******NOON UPDATE******
Good afternoon everyone. The cold out there this today is colder and quicker than forecast while the precip is hanging around a little longer. Sleet or some wet snowflakes are likely to mix in with the light rain… especially in central and northern Kentucky. Temps have dropped into the 30s behind this front and we won’t see much of a rise in thermometers this afternoon.
What is happening with the weather today could easily be telling us something about what is going to happen later Thursday into early Friday. Colder temps and more moisture may be in the works here leading to a greater snow and ice threat across Kentucky. The models are still showing this and the NAM is now in the 6″ range for some folks.
The HPC is picking up on the heavy snow threat as well…
As I mentioned earlier… this does not make for a happy weather dude. But… it is what it is and it’s something we will be tracking and watching very closely!
I will have another update for you later this afternoon or early this evening so make sure you check back.
Take care.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Good Wednesday folks! The headline of this blog post says it all as the potential for snow is back with us within the next couple of days. This does not sit well with your friendly weather dude as I don’t want the headaches that come with trying to forecast March snow and I want SPRING!
Before we get to all that… we have a cold front crossing the state early today with a line of showers and thundershowers. No severe weather with this so all if well on that end. Here is the radar…
Temps have been incredible over the past several days. Record highs were recorded in several areas on Tuesday and highs today were recorded just after midnight. Much colder air is moving in with temps falling through the 40s during the afternoon. You can track the temp drop here…
Currents
Winds will be very gusty as well as we break out into some sunshine across the north. Clouds will stick around across the south for much of the day as out front hangs up just to our south.
I have been warning you about this being a false start to spring for a few weeks now and that winter was likely waiting in the wings for the middle of March. This stalled out front has a nice bit of cold air behind it and the models are just now catching up to it and the numbers are coming in colder with each run. A wave of low pressure should develop along the front and ride northeast bringing moisture northward into the region late Thursday into early Friday. Amazingly enough… whatever falls is likely to be in the form of… GULP… snow. 
The NAM and GFS look a lot alike…
NAM Thursday Evening
NAM Thursday Night
GFS Thursday Evening
GFS Thursday Night
Haven’t we seen this moving before? Didn’t something like this happen a few weeks ago. Hmmm… how did that one work out? 
Well… just for laughs and giggles… here is what the models are showing in terms of snowfall…
NAM Snowfall
That is a large swath of 3″-6″ of wet snow along and south of Interstate 64.
GFS Snowfall
That is a little lighter and shows 2″-4″ of snow a little farther south.
Could this finally bring the snow lovers in the south a taste of what they have been missing out on this winter? Well… I wouldn’t bet the farm on it right now. We will track it anyway because that is what the blog does. But… I am protesting tracking this one because I don’t want to have to deal with it and I am soooooo ready for spring!!! 
I will update the snow chances… blah blah blah… later today. Take care.
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its 6:28am and I’m the only one to post! something must be seriously wrong in the blog world!
Only thing wrong is no severe weather and no snow Looks like i’m in the hotspot 70 this morning on the front porch
Winter Storm Watches up for West Tennessee…
idk, but I’m watching radar loops and it looks very similar to the ice storm…. Constant NW moisture, I have seen no Eastern movement thus far, so who knows what might happen.
NO, NO, NO…. I DONT WANT SNOW NOW!!!..I wanted snow back in Jan. and Feb… Not when the bradford pear trees are in bloom, tulips and dafodills are in bloom, grass is getting green!!!….:(…THIS SOUTHERN SNOW GOOSE IS READY FOR SPRING TO…BLAH!!!
well this SOUTHERN SNOW GOOSE IS READY FOR SPRING…my flowers are blooming, trees are blooming, and grass is getting nice and green…WINTER WEATHER NOW IS BLAH!!!…:(..but oh well we have to take whats dished out.
NEIL is right .. winter storm watches up for west tn, eastern ark. FOR FREEZING RAIN!!!…YIKES.. We sure don’t want that mess…I dont want any of that junk now, my yard looks springy..lol.. trees blooming, flowers in bloom, grass is getting green…now we gotta endure more SLOP…sheessh…figures..oh well thats ky. weather I guess.
:(..MODERATION MORNING!!..:(
Am I right, is that snow in Pudacah already?
lets try this ONE MORE TIME…lol…those winter storm watches for west tn..are for freezing rain..YUCK..we sure dont want that, I dont want any of that mess now, trees,flowers,and grass is all coming alive down here…now we have to endure more slushy,sloppy,muddy mess again…wake me up on about MAY 10th…LOL..hopefully by then it will be spring .. FOR REAL..LOL..later gang.
ice is a possibilty as well. the 06z nam continues a northward trend with more precip, with support from the sref while the gfs is lighter and further south with support from the cmc.
19 Degree temp drop in bout hr and half
Fix the server! It’s throwing constant errors.
Unbelievable. All winter long I waited and wished for snow. Now I too am in full spring mode and cannot get excited about even the thought of snow. I guess that means, we(southern KY) will probably end up with 6 inches. Have a great day everyone and thanks for keeping us updated Chris.
it will probley snow thurs night into friday, as i wont be anywhere near kentucky 🙁 im heading out to houston TX in just a few minutes. ill not frown to that tho, its been over a year since we have saw the wife’s family last.
