Good Friday, everyone. Showers are arriving on cue from east to west across the bluegrass state today. This action will put down some needed rains for many areas through the weekend. In the bigger picture, this looks like the start of a pretty active weather pattern across our region and the country.

A lot of tropical moisture is streaming our way from the east and southeast. That means rounds of showers through tonight. It is not going to rain all the time, but a few heavier downpours will be possible. As the rains move in later today, temps will really drop into the low and middle 60s.

Scattered showers and an isolated storm will be with us from Saturday into Sunday. Highs Saturday should hit the upper 60s and low 70s with pockets of warmer temps. 70s should be common on Sunday.

This is NOT a washout of a weekend, though a few areas could push close to an inch or so of rain before the weekend is over. I’ll take it! 🙂

The next item up for bids is a possible tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. The models continue to try and figure out what to do with this thing, but the GFS and Canadian agree somewhat on how to play it…

Candian

CanadianGFS

GFS 2As you can see, they have some timing differences, but both do bring some showers our way from that system. The GFS has a front sweeping through here around the same time with a nice cool down behind that.

The medium range models continue to indicate a very active pattern as we head into early October. The European Model has a nasty look for the first weekend of the month…

Euro Euro 2Yowza! If that’s correct (BIG IF), you would see a lot of rain and thunderstorms followed by windy and cold weather with a frost threat.

The GFS tries to do something similar just a few days later…

GFS 3I am not saying to take any of these models verbatim, but I do think they are giving us a glimpse into where the pattern is going as we head into October.

On a side note, we’ve had October snow in Kentucky for 4 straight years.

I leave you with your rain trackers…

 

 

Make it a great day and take care.