Good Thursday to one and all and thanks as always for dropping by the blog. It may seem silly on a day with temps in the 60s to be talking about snow… but that is exactly what we are doing as all weather eyes are on the weekend!
Before I get into that… I decided to take down my last post on the state of UK basketball. I felt better after I got it off my chest and thought I would go ahead and take it out and get back to the weather. Though I reserve the right to post on that subject at any point! 
As I mentioned… temps today will have you yearning for spring as most area see temps soaring into the 60s. We will have a mix of sun and clouds and just the slightest chance for a shower or two. Winds will be breezy as well ahead of a cold front that will swing in here later tonight and Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will blow through the state with locally heavy rains. Can we get a few strong storms out of this? Yes we can… especially the farther west as of now.
This will bring in colder air for Friday night and Saturday as low pressure develops across the south. Where oh where will this little low go? That is the BIG question over the next few days and later today into Friday… the models should really come together. The GFS has FINALLY sniffed this storm out and is getting closer and closer to what the Canadian and European models have been showing of late. That said… the latest UKMET and European Models are going toward an extreme solution as they close off a major low over our region and work it eastward very slowly. Check out these wicked looking maps from the European model…
Saturday Evening
Sunday Evening
WOW! That is all I can say after looking at those two maps. The surface low barely moves northeast over a 24 hour period. IF that were to verify… parts of our area would get smacked with snow and wind!!
As I mentioned… the GFS is at least sniffing out the storm but does not slow it down like the European model does…
Saturday Afternoon
Saturday Evening
Sunday Morning
I still don’t think the GFS is strong enough with the low… but it’s in the ballpark! As is… the model says we start out with rain and wet snow early Saturday with a quick change to heavy, wet snow for many that would continue into early Sunday. Here is what it’s spitting out in terms of snowfall…
That is a swath of 3″-6″ of the white stuff for much of the state. I am not saying it is right by any means but the upper levels of the atmosphere are strongly saying the pattern is one that can produce accumulating snows around here. There is not a whole lot of room for error with this setup as our worry is this thing shifts a little farther east and south on us. The seasonal trend has been just the opposite though as most big storms have ended up trending west within 48 hours of actually happening. If that is the case here… look out!
Again… until the models can fully see all the energy later today into Friday… we won’t know exactly how this is going to play out. We are also getting into the window of the NAM model but it has not been very good outside of 36 hours this winter. The upper level setup on it is very close to coming together for a big storm around here. As is though… it clobbers extreme southeastern Kentucky into West Virginia…
Yep… that is your typical 1-2 feet of snow the model is showing for areas in the red to our east! I wouldn’t put very much stock in that map though as the model has now been the best in the world this winter.
After whatever snow we get this weekend… temps will come way down as a chunk of arctic air moves in for Sunday into Monday making for a frigid start to March and meteorological spring!
I finally started looking around at some of the extended forecast discussions from the NWS folks. Jackson had a great read Wednesday afternoon. That was the only one I thought that even came close to capturing the possibilities with this weekend.
Speaking of the National Weather Service… I got a chance to catch part of the new episode of When Weather Changed History on The Weather Channel last night. This episode was about the Super Outbreak of 1974 and featured the NWS in Louisville. They interviewed retired forecasters who were on duty during that historic event. It really was some GREAT stuff so I would highly encourage you check it out. They also talked to a couple of the current forecasters there. Mr. Ted Funk and Mr. Joe Sullivan did a great job of illustrating just how much better technology is today compared to 1974. Kudos guys on a job well done! Give me a call if you need any makeup tips (not that it helps my ugly mug)! 
hahaha
I will update the weekend forecast a little later so check back. Have a great Thursday and take care my friends.
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Ahh my least favorite part of the business, the make up! I gained a whole new respect for the ladies morning routine after I had to start wearing making up on air in college. I think were at the point if people aren’t mentioning snow in their forecast they need to at least start mentioning the possibility of it.
How many iches do you think Letcher Co will get.
I added the new European model run to the original post!!!!
