Good Saturday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are getting ready to increase as we continue to tap a tropical connection. These storms will likely ratchet up a bit as we head into next week, and that could lead to some heavy rainfall concerns.

Our moisture supply continues to come from the western Gulf Of Mexico. A few of the models continue to indicate some kind of tropical system developing in that area. The GFS and Canadian Models both bring whatever is there our way for the middle and end of next week.

Here’s the Canadian model…

Canadian

The GFS rainfall forecast shows a similar path of tropical moisture…

GFS Rain

The longer range is advertising some changes with a deep trough showing up across the central and eastern part of the country. This happens as a ridge gos up along the west coast into Alaska…

GFS 3That’s basically the pattern we spent much of the past few years in.

Back to the weather of today… storms will be around with more seasonal heat and humidity. Any storm that goes up will have a lot of lightning and very heavy rains. Let’s do some tracking…

 

 

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current watches

Current Watches

Possible watch areas Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.