Good Wednesday everyone and thanks for dropping by the blog. We have a big time temp swing ahead of us over the course of the Labor Day Weekend. One that takes us from scorching hot to the feel of fall in a matter of a couple of days.
Let’s start with where we are now and that is with a weak disturbance crossing the region today. This will touch off a widely scattered shower or thunderstorm. Much of the region will stay on the dry side and you can track this isolated stuff with the regional radar…
Temps today will hit the mid to upper 80s for central and eastern Kentucky as low 90s kick in across the west. Those low 90s are a sign of things to come as the heat makes an early September surge at us into the start of the weekend.
Thursday will see highs pushing 90 in the central and east with low to mid 90s in the west. There can still be a scattered shower or storm… mainly across the east.
Friday continues to look hot as we boost temps up into the low 90s for many with mid and even an upper 90 in the west. This will have some sizzle to it!
Our Labor Day weekend will see a cold front slowly working in from the northwest. This might touch off a scattered shower or storm at any point Friday into Saturday, but the majority of action comes Sunday and Monday. This is when showers and storms become more widespread and a few of these storms later Sunday may try to kick it up a notch.
This front will have one nice temp gradient along it as a push of autumn air meets up with summer. The GFS Ensemble Temp Anomalies really show how we end the long weekend much different than how we start it…
That is likely to be 90s to start and 70s to end it on Labor Day. As the cooler air moves in… it is likely to hang tough into much of next week…
We are going to have to keep an eye on a couple of systems in the tropics. One is a tropical system I expect to form in the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days and the other is Katia out in the Atlantic. You can see both of these systems here…
Katia is a long way from POSSIBLY impacting the weather across the eastern part of the country. The gulf system should become Lee and is a real threat to the gulf states into the coming weekend or early next week. Depending on how everything plays out… it is not out of the question we could draw up some moisture from this bad boy before all is said and done.
It should take the models a few days to figure out how all that gulf business plays out.
For the Kentucky Wildcat and Western Kentucky Hilltopper Fans heading to Nashville for Thursday night’s season opener… the weather looks toasty. Daytime highs should top out in the 90-95 degree range with a kickoff temp around 85.
Have a great Wednesday and take care.
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When there are more than 1 tropical systems actively in the Atlantic or Gulf, can they hinder each other or do you ever see them feed off of one another.
I read on Accuweather that the storm forming in the Gulf will probaly come into the TN Valley and that will keep Katia at sea. I think they said that it is almost impossible to have two storms hit at the same time. Who knows though? Lol.
JAKE
Thanks, Chris. Hope this comment goes. I have been having problems getting anything to post. But I am still reading you everyday, Chris!
Thanks for all you do here on the blog. It is appreciated more than you know.
La Nina watch issued by NOAA. Possibility La Nina will develop during the fall.
Sounds like AccuWx is buying the GFS solutions. Though, to me the Euro solution seems more reasonable…kinda reminds me of Alicia from 1983. Much of the data at first glance does support Katia being out to see. However, notice how the model trends now are bending back to the west. The first front next week could pass her up, but the more substantial front could kick her out to see by the 10th. She could still be a threat to a part of the east coast if she is too far south and the first front passes her to the north.