Hmmmmmmm someone at a local station will be eating her words. “No SNOW and no COLD this weekend” I hope if we get this storm it is the last snow fall, I am ready for spring. Ready to get my windows open and get outside!
If A big Snow is coming shouldnt
it be annouce on the TV.
Because 57 news and 27 news havent mention a big winter snow.
Holy cow, if that run of the Euro Verified…. WOW!
New Canadian is also closing off the low, but moving it east. Interesting to see if it continues to trend east.
no VANNESSA, u can yell BIG SNOW when it not set in stone. this morning BORAK at 27 talking about it, but says not set in stone.
by tomm morning they should get a grasp on it.
ok folks as many know I have been down on BILLY G.
but last nite wasnt his fault, WE HAVE NO POINT GUARD TO RUN TEAM.
su saw helter skelter, paniac type work on offense.
LIGGINS is the worst big time recruit ive ever seen, and PORTER is not a starter.
PG makes the show go, and folks we DONT HAVE ONE.
and im afraid we not getting one anytime soon.
we actually got one in GALLOWAY but BG want play him, he missed last nite because of death in family.
that said PP and MEEKS are gone, NOWAY THESE KIDS come back to this MESS next year.
Ive been told that by a good source.
BILLY G should be gone, but he will get one more year.
ok about galloway missing game, this might be cruel.
but U GOT TO BE THERE FOR UR TEAMATES LAST NITE!! IN A BIG TIME GAME!!!
u could flew out afterwards and been back home, really got me that the kid wasnt there last nite.
if UR A BIG TIMER, and this kid has the tools u SHOW UP LAST NITE.
UR GRANDPARENT would have wanted u to play.
this kid doesnt have the heart, that proves it. i know some will say SHUT UP ROLO, but it the facts.
MIKE JORDAN, BIRD, MAGIC, LEBRON,KOBE wouldnt miss a game 7 if one of their grandparents died.
CHELLE that not fair, why would a TV GUY get on and SAY SNOW ITS COMING!! when by the time weekend gewts here it may do nothing.
and may i say buy the loook of things that just what it going to DO!! NOTHING!!!
no any good weather man is not going to be SCREAMING ANYTHING about SNOW at this point.
I am WITH HENRYAT ACC, low going to track far EAST out to sea.
I LOVE U CHELLE, but the TV GUYS are playing it safe as they should be, ky snow for weekend is at 30 percent chance at best right now.
All I am saying is they dont know for sure………so dont say IT ISNT GOING TO HAPPEN! They are NOT GOD and cant say that for sure!
and btw OUR snow chance where the “weather person” is……..is up to 60% not 30. We shall see
It is still too early to tell about the snow. You can’t cry wolf in weather too many times or your sheep might get eaten! 🙂
i think Rolo was calling for 30 not the weather guys is what he was trying to say but we know rolo has issues and sometimes needs a translater
I’ll quote you “SHUT UP ROLO”
IM ROOTIN FOR THE EUROPEAN ALL THE WAY!!!!…LOL. or at least while it blasts us with a plastering snowstorm…
the nws has upted the precip. in my area to 50% rain to snow, on sat. night and 40% on sunday… So now do we start getting excited? or do we wait?…After all of the crash and burns this winter….I think I’ll wait..
Ah heck for the fun of it. Who thinks it’ll do what?
(A)…the snowstorm will happen
(B)…ends up being rain
(C)…does’nt happen at all
(D)…none of the above…..:)
Lets just see who is biting and who is not…
Are u joking rolo? His freakin grandparent died, last I checked this wasn’t game 7 and last I checked we have something that is a lot more important than basketball, it’s called life…
I’m sorry but I lost a lot of respect for you after seeing this post. How do you know how close his grandparent was to him, he could’ve raised him, which I heard was a possibility.
I’ve seen it all now, ragging on a kid who gives his all for the university about flying home to be with his family after a close member of the family passes… Even on catspause and rupps raftards you don’t see crap like this…
WOW!
Now thats not nice surely there is a nicer way to say that than the way a 6-10 yr old would.
hmmmm let’s see here…. D!!!!! This storm is gonna show the west trend and pound us with 2 feet of snow!!!!!
