Good Sunday to everyone! The title of this blog is probably what many of you are asking when it comes to the weather across Kentucky. While we have had some rounds of showers and a few thunderstorms… the heavy rain has been a no show so far. Well… our Sunday and Sunday night will try to change that up a bit.

A couple of things happened to keep the heaviest rains out of here so far. First was that our front made it farther to the south than it looked like it would a few days ago thus bringing in a drier and cooler northerly wind flow. We also had the big time storms roaming across the deep south interrupting the northward transport of moisture into our region.

Low pressure is developing along our stalled out front and will bring it back to the north a bit by Tonight. This will mean rain and some thunderstorms will overspread the region from southwest to northeast. Rains will become heavy at times as well. Just how far north will the heaviest rains get? That is where we find the models battling it out with one another. The NAM is farthest north and west with the heavy rains and the GFS is farther south…


The past few days would lead to the GFS probably having a better handle on the heavy rain swath, but I am concerned it is suffering from some convective feedback issues. Regardless of which model turns out right… our Sunday will turn wetter as we go through the day into tonight and you can track the progress of the rains here…



The rains will begin to taper off from west to east on Monday as temps likely run below normal once again. Much of next week will see temps returning to normal but with an active pattern continuing… the chance for showers and storms will be with us every couple of days.

That’s all I have for you guys right now. I will watch the heavy rain threat and have updates as needed. Until next time… take care.