an inch
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/mixedcomposite.asp?region=b3&size=2x&type=loop
Happy to see the sun this morning…although I know it is only the calm before the storm.
Todays song comes to us from one of my favorite bands Brave Saint Saturn. “And the Sun Still Rises.”
If anybody wants to see what a textbook Derecho looks like….there you go. Last one of those I remember in Kentucky was June of 2005 I believe..
Morning all. Gort rolled out of bed when the weather radio went off this morning with a severe t-storm watch for my daughter’s area. Right after we hit the silence button, we got a HUGE clap of thunder, and the game was on…not too bad, but the lightning was REALLY pirt, and the thunder loud. Wound up with a severe t-storm warning ourselves. but by that time, the worst of it was gone.
I know we are in for more, but I am going to enjoy the sunshine while we have it this morning. It is very nice out now. I know we are talking about later with the storms. I have a question…evening and overnight, or evening and late evening….
Oh what a suprise!!! yet ANOTHER FLASH FLOOD WATCH!!!!!
UGH!!!…MORE RAIN!!!..my garden looks like the korean rice fields…my corn and beans are up about 2″ sitting in 2″ of water!!… gardens this yr. are gonna have the “ROT” fever, if this mess dont let up…
I got close to 3/4″ of rain this morning in just about 2hrs. time or less!!..with thunder that was rockin the house. Then when you look at the radar, its OH NO NOT AGAIN!! YEP..here it comes again. its rollin through Missouri and Northern Arkansas now headed our way…OH JOY!!
GONNA HAVE TO GET THE ARK! OUTTA STORAGE LOOKS LIKE….
That MCS across Missouri is booking folks. Look out this afternoon across KY, I think damaging winds are going to be a possibility today.
And based on it’s current trajectory I think the bulk of the action will be mainly south of I-64. SPC says this line of storms is moving at over 60 knots and has wind gusts over 80, that’s a full 30 knots over the severe warning criteria so that is dangerous wind. Keep an eye to the skies today.
Looks to me like it’s going to only really affect Tennessee.
I think the possibility is there for the line to extend northward as it goes. There is a nice bit of clearing between the two MCS’s, so if it generates enough instability, it could cause our system out west to expand as it moves eastward. Just my opinion though. I’ve been wrong plenty of times in the past.
Torando Watch now out for western parts of the state.
Gonna be an active afternoon and evening, im afraid for southern ky and Tn.
Already had several unconfirmed reports of tornadoes in Missouri and 1 conf. in Springfield Missouri that did damage to the local hospital!!.. that cluster is really truckin it ESE too. so I would say its gonna get crazy here in ky. later on..esp. with the sunshine in full force at the moment..
I’ve never seen the SPC say winds this fast in a watch box before.
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
MUCH OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 920 AM UNTIL 400
PM CDT.
TORNADOES…HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 105 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
105 mph wind gusts in Thunderstorms… Holy Crap!
LOL we had Storms before the sun guess this is an extended time out for us down here
A Who ?
yeah Skies cleared here within 10 min of rain ending and winds gusting just a bit if not for the swamp outside it would be great time to be outside right now
SHANE
Will it be that bad when it gets here because it looks like the storms will be here about the same time the kiddos get off the bus and i dun want a Feb repeat my wallet can’t handle it
Andy if this line holds it’s current speed and Path I think I will hit the I-75 Corridor roughly between 3:00-4:00 PM. I don’t expect this line to weaken much right now if it’s bright and sunny in south central KY right now.
A Who ?
I’m keeping an eye on this very closely as well southern ky as of now will get the worst but tornadic storms over ill moving due east along 1-64. only expecting this to get stronger as the day goes on.
I am not liking the looks of that massive storm one bit.
Looks like the softball tournemnt my girls are going to be in tonight and tomorrow will be cancelled…..
Western KY is about to get ROCKED. Make no mistake about it…there is going to be a lot of damage down there.
RUC brings complex overhead by 7pm.
Wow. That my friends is what we call a land hurricane hitting Western KY.
Exactly. It really is just that…and it’s not weakening at all. Derechos can travel a LONG way..
holy cow- is that a freaking eye-wall forming in this thing??!!
Folks, this is looking plain out-right “NASSY”(as my nearly 3 yr. old, Harper, would put it..lol)
I’m thinking mainly torrential downpours and lots of bad lightning w/this first round,but the main MESS is coming in behind it (now in S. IL), where the winds have been anywhere from 70-103 mph in the past hour or so. If we get any wind damage,it will be out of THAT?!
Anyone recall the Derecho that went thru KY. in July ’04? That was pretty scary, for me. Hopefully we can escape anything like that this time?!