Haha! I never put make-up on, and for some reason they promoted me to “chief forecaster”. 🙂 I just flat out told the Mary Kay rep. no! Hehe…
Well after the brutal November, and slightly cool December we had…it was obvious that climate history showed January and/or February would be WARM. Looks like February was that month! Wow…70 again today??
I am going to say (A) but that is only because I REALLY WANT IT TO HAPPEN!
I THINK IT CAN!
I THINK IT CAN!
Just please dont miss us here in Southern KY if it does happen. I swear if it does Im getting a hotel up north with an indoor pool.
yea I said snow chances for weekend are 30 percent chance at best, lord my 2 year old nephew can understand that.
that my call, cause u cant trust a model,
I think it will move to far east, and if it doesnt it move to far west. lol
I am taking the HENRY look at things, Ive been burnt to many ttimes. so UNTIL we get a pattern change with winter systems, ill be saying rain or nothing at all.
ill say this if this was a few years ago, i would be excited, but the past performances says,,,,,,,,
MODELS ARE JUNK till 24 hours out or closer on winter weather.
Only PAH has any Kentucky counties in the Slight Risk today on the latest outlook. Obviously we want to watch this closely..but outside of strong winds tonight we should avoid the worst of this storm system.
I liked the basketball discussion better. At least UK’s situation is a known, but the weather and the models are a completed unknown, other than we will see some wet snow this weekend and the east & NE of the state may see several inches. I think warm air will be a factor (as usual) and knock down snow totals for most.
21 or done!
Well I dont know what the crap the 6z gfs is trying to pull…its TRYING to get the storm organized on sat./sun. , but it has a funky looking wrap around moisture that looks like it trys to develop a low itself that drags all the way around in to the deep south, heck it even has northern FL. getting some snow!!!..Now i think that could be alittle on the WACKY side…but it has happened before..heck at this point. it probably will and not here…LOL..
hello everyone man am i excited! first this snowstorm hasnt been showing up for a week on the gfs so we know its a real threat! 2nd my theory on storms sneaking up may be further supported! 3 the 6z gfs still trying to get a handle on the details but overall moves the snow out by early sunday! and of course there are the b-word models!!! anway we are 48 hours out and its looking like a favorable trend is set in play, even the nam shifted significantly west with that heavy snow band! parts of the area may very well get burried sat sat nigh if these models are half right, if trends continue i’d expect winter storm watches area wide by friday morning!!
Galloway could not have guarded Downy or Fredrick. Strong point guard play kills UK right now. No way Patterson or Meeks leaves next year. Meeks can’t guard a college 2 guard and for sure not a NBA guard. Patterson is also not ready for the big time. Next year UK is bringing in help with Orten, Hood and Pilgrim. Next years team will look totally different, they will be a point guard away from being a great team. Your good source is wrong. Funny after Saturday fans were loving BCG and now totally opposite. It takes more than 2 or 3 players to have a good team and right now thats all UK has.
That is about ignorant. Family comes first no matter what.
first, BUBBA i apologize to u,
u are spot on THIS TEAM doesnt deserve a TOURNY INVITE, we get EMBARRSED.
2nd,
u all know I mention my WXMAN in knoxville at times, he has gave me good info.
now as u know im not excited, but just talk to him and he said he is REALLY EXCITED about a BIG SNOWFALL for east tenn/se ky on NORTHEASTWARD.
hmmmmmmmmmmmmm,, maybe OLD SCHOOL finally going to show up.
cause the WRAP AROUND FROM THE EAST is WHAT WE NEED FOR A MONSTER..
my GIRAFFE HUGGER O METER HAS WENT UP TO 6 FROM 3 ON A SCALE FROM 1 -10.
Both the 6z GFS and NAM have shifted the track of our low south and east. Waiting anxiously for the 12zs so we also get a new Canadian and Euro run.
Anybody have thunder yet? It looks like a rumble or two could be in that stuff near Louisville. Clouds look to be breaking up a little bit across some of the state…which could be interesting later.
