Good Tuesday to one and all! This is going to turn out to be yet another very nice day across the state as highs soar toward the lower 70s in many areas. Winds will crank up as well as our pattern begins to shift toward a wet and stormy one over the next week or so.
It all starts later tonight as a cold front begins to move in from the west. This front will bring with it a line of showers and some thunderstorms that will blow through here late tonight and early Wednesday. Here is what the GFS looks like early Wednesday…
Wednesday Afternoon
A few showers will linger into Wednesday afternoon… especially across the east. Winds will be gusty too and temps will be held in check by the clouds and rains.
A second system will quickly roll our way Thursday bringing widespread rains to the area. Low pressure will be tracking right on top of us during this time so winds will be a little gusty and some thunder is likely to rumble.
Thursday Afternoon
Many areas can easily pick up an inch or rain or better through Thursday. That is actually not a bad thing for much of the area as we have been very dry since late January!
Yet another impressive storm will be developing across the southern plains by Friday and Saturday. This low looks very intense and is likely to have a severe weather outbreak with it. Does that include us? We will have to see as we get closer… but the maps suggest we may be in the game…
Friday Evening
Saturday Morning
That is something to watch out for as this appears to be a powerful spring storm that will be winding up just to our west. Not only will we have to keep an eye on the severe threat… but the winds and heavy rains may be a threat as well.
Much colder air will filter in behind this storm for later in the weekend with a small shot at a rain or snow shower later Sunday or Monday.
Have a great Tuesday everyone and I will have updates as needed. Take care.
Select Page
I guess the blog will get back in full swing with the threat for severe weather. The word “snow” should now be banned from the forecast until November! 🙂
the storm prediction center and several NWS offices as far North as Morristown, Memphis, and Nashville are saying possible Long tracked strong tornadoes this weekend so it may get into some parts of Kentucky also
I agree with Chris 100%…very soggy forecast over the next 5-7 days.
GFS is backing off on the idea of severe wx here this weekend just a tad…still bears watching though.
The Monday Herald-Leader had a story about how western Kentucky is now considered prime tornado territory. That is the result of an eastward shift of the major tornado outbreak areas. One guy was quoted as saying that I-75 is the “cutoff” for tornado outbreaks. I am on the east side of the line so I say, “Whew!” Not that Mother Nature pays attention to such things, of course.
I’m glad to read Chris’ comment about it being dry lately. I’ve been saying the same thing and my neighbors think I’m crazy. A few years back we had a spring where the severe weather missed us and I was really pleased, but then it didn’t rain all summer. We definitely need a good soaking.
the low track still bears watching as well another eastward jog and that blue blob over kansas city is suddenly very close to us in fact the cmc solution has a hvy snow band from northern arkansas to st.louis to southern indiana to detroit. the good news is the cmc hasn’t been the best this winter but the models are shifting east. if the track stays the same we will likley have major severe weather event if the timing of the storm is favorable.
i’m still thinking daytime temps low 40’s or so for sunday maybe a midnight high a bit higher. cold nw flow light precip and thicknesses values of 540-546 won’t get 60 like most forecasts have.
You are 100% right. We weather fans know that I 75 is NOT fence that tornadoes can’t pass through. But my fear is some people would read that and let their guard down. Fact is, eastern KY DOES have a lot of tornadoes too. I’m surprised he said that.
argggggggggggggg, PUKE nm RALLY!!!!
im on the RALLY PART!!!!
Chris – You did not say the dreaded “S” word! I thought that was banned from KY for the next several months.
12z gfs continues se trend in track the upper level data suggest there may be another shift se in the track. the snow band on this run goes from oaklahoma to st.louis into indiana to detroit. while the severe threat is from the deep south and tenn valley to the mid-atlantic states.
The weekend system on the 12Z run is a total mess. What do you do with that?? Timing the precip. and figuring up amounts would be a nightmare. Severe looks sort of unlikely to me..too much cloudcover ahead of that dual-low mess.
I’m done with snow.
Too bad MJ isn’t on the forecast desk this afternoon. That extended range discussion from LMK today is WEAK.
Can you say cold beginning to the month of April?
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/GFS/gfsUS_2_temp_240.gif
IF that cold behind that low holds up on the models we could be talking a very stormy and windy start to the month… Thunderstorms to Flurries anyone?
Na Tstorms to Blizzard sounds nice Flurries we have had enough of the piddly stuff this yr
Afternoon, all. And thanks for the update, Chris. Wxman, I have noticed that when someone other than MJ does the discussion, it is harder for me to understand, and they do not go into the detail that MJ does.
I hope that we don’t get bad storms ovenight and tomorrow. Hubby is leaving for Charleston WVA, and I hate for him to have to drive in stormy weather.
As for this weekend, I don’t even want to think about that right now. Naturally this is my Saturday to work. And I am not liking the thought of cold weather again, but I know we are not quite finished with it, so we will deal!
Have a good evening, all.
that’s where it went whacko i don’t agree with it’s two lows there should just be low further east. we’ll see if i’m right.
Interpreter please.
NO SHANE! We can’t have that lol my kids are out for spring break next week lol
I think I can translate this word for word. In english he wrote:
“The energy content of an object at rest with mass m equals mc2. Conservation of energy implies that in any reaction a decrease of the sum of the masses of particles must be accompanied by an increase in kinetic energies of the particles after the reaction. Similarly, the mass of an object can be increased by taking in kinetic energies.”
Either that or he thinks he’s a pirate now: “argggggggggggggg, PUKE nm RALLY!!!!”
I think it was the former.
My kids don’t get spring break because of all the flurries we have had
My aunt in OK just told me they are to get poss. storms the next couple of days, then measurable snowfall (they live about 25 mi. SE of Tulsa)on Fri-Sat. …just wondered if this will in any way affect us here in KY??! Seems like everytime they have severe Wx and/or snow this time of year, it seems to drift this way??! Mitch, WxMan, anyone??! (not saying it will…but I’d like a few more flakes…??!)
possibile if the se trend in track continues we may be in line for accumlating wet snow by saturday night as of now the band appears to be a few hundred miles nw of us.
How about Eastren KY