Good Saturday everyone! The threat for severe weather will be with us later this afternoon into the evening hours across much of the state. I will have numerous updates through the day so I will just hit the high points with this update.
Showers and some thunderstorms will roll northeastward across our region today as a warm front swings through. You can track the rains with the radar…
Some locally heavy rains will again be noted with this first batch. Skies will try to clear out once the warm front is to our north. Low pressure will be sliding to our west during the day and will drag a front through here later tonight. Ahead of this front… warm, unstable air will flow into the area leading to the likely development of a squall line of storms. Some could be severe. Here is the latest information from the Storm Prediction Center…
I will have updates as needed through the day and will go live with the blog if need be. I will chat with you later… take care.
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Well, unless there’s some off-the-wall unprecedented display of physics, most severe weather today will definitely be south of Lexington. Take a look at the arch of moisture to our west, and then all that moisture to our south. Severe storms to the northeast of a main batch of rain? Maybe for northern states like Minnesota where the temperature contrast is greater, but I don’t personally think the severe weather threat today will even warrant a watch.
BUT……I have been wrong before, and this is an unusual type of setup for us…..(I’ve watched many a map in my time,) so we’ll still want to keep tuned in.
Could it be a repeat of the mother’s day outbreak, except further south (maybe eastern Tennessee?) hmm….
Perhaps I should post a map of where I think the highest threat for severe weather exists today…….
Who knows, maybe this will be completely wrong….I dont think so though.
http://i263.photobucket.com/albums/ii147/aaron5951/satmarch282009.jpg
Will try one more time, if this doesn’t work oh well, the forecasters can do it.
I’ve uploaded it yet the post still shows blank….*Sigh*
http://i263.photobucket.com/albums/ii147/aaron5951/satmarch282009.jpg
Alright, delete the other posts. I’ll just do it in text.
The greatest area at risk for severe weather today (in Kentucky) exists from Louisville southward towards London, back west towards Bowling Green and then just east of Owensboro. Gather your points on the map and if you fall in between those areas, you are in the area that could see stronger storms today.
=Aaron=
all of u interested in storm spotting ive got a nice chat for u all and its got alot of people in it even some tv weather forecasters
http://www.spotterchat.com and get the update version also if u want to u can put google talk, msn, yahoo messenger into that messenger service Hope to see u there
Thanks a lot Aaron C! Put me right in the line of fire 🙂 I really love a good thunderstorm but, severe weather really worries me. I hope it will all stay to the south! Should I bring up the dreaded coach question this morning?
Thank you Chris, and thank you Aaron C, I feel you are right on the majority of severe; however, I think some of the longer lived storms will affect central and eastern Ky. But my hope is that the instability and shear just do not get ramped up.
I hope no one has the opportunity to see sever weather.
Thanks for you imput AaronC/ I hope ou are wrong about the bulllseye, as Somerset is pretty much in the middle of it all! And thank YOU, KG4KBU for the info on the spotter chat site. I will probably hike over there and check it out when I get to work.
Chris, we’ll be counting on you to go live,if you feel the need. If I see you going live, them I am gonna know that there’s some wicked stuff out there>
And in Lincoln Co, please, no. Let the coaching question just lie still and sleep this morning. There will be enough talk about it later, I am sure! 😉
hope for no severe weather. What coach question is there. The Coach is fired. Do You Mean who will be coming now??? I would think pitino beause hes about the best college coach but hes also a trator for going to louisville….lol. no need in letting this issue sleep we in the middle of it and the right decision has been made!!!!
06Z GFS initialized PATHETIC…has the low way southeast of where it is currently…and still it takes the low northwest of us. NAM track goes northwest of us also. Satellite shows good insolation to our southwest moving toward us. Things could get VERY wild in Kentucky later this evening.
In fact, I’m surprised to see SPC trim the Slight Risk zone back to the south because with the insolation showing up on the IR channel upstream, and the parent low traveling so close to us, the Ohio Valley is where a lot of the nasty stuff could occur actually. Hmm…
Do you see Georgetown getting any severe stuff?
yup, don’t be lulled by these low clouds and showers this morning late afternoon clearing should still allow a squall line to sweep across the area early this evening.
What is it looking like severe wise for Lexington? I have a teenager who is going to be out and about at the movies around 8:00 pm so this momma worries! LOL! Thanks so much for any thoughts!!
It looks like WAA did its job in Wichita, Kansas. I saw their total snow forecast went from over a foot to around 2″-5″ on wunderground.com It seems like they had a lot of sleet cut into totals.
Kentucky isn’t the only place WAA affects!
Afternoon to eveyone. We currently have 63 degrees here in Somerset, and the skies are trying to clear out some. that does not bode well for later in the day, I think….I hope it doesn’t get too bad.
Wxman, I noticed where the SPC had changed some. I thought it was just me, but am gald to see that someone else noticed it, too. I personally hope that the severe stuff misses us altogether! But I am sure that probably will not be the case.
I am glad to see that KY isn’t the only place that deals with WAA. but I would be tthat the folks in Kansas are probably not too upset about it!
My bet is that squall line should start developing in western TN, later this afternoon and move north eastward. I think our biggest threat is going to be straight line winds.
SPC trimmed it down even further in the latest update…taking some parts of eastern KY out of the slight risk area.
SPC is thinking of putting a tor watch for central tenn and kentucky
Hey Chris!! We have missed u and can’t seem to catch u. I don’t have the Internet just the iphone. It won’t usually let me post! Keep up the good work!! Thanx!!!! 😉
Yeah!! It finally posted!!! I have been trying 4 months!!!!