Just based on 06Z GFS only, you’re looking at 4-6″ in eastern KY, with 2-4″ in the Bluegrass. 10-1 ratios apply here since our temps. are borderline.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_p24_084s.gif
not as much as one would think only 1*F above in lex, jkl, and london. today will 20* above but saturday will likely be 20* below norm and friday an early high near 50 makes it normal so we’ll finish about 1*F above which is near and above normal. this means were due for a warm spring we have to have a long warm spell at some pointinstead of just of just one or two warm days and rain.
Had some thunder and lightning with brief heavy rain in Mercer this am. I believe we’ll have strong storms overnite because the forecasters always seem spot on with that. But I’m taking a wait and see approach for the snow over the weekend. As usual, probably won’t be much.
looks like scatt storms along a warm front i would think it will clear us by midday one or two of these cells may have small hail.
Having rain in Lexington, but no thunder yet WXman.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_500_078m.gif
That ladies and gentlemen is a heck of a cut off low sitting just to south with the 12z run of the NAM. It’s not spitting a ton of moisture up our way, but if it were to say be a 100 miles-150 miles north… game on for some fun and games :D.
How are you avoiding the old shiny forehead syndrome without make up?
NAM didn’t make the connection on the new run between the energy over the plains and the energy over the SE once it latches on to that idea the storm should be further NW.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day3_psnow_gt_04.gif
HPC now has under a 10% chance of seeing at least 4 inches of snow on Sunday.
I agree with Jeff 100% was a nice way to put it although ignorant isn’t the correct word nothing about rolo’s statement was ignorant maybe insensitive. Just my 2 cents.
Wow, thank goodness you don’t flip flop any.
that would be A snow storm Adam
0.1 above normal in Knox County so far in Feb was 0.1 below yesterday but whether it be .1 above or 10 above he still called for warmer than normal Feb and if it ends up being that he should get props.
On a side note i think WXMAN has spiked my water cause thats twice i have agreed with him 😉
12z gfs shifted east a known bias in this run 18z always corrects to the west. when has a storm not shifted further west than expected 48 hrs before showtime the past few seasons?
still another day to ride this one out.
I don’t currently do TV wx anymore. When I did, I actually had enough hair that it didn’t matter. 🙂
Did you see 12Z NAM yet? It’s VERY aggressive with the squall line tonight compared to other models.
Southern KY starting to break into sunshine now. This is going to get really interesting later today! I’ll bet we see some pre-frontal cells fire up!
No need, but 21 or done and that assumes 21 gets us in- if at large bids are taken due to upsets, we would still not be a lock.
I agree about E and SE KY having a good shot of several inches or more of snow. I still think it will be more east than people expect though. Areas NE of KY could get clobbered.
Rolo,
No need to apologize, but 21 or done and that assumes 21 gets us in- if at large bids are taken due to upsets, we would still not be a lock.
I agree about E and SE KY having a good shot of several inches or more of snow. I still think it will be more east than people expect though. Areas NE of KY could get clobbered.
for once im with u, LET IT RAISE HELL!!!
BRING ON A BOOMER!!!!
Rolo polo,
No need to apologize, but 21 or done and that assumes 21 gets us in- if at large bids are taken due to upsets, we would still not be a lock.
I agree about E and SE KY having a good shot of several inches or more of snow. I still think it will be more east than people expect though. Areas NE of KY could get clobbered.
Rolo, man I love you guys but this snow thing is really getting to some of you guys. WXman,Bubba,and you I used to love you guys comments but now it always no snow evan when Chris said the threats are real I don’t really care if its snows or not because I don’t want to lose power ever again But come on guys let this no snow thing go get back to the funny comments we all love I really miss them…..
Shane is this better news for eastern ky? I would not care to see a little snow but I don’t want a big storm that might take our power ouyt again
so what do you do now if you don’t mind sharing that with us
No Thunder here in Knox did have some light showers this morning though but now just overcast
still overcast at my house Shane is that SW KY your seeing break in the clouds ?
ROLO,
You have just proved to me that you have no clue about anything. Emily comes first, not s measly basketball game. You’ve got to be kidding me? Dude you’ve got to get out of the hollars and learn what life is about.