Andy Rose, Tim, Rolo, coffeelady. and everyone else on the board, i hope y’all get the big snow in a couple days. especilly the south, southeastern part of kentucky. we been waiting all winter for it.
Im heading out now, take care everyone. ill check back in at some point when i get down there tomorrow evening.
edit: hope this is not posting several times, but if it is, im sorry. its giving me a session timed out thingy, keeps asking me to but the code back in everytime i post. there keeps being a runtime error application error or something too.
I agree 100% very annoying
Good morning I am at 60 degrees this morning in Pikeville with rain falling.
Chris bring on the snow and don’t kill me for saying it!!!!!!! I hope our big snow in the south please!!!!!!!!!
Ground is way too warm for any accum. It would have to snow extremely hard for any to stick.
But ya never know.. I remember a couple years ago when all the trees and flowers were in full bloom and we got a good snow with 20’s, and killed everything…
If that pink doesn’t move up and over Lexington, (like normal) we may be in for a fun ride this afternoon. Anybody on here from Louisville? Is it snowing or ice?
It’s sleeting in Versailles at the moment!!!!!!
Good Morning All…I can’t believe I am gonna say this…NO SNOW CHRIS !!!!!
We had 79 & 80 yesterday and spent the entire day outside….could I please have those temps back?? Just give my share of snow to TIM !! 🙂
Not saying I think this is going to happen.. But IF we have another ice storm, wouldn’t that just be some crap? Especially after two days in 60s/70s? Geez..we can’t get a break.
Linda..NO THANKS!!…LOL.. im in full spring mode to… I mean the trees are in bloom,flowers, and the grass is getting green down here…Just put a BIG FAT STAMP on this snow event..and RETURN TO SENDER!!…lol…
Linda..NO THANKS!!…LOL.. im in full spring mode to…
i’m not suprised about the trend given the models always shift north with storm track and underestimate the cold w/ arctic airmasses. 12z nam has the best shot for snow from the hal rodgers pkwy to 1-64 i’m only thinking ratios will be 5:1 due to the ground. that would put a 1-3 band through the region we’ll see what the gfs has.
Hey guys… I am working to get the server errors corrected.
umm SLEETING here in Nicholasville, in Jessamine County! YUCK I liked yesterday lol 🙂
Thanks Mitch
down to 38 here, moderate sleet/snow/rain? lets shift this 3-6 up towards the river counties where i am camping thursday night…nw trend do your thing
Chris……I know you have enough going on with the blog right now, and we all appreciate it…. but the clock needs to SPRING forward 🙂
I am ready for SPRING!!! Ah well…..In Frankfort nothing happening right now!!
winter storm watches west tenn.
Okay Tim…we will send it over to Andy then 🙂 🙂 !!!!!
I be more than Happy with it.
my thoughts
areas from the HRP north to a prestonsburg to danville to e-town line will see 1-2 inches of snow mainly on grass by noon friday however with temps below 32 minor slick spots are possibile.
areas north of a prestonsburg to danville to e-town line to 1-64 will see an inch or so of snow with some minor slick spots and temps falling below 32.
areas north of 1-64 will see flurries
Me too Andy I will join you on taking the snow lol!!!!!
ahhh..still in the low 50’s down here…LOL..you all can have the snow,sleet,and YUCK…Maybe the front will check up and not move any farther south…SURE WONT HURT MY FEELINGS…I’LL take my 50* temp. and run with it…LOL…
Chelle…dont you DARE let that mess get any farther south…:)…LOL…LOL..
Bring on the Snow
I agree 2000% wake up Rolo tell him winter isn’t over
Tim ya better start running oh bageebees it is cold out there. 🙂 🙂 🙂
Let him sleep. It’s better when he’s not on here.
I don’t agree Rolo is great he just give his opinion like everyone else….
I agree with Marsha
44* not a drop of precip here since Sunday.
F5 Winter http://mjhdp.tripod.com/stormtracker/id17.html
NWS in Nashville,Tn. saying 2-4″ possible in N.WEST TN.. on Thurs. and Thurs. night…
On a side note http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/columns/story?columnist=oneil_dana&id=3967418
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A CAMDEN…DICKSON TO CLARKSVILLE LINE.
SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATCH AREA ON
THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
WITH POSSIBLE ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. THE SNOW AND SLEET
WILL TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY EVENING.
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW…SLEET…OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
Here in Powell Co. the radar has shown rain all day, but nothing is reaching the ground. Been high a dry here since early this morning.
How much in Eastren KY
Probably won’t end up with anything unless your in Pike or south of Pike i don’t think Knox Whitley Laurel are will see anything
hopefully 100% chance of sunshine and temps. pushing 70*…:)
bye-bye billy g.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2b_8UzdHU6U
my school anderson county getting there into sweet 16 since a long time!!!! our best player gets”the shot” his name is cj penny elliot county better look out!!!! anyone going to that game?
