Good Friday morning gang. I want to start off by saying a big thank you to everyone for helping me out by posting the weather conditions in your hometown. This truly is a weather community for the state of Kentucky and I am glad we keep building on something we started almost 5 years ago in Lexington. You guys rock!
Overall… I am very pleased with the way the storm played itself out across the area. I first issued this map early Tuesday outlining the area I had under a Winter Storm Threat…
That worked out like a charm as the area with the greatest threat picked up anywhere form 1″-6″ of snow. Lee county seemed to be ground zero for the snows with reports of 4″-6″ being rather common there. We had talked about there being a very sharp cutoff to the northern and western extent of the accumulating snows and that worked out well too. Sorry central Kentucky… We will work on making up for being left out. Don’t feel bad… I only got a half inch at my house. ![]()
I started blogging about this storm threat last weekend. The models were ALL well east of us, but with the famed northwest trend of the lows… we said to be on guard for that. It happened and this is the result.
I want to touch on a popular comment and email topic I have been getting. That is the blown forecasts from other sources with this storm that were occurring even as the snow was accumulating. Look… these people have to defend their own forecasts and why they missed this. If you have questions of them… don’t be afraid to shoot them some emails and ask them to explain. I will say one thing about it all, though. There is something fundamentally wrong with how some NWS folks go about putting a forecast together. Notice I say SOME…. not all of them. That’s all I have on that. ![]()
Let’s get to some of your snow pics from this winter storm…
Footprints in the snow courtesy of Michael S in Pulaski County…
Megan in Carter County has a simple note for the bloggers…
Chastity in Laurel County gives us a star wars snow pic…
Here is a good iphone shot of the snow starting out in Salyersville from my buddy Kelly (Whitey
)
Sticking with the hair color theme… our next pic comes from Blondie in Lincoln County…
That is just a sampling of our latest taste of winter weather here in the bluegrass.
A few snow showers and flurries will be flying by today as temps stay in the low 30s in most areas for highs. It is still looking like a bit of a warm up for Sunday and Monday ahead of our next surge of arctic air that will fight in Monday night and Tuesday with the threat for wintry weather.
The middle and end of next week across the country is going to be wild… again. We will see a HUGE temp gradient from north to south that will likely see a 100 degree spread. Guess what… we will likely be stuck on the fence for more snow and ice threats into the end of next week. Yay… can’t wait for more tough forecasts.
BTW… the models are going to REALLY struggle with the handling of this incredible temp setup next week so don’t buy any model or any solution you see right now.
I will update the look ahead later today. Until next time… take care.
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I would love to see another great storm like 93 but at least we are getting some snow already. This is what I remember as a kid some early snow to get you excited followed by at least a couple of nice one’s. Let’s just hope that’s the case this year.
Just a dusting in Knox county just to dagone wet and the temps didn’t get cold enough either was 34 most the even. Not saying it didn’t snow like the dickens buy with all the standing water out there and temps above freezing we ended up to no more accumulation than earlier this yr. So Chris you will need to work out something for this area as well 😉
Thanks Chris. You were right on for sure. Woodford got the ice, but I didn’t see a flake of snow all evening last night. I’m excited for those who got the white stuff though. Especially coffeelady who hasn’t seen much in the last few years. I saw a lot of new names posted during our excitement and I hope all continue to join us. Okay on to the next system. What’s down the pike of possibilites Chris??
Roooooolooooooo where are you this morning???
I’m taking my ball and going home!!! My whole county was shaded yellow on yesterdays map…and what did we get….a light coating on the deck furniture!..That’s such a letdown.
Mitch wrote:
numerous chances for overrunning frz rain and snow right up to christmas, with the best chances in the north and west vs the south and east.
typical winter SE KY gets the shaft yet again
Is it vacation time yet??… I only got a coating of snow to..while my neighbors in corbin got 2″..UGH!! and I have seen reports of as much as 6″ in spots this morning…double UGH!!!..I’m going back to bed…:(
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SE CAMPTON 37.67N 83.47W
12/12/2008 M6.0 INCH WOLFE KY NWS EMPLOYEE
HEAVY WET SNOW BROUGHT DOWN NUMEROUS TREES. OVER 18 TREES
ACROSS A MILE AND A HALF STRETCH OF LITTLE BLOODY CREEK
ROAD.
Well all I can say about this snowstorm missing my area is…BOOOOO!!!! 6″ in Lee County and nothing in Richmond??? Give me a break mother nature.