Good grief, what a JOKE!
You’re good source? You are hilarious, buddy. Who is it, your Billy Goat? Try staying away from old Dobson and Keith and don’t believe all of the rumors you hear.
All you do is flip-flop anyway.
Flip-Flop again.
doh
I’m currently a Geoprocessing Specialist for Kentucky. Check out the latest creation some of our Geoprocessors put together (it’s still in the early stages):
http://kygeonet.ky.gov/kyweather/
On satellite, it looks like a lot of KY is in sunshine now. Mesonet temps. at those sites are shooting up fast too. Maybe we’ll see the sunshine break out soon..
gfs has been terribly inconsistent with this run to run is a totally different ball game, for now its trash, euro and canadian have stood their ground and look good snowise!
good snow wise for Northern and Central KY as always or for NNKY
I hope this question was a joke…
It’s OK Rolo, but UK are 21 or done and even that assumes there are not conference tournament upsets that take away at large bids.
As far as weather, I really think the warm air is once again being understimated when precipitation is involved. East KY has the best shot for a good snow and areas NE of KY could get clobbered.
This system does not have 150 miles worth of shift in it so those hoping for a westerly trend will probably be in for a let down.
Wet heavy snow sound about right for E KY. Other areas to the west may get some snow, but I still am concerned about a potential for an ice mix, but nothing compared to a few weeks ago.
Wxman use Estee Lauder It will cover anything lol j/k
As far as I’m concerned you can have the snow down south! I’m like Chris I’m ready for spring and I can’t believe I’m saying that being a snow lover!!! Winter is getting old for me.
A shower or two? 😮 It has rained all day here in downtown Frankfort. ALL DAY. Pouring rain….and steady rain…and sprinkles….every form of rain you can think up! 🙂 We have gotten our shower or two here…that’s for sure!
Skies clearing some in Frankfort now.. woo hoo here we go!
Todays song http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8blnAkSvK0
Honey can you squeeze me in?? Garth
Just got back from Inez and Johnson county.It was raining earlier in Inez.I could not believe all the trees Johnson County still had down from the ice storm.Wow I was surprised.
Rolo Don’t tell me Tn is getting snow.My husband is suppose to leave tomorrow evening to go to Gatlinburg Tn,and we have a big weekend of girls night out planned!!!!!
Chris I was at wal-mart yesterday in Pantivills and this lady came up to my Mom which my Mom knew her and they were talking about how bad this winter had been and the ice storm and she told my Mom that Chris Bailey said its not over yet we have more winter in March and how she reads your blog how much everybody depends on Chris Bailey and his blog And you know I just had to get in on that.I was so pround to be a part of this blog and tell her that I comment on here all the time and that I’m am one of many of Chris Bailey bloggers. Chris you need to be really pround of this blog because you have become a weather site that people really depend on…..
I forgot to mention we just hit 70 degrees in Pikeville.
Marsha that is so cool.We do depend on him alot more than he realizes.
AMEN MARSHA!
Crystal I think it was cool also I’m the one always telling people Chris is great and and his blog and all the bloggers on here and to here someone else talking about Chris blog was just so cool. People really depend on him
I agree 100%
Chris is my weather guru dude!!!!!
well the forecast coming across NOAA radio for my part of state is as follows.
Saturday: cloudy, rain early, then snow likely chance of precip 60%. highs in upper 30’s.
Saturday night: snow likely, light snow accumulations likely, chance of precip. 60%
Sunday: cloudy with flurries. highs in 30’s
So…AT LEAST ITS IN THE FORECAST NOW…LOL…
Whats the chance of WAA being part of the equation in this upcoming storm?
Might be sweet revenge for us in Southern Ky on this one. 12z Canadian keeps moisture on SE Ky for almost 24 hrs!! If I am reading it right. Someone that actually can read it chime in!!!!!
the maps will not load for me. Can anyone tell me what it is looking like for Paintsville this weekend? Great job Chris and thanks for everything!!
None, because the warm air is already in place. 🙂 So it doesn’t have to move in, i.e. advect.