LoL
WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING…
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONT
SOUTH OF THE REGION TO BRING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
BEGINNING ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD REACH
LOCATIONS NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER BY EARLY ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND THEN GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
REGION BY LATE EVENING.
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS RAIN OR A RAIN AND SNOW MIX…BUT
GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN THE EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE COOLS.
AS WARMER AIR WORKS INTO THE AREA A COUPLE OF THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE
GROUND ON THURSDAY NIGHT…THE PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE
TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. SOME VALLEY LOCATIONS NEAR THE TENNESSEE
BORDER COULD EXPERIENCE THE PRECIPITATION REMAIN AS OR CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN ON THURSDAY NIGHT. TO THE NORTH…LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE LOUIE NUNN AND HAL ROGERS PARKWAYS AND KY 80 CORRIDOR…THE
SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AROUND
MIDNIGHT ON FRIDAY MORNING. FURTHER NORTH…IN LOCATIONS NEAR THE
MOUNTAIN PARKWAY CORRIDOR AND NORTH…SNOW COULD MIX WITH SLEET AT
TIMES…BUT THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN AS PRIMARILY SNOW.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD OCCUR MAINLY ON RIDGETOPS AND GRASSY
SURFACES…WITH LITTLE OR NO SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATION IN ALL
LOCATIONS. BY DAWN ON FRIDAY…SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
A DUSTING TO AN INCH ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE LOUIE NUNN AND HAL ROGERS
PARKWAYS AND KY 80 CORRIDOR…WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FURTHER NORTH
OF A DUSTING TO AS MUCH AS TWO INCHES ON THE RIDGETOPS
HPC has backed off of any chance of 4+ for Kentucky
You do know billy G. can sue them right.
OH my…when we are ready for them nice warm days in the sun on the ole pontoon, we get slapped back to reality.
Your right Tim I’ll help pay for the postage. RETURN TO SENDER. No one lives here that asked for snow.
Tg said rain/snow mix eventually turning to all rain here for us along TN/KY boarder. AS ALWAYS…..
Fear the Lions… You will be beat… Seriously though I hope for a good game.
*Headdesk* Wow… just wow… snow chances actually accumulating. I’m not sold on it but by george the models sure like the idea of it. *Sigh* What’s a weather guy to do?
UMM, I leave you all alone for a few days to go to Louisville and I come back to what might be a BIG MESS!
Randomly, Im going to blame Tim for this since he is the closest to me. Thanks Tim!
It was such nice weather in Louisville!
Is it really going to snow?
NOTHING BUT RAIN, maybe some sleet at times for the most part with next system, warm air will kill most of us out as far as snow.
the ole waa or whatever it called.
1-2 up north of 64 if it cranks up HEAVY and it would have to be HEAVY SNOWE to put anything down.
this is a real nice set up with front stalling out and low riding up, but just not ewnough cold air folks.
ohh god let billy g sue me, like rocky said in part 5.
sue me for WHAT!! lol
the man as a coach is a failure and as COACH at the UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY he is not cut out for uit, i dont vcare if he had 5 mike jordans, he still couldnt win.
I have met coach couple times and i like him, but like him and wanting him to coach UK is 2 different things.
HE IS DONE and if hew was to come back it just another lost year at UK. so bye bye billy g.
No His can Sue the UK for firing him depend on what is in his contact.
18z’s look more realistic 1-2” for far southern counties maybe…even there where the limited moisture will be temps are rather borderline and its very unlikely it would be an all snow event still someone will probably get 1.5 or 2 inches, nothing widespread
I know I’ve said this before, but I do not trust any of these models. When it is actually here and on the ground, I’ll believe it.
Hello to everyone…hope you are all having a great week.
For Pike County:
-WSAZ Tony Cavlier-Rain????
-WOWK Spencer Adkins-2″-3″+!!!!!!
-WCHS Jim Barach-3″-4″!!!!!!
-WYMT Rob Hopkins-1″-2″
-WKYT TG Shuck-Accumulating Snow???
-LEX18 Bill Meck-1″-3″
he hasnt even sign his contract yet vannessa, that should tell you alot.
he is leaving on his own is what being floated around and not fired.
What is the point of a new Coach When the team suck and Meeks and Patterson are leaving for the NBA.
How do you know that Meeks and Patterson are leaving for the NBA?
Rolo what are you thoughts on any snow for eastern ky pike???? I miss my song of the day.
Why does it matter if they stay or not the rest of the team suck.
I am in Pike so what your thoughts on our area as far as any snow??????? I am desperate for a big snow or any snow lol!!!!!
an inch or so for areeas between 1-64 and the hal rodgers pkwy not a big deal and mainly on grass. the main concern is if sleet/ice mixes in.
we may end up with more sleet between the HRP and I-64 as thickness values look a bit to warm, 0-2 inches for this zone still possibile.
No he can’t
34* NE Boyle County
F5 Winter http://mjhdp.tripod.com/stormtracker/id17.html?x=78&y=17
As for Ky. basketball, any team that looks to one or two players to make or break them is no where near a championship contender. That pretty much sums up that.