Thanks Chris…FLASH FLOOD WARNING extended until 8am for Letcher County. Eight inches of standing water over Highway 160 near Whitesburg…but water is receding in many places. Stay safe.
hey patty, I am late this moring.lol
got rowdy here last nite, we got out of four wheelers and stuff.
some slick roads out there this morng, be safe.
Chris got about 4 inches or better here in morgan co. It is beautiful the snow has stuck to everything. But I have bad news it kill my frosty the inflatable down to the ground he went flat as a pancake try to bring him back. Oh will i will miss him but look at the bright side I can go shopping for another one.
Went to bed dry… woke up dry! I guess that should be normal since I am in my mid-thirties… ha ha, LOL! Lexington got nada and I am headed for snow of a different kind… man made on the slopes! Be safe everyone… and remember from your friendly blogging cop… “Drive smart and safe… hey! Arrive alive!”
MJ That was not nice the last comment you made. I never said i was smart but at least I don’t get paid to be smart, And its not my vault that you guys can’t get the forecast right. Me and my daughters had plan to go shopping last night and if i had not belive in Chris Bailey and his forecast we could have been out on some very bad roads last nigh.t You know i don’t claim to be real smart but I’m smart enought to get my forecast from Chris and not the NWS i’m sorry Chris but I can’t stand it when someone try to make someone feel stupid where its myself or someone else…..
Honestly, this storm worked out EXACTLY as expected…with central KY getting nothing, and eastern KY seeing a little snow/ice. Personally, from what I saw, the models did a pretty darn good job with this storm in the 24-36 hours before it struck.
Also, I would hope that this doesn’t turn into a NWS bash fest. LMK, for example, DID put out freezing rain advisories BEFORE the ice hit, and they did issue Winter Weather Advisories last night before the snow really hit. What else do you people want?
Sure, no forecast is perfect…but to say they are trash forecasters is a bit harsh. Also, kudos to Chris… Good job on this storm bud!
6″ of snow in southcentral Jackson County and power was off the majority of the night. Trees limbs and electric lines hanging very low to the ground.
Another fence rider next week, huh? Guess what side we’ll be on? Its really starting to sound like a broken record. If this is the way its going to be, then I’d just as soon skip winter altogether from now on! Thankfully I’m headed to Florida for Christmas, where after yesterday there’s probably a better chance for snow on the ground than here, and if it doesn’t snow, then I’m guaranteed nice weather! Sorry, gotta vent a little!
Wow. Talk about getting the shaft. There wasn’t even a skiff of snow in my yard. We totaled absolutely nothing during this storm. Congrats to those of you who got snow from this. May you never see snow again. LOL just kidding. Maybe one day I will get mine.
WXman,NWS in jackson puts out a winter storm warning in morgan co after we already have a good 3 inches on the ground roads are slick and snow cover and there forecast less than a half inch well to me that’s a bad forecast….
I still can’t get over it. I’m 20 minutes from Wolfe Co. and they get 6 inches compared to my trace. Sheesh. I’ll be mad until the next threat. LOL
ur drunk, CLAY CO was even in the first weather advisory down here, we had 2 inches on ground with hwavy snow and still no advisory, wait a minute they finally issued one.
the fact is they can read update info just like CB and others.
they deserve to be bashed, there were dozen of kids and adults who got in a mess last nite.
me and u stay on top on computer and stuff, but a majority of people get their weather from radio and TV, and if u did that yesterday u was out on roads not worried about anything.
tell the young girl who lost her car last nite cause of a wreck, thankfully she wasnt injuried.
u must me a NWS guy, cause only loyally workers can take up for them and that forcast last nite.
Good for you Marsha but i don’t know if his comment was more towards you or Vinny either way he has no business making personal attacks
LOL. Our inflatable didn’t like the ice either. I had to do rehab. on it to get it standing up again. 🙂
Maybe the NWS is gunshy because if they call for big snow and it doesn’t happen, people yell CRUCIFY! And if they don’t call for big snow and it does happen, people yell CRUCIFY! After a while I’m sure that gets old to them. So, maybe they are just trying to play it safe and cover the best they can? A thought….
In any case, I can’t speak for JKL because I don’t live in their forecast area. But I know that LMK did a pretty good job for central KY. Again, no real complaints here.