From LMK’s noon discussion:
A DETAILED LOOK AT THE 00Z GFS ENSEMBLES SHOW INCREASING
PROBABILITIES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE PLACEMENT OF THE SFC LOW IN THE ENSEMBLE
DATA…STRONG NE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPS DOWN WELL
BELOW THE MOS GUIDANCE. THIS IS BACKED UP BY THE INCREASING 850MB
NE WIND ANOMALIES FROM CLIMO. WHEN THESE SHOW UP…TWO THINGS
USUALLY OCCUR…FIRST THE 850MB NE FLOW KEEPS OUR TEMPERATURES COLD
AND PREVENTS WAA FROM GETTING IN HERE. SECOND…THE 850MB FLOW
USUALLY INCREASES THE BAROCLINIC FORCING FOR LIFT AND LOW-LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS INCREASES. THIS WAS ESPECIALLY TRUE IN THE MARCH 2008
SNOWSTORM FROM LAST YEAR. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT BOTH THE 00Z GFS
AND EURO SHOW A NICE DEFORMATION BAND OF SNOW SETTING UP ACROSS THE
REGION SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
Pretty bullish for more than 48 hours out…..
well if its same as snow storm in 2008 that means there will be nothing just like last yr when we ended up with 2 inches 🙁
CRYSTAL do u watch GH? I love GH!!
I got hooked in the ROBERTT SCORPIO/FRISCO DAYS OF THE WSB..
this chick that looks like EMILY is weird, id say she a long lost cousin.
or HELANA sent her in.
This morning’s sounding from BNA showed a cap around 650 mb. A little shear. Nothing majorly impressive…but nothing that says strong storms are not a possiblity either. MJ…what are the planes coming into SDF showing now as far as instability?
That was a good soap back in the day
No Rolo I use to. I need to start back.I loved it! Is Luke and Laura still on there?
Please understand that I am not saying this would be a storm like the March 2008 case. There are some similarities that are showing up in the ensemble data that caught my eye.
luke still is, Laura comes back ever now and then when she wakes up from her coma.
Earlier data around noon was not all that impressive due to clouds. Some of the latest flights in and out show decent low-level and mid-level lapse rates. Winds generally through 6km are less than 50 kts, which to me, is lower than I would have thought.
Given that the front is coming through later tonight, I don’t know if the instability this afternoon will be around later on tonight. Seemed like the elevated mixed layer was going to knock down our chances at storms.
I’m just starting to look at the 12z model data now…so I got to catch up.
I understand but, sometimes ignorance and insensitivity go together.
KAYE, NOBODY KNOWS RIGHT NOW ABOUT THIS WEEKEND.
u could see 1 -2 inches or 10 plus.
or NOTHING. it be late tonite early tomm before anybody can be safe at predicting whats coming.
I DON’T WANT THE SNOW!!! I do listen to our local weather people but Chris is always pretty much on target! Too much to do and I don’t want to be in it!!!! Come on spring!!! Oh, and the UK Wildcats have alot of work to do as a “team” if they want to get into the tournament!!
but rolo isn’t ignorant least in this situation 😉 he knows why the guy missed he is just insensitive to the guys needs or the needs of his family could almost call him selfish. Pro players are excused if they have deaths so why be harder on College kids
You mean the great and powerful ROLO doesn’t know if it’s going to snow or not?
New Euro looks pretty much the same to me, also the canadian shows a prolonged period of snow if it would just trend west, which it has from the last run. Mitch or wxman can you clarify this or am i just dilusional.
Home today on sick leave. The weather channel show on the 1974 tornadoes that Chris mentioned in his post is on the Weather Channel right now (3-4 pm ET).
I smell NIT.
thanks Rolo…it’ll be interesting to see what happens.
hate to say this but i think 1-3 for most will fall late saturday, looks out eastern tn into virginia though 🙁
Most of the storms have trended further West so far this year which would likely mean more snow. I look forward to Chris’s next post!
Gotcha’. Yeah, time of day is going to be worst possible on this particular squall line. I don’t figure it’ll do much damage around here. But it’s always good to know what is possible.
