Good Saturday, everyone. The final week of October is underway and the quiet weather days are now a thing of the past. This pattern is kicking it up a notch or ten as we close out the month and roll into early November. We have no shortage of weather to track during this time.

Speaking of tracking, I’m giving you guys a brand new tool to play with. I’m in the testing phase of an interactive radar that may become a permanent fixture on the blog. This has all the bells and whistles… street level radar, 60 minute looping radar, watches/warnings, storm reports, storm tracks, temperatures, winds and live storm chaser cams. You can also take this bad boy and show the weather anywhere in the country.

Give it a spin and tell me what you think…

Gusty winds will also highlight our day as the cold front moves in. We could see gusts reaching 30-35mph at times this afternoon and evening.

Showers should taper off from northwest to southeast on Sunday as cooler and drier air moves in here. Temps will be in the 60s.

The setup from Tuesday through Thursday continues to get my attention. Our low in the Gulf will lift northward into our region and combine forces with another system diving into the Midwest and Great Lakes. The models are now quicker in bringing the heavy rains in here with many showing the actions starting late Monday. Watch the progression from Monday Evening through Wednesday Evening…

GFS

That low REALLY deepens as it lifts northward and merges with the Lakes Low. This means we have to be watching for high winds and severe thunderstorms. That’s especially the case late Tuesday into Wednesday.

It also means quite a bit of rain could fall. Check out the model forecast from today through Thursday…

GFS 2

We should catch a windy break in the action from late Thursday into Friday as colder winds blow. That break appears to be short-lived as another potent system takes aim at the region Breeders Cup/Halloween weekend…

GFS 3

The pattern favors a significant storm system cutting off from the main flow somewhere in our region and points south. Exactly where that happens remains to be seen, but the GFS keeps that system in our region for several days.

The end result is more heavy rains and storms. The GFS two week rainfall forecast…

GFS 4

Listen, the pattern taking shape for the end of this month into November has an extreme look to it. November is likely to be a month that gives us an increased threat for big wind events, strong thunderstorms and the first snow of the season. I think it’s a volatile month to say the least.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.