Rolo, My husband was on his way to work this morning there was a salt truck over the hill going toward Salyerville I expect more from the NWS than what we get people life are at stake Chris can’t get the word to everybody He’s only one man.
WXman it doesn’t matter if you miss a forecast for a big snow be a professional like Chris admit it go on I much rather miss a snow forecast than what happen last night The most inportant thing here is people’s lives.
And you know if Chris had miss that forecast last night they would have been all over him.NWS admit you was wrong and go on…….
I will be straight out with this storm and the previous snows…we have already(Pike County) received more snow this year than we did all of last year, this is our 3rd snow on the ground and it isn’t even Christmas yet. Keep on bloggin’ the weather Chris, I trust your forecast more than the rest put together.
I guess he could have meant Vinny But it doesn’t matter Vinny is part of our blog family. Vinny I’m there for ya man. Vinny if they pay us the big buck we will try to be smart…….
WXman, rehab couldn’t save my snowny….
Chris, thanks for sharing the snow pics. I took some, too, if you still want to see them. We only got about half an inch at our house, too, but it sure madeit look like a winter wonderland! Roads in front of my house were solid ice this morning, as well as the side road I travel to work.
Sure did make it feel like Christmas, though! BTW, the eastern part of Pulaski County got more than we did.
One of my hubby’s co-workers got around 2 inches, and could not get out of her drive this morning, it was so slick.
Everybody have a great day, and be careful out there on the slick roads!
Looking forward to your thought on next week Chris. IF we can’t get snow for Christmas, please let it at least be cold!
I have been working in Jackson County for over 10 years and when I left down there last night, it was as rough as I have seen it. It was putting down a good inch an hour for at least 5 hours. Heavy, beautiful and dangerous.
It has been a long time since I have seen it accumulate that fast.
Well, our arctic air is looming up in Canada: parts of the Dakotas are predicted to get up to a foot of snow with Blizzard watches out for all of ND and most of SD. They’re predicting along with the snow, highs below zero during the event, followed by highs in the negative teens and lows approaching -20! Hope some of that cold and snow make it to our neck of the woods (just not as extreme in the cold department) because hope is all we seem to have anymore around here!
just a report from my house, at the
Rowan/Morgan/Eliott county line, we got
3 inches AND it is STILL
snowing…little tiny constant
flakes….yea winter!!!!
Could someone please remind me of Chris’s email so I can send some pictures of my snow? I have close to 2 maybe 3 inches so I am very happy!
Year after year this seems to be a recurring theme, with good reason. No one tried to “make you look stupid”, you do a good enough job yourself.
I want to give kudos to CB he did do best with this storm, normally i’d be out to yell and “CRUCIFY” lol, the other forecasters but the fact is here in kentucky ANY snow forecast south and east of I-71 is a roll of the dice game to play. How many times have the models showed a spectacular snow for us to get only rain or the dreaded wrap around flurries? The lmk office had good reason to not overcall this event, kudos to them as well, i mean it was ALL DAY literally 32 and plain rain with a little sleet in lexington, now most places 32 and rain means freezing rain or heavy snow, but this is ky the brunt of snowstorms miss the state with the exceptions of i-71 points northwest. I still think for lexington atleast that the best snows we are ever going to get (3-4”) will very typically be last minute or surprise events the last few with this past march are not an exception to that theory. i just hope we can get 1” on the ground for christmas thats all i ask then from december 26 through march 21 we can get all the 32 degree rains mother nature wants to throw at us and i will just think atleast we covered the ground for christmas, this weenie is out!!!
at a gas station i saw a guy from rowan county with alot of snow on his car, he says they got about 3-4” and it fell pretty much all at once, jim cantore on twc mentioned snowfall rates of 2” per hour in parts of eastern ky last night, just give me two hours of that and i will be happy
Wxman.. So you’re saying SIX inches of snow is “a little snow/ice”..?
Just hours before the event Jackson was calling for half inch or less in many areas that a few hours later had 4-6 inches on the ground.. I would say that’s a pretty bad forecast..
None at my house in Lexington. I was hoping, but dry roads and dry grass this morning. My santa had a few ice drops on him last night at 9, but that is it. BOO HOO!
Never Mind…I found it! 🙂
whens the next threat i am lost without a threat a weenie has no heartbeat
Jeff, where do you live in Jackson County? I am in the Moores Creek area and we didn’t have an electric problem. I was just wondering how close we were to freezing last night. I am all electric, so we would have