Joe Bastardi on accuw. said he thought the heaviest snows would set up in west tn, west ky. and move east then explode in w.va mnts…he seemed to think at the time a general 3-6″ for most of the area….
hmmmmm…..bout time for Chris to chime in now isnt it ?????…..:)
Looks like JKL has it pegged A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL THEN TURN
TO ALL SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
I guess I am looking at it, that it is ignorant to be so insensitive as to think anything is more important than family. But anyway………..
The 18z NAM is coming in, its up to the 54hr. period and it has shifted the storm back west. to where its coming up the spine of the mnts…and drawing cold air into it..showing rain changing to snow up this point (the 54hr)…and heavy looks like…now it’ll be interesting what it does with it after this…
WINTER STORM MODE COMING UP BY CB.
I lay money on it,
I LIKE WHAT IM SEEING.
WOW !! here it is..the 60 hr. run of the 18z NAM…showing heavy snow falling over all of central and east ky…check it out….
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_pcp_060m.gif
Gimme a ring when you get time
well a dozen different models and runs and a dozen solutions all whackier and more rediculous than the one before it my favorite is the myrtle beach snowstorm on the 12z gfs hello spring breakers.
as for tonight we’ll have to wait a few hours to see if a complex can getting going to the west to procude a threat for gusty winds and small hail here overnight.
solution#13 and the frz rain is back from earlier runs.
So are you saying that the 60hr. is showing freezing rain?..because I would think during this time that a stiff NNE wind would be howling,and going over to a heavy wet thumpin snow…but oh well, you got the degree not me…lol..I just hope we do get the snow. one good one to usher in spring…HOPEFULLY…:)
I guess it’ll be interesting to see what chris has to say at 5 on saz.
54 hr has some over the central part of the state. 60 hr does have snow though, thanks for thinking i have a degree in meteo you’re a couple of years early on that one.
Who put Laura in a coma??
Well, is it gonna snow or not? At this point, while I still want a big one, I just really don’t care either way. I am not going to get excited, unless I see real reason to. ANd if it misses us, well, that is alright, too.
(Might as well feel that way. It’s gonna do whatevet it does anyway. 😉 )
Thanks for the update, Chris. Of course, we are all waiting to see what the next update has to say on the weekend. Right now, I am more concerned with what is going to happen tonight and tomorrow. Gusty winds and possible storms? Not real enthused about that, either. But we will see. Right now, it looks like it is all to our north. Guess it comes our way later tonight?
Mitch, MJ, and Shane, and Wxman, appreciate your thoughts on it too! Thanks for all your comments.
its the professional attitude you have 😉
Why Tommy?
Mitch or anyone what is the weather and temp for TRIPOLI – LIBYA????? I might be going to work there.
I DID!
ITS HOT .. DAMN HOT!
P.S. Don’t get your head cut off by one of Osama’s boys over there.
typically i like the western trend but so many models all with totally different solutions such low confidence. a 6-12 inch snow in cards for someone, who? every model says someone different i’d say lex has 1 in 5 chance of getting in on that 6-12 band, low confidence around here typically spells light snow
Are they there too? Can you believe they have no taxes over there?
WELL I PERSONALLY THINK, that the 18z gfs has WENT NUTS…it works an upper level system deep into Dixie behind the storm developing into a snowstorm in middle Ga. and south carolina, with snow all the way into FLORIDA !!!…HAS GFS GONE STUPID!!! or is it onto something…THAT WOULD BE OUR LUCK…a foot of snow on the beaches of south carolina..and our usual 2-4″ snowfall…
it’s the sahara desert i wouldn’t expect to many snow chances there with temps at night in the 60’s or so and highs well above 100. although looking at the map it’s a coastal community so it may be quite a bit cooler. 70 and sunny there this week according to weather.com.
most of the model runs have.
Thank you Mitch so much.She said it was coastal.They want me there if I take it asap and that bothers me.
cb your killin us man!!!
Every one acknowledges that our life is not cheap, nevertheless different people require money for various issues and not every man gets enough money. So to receive some credit loans or financial loan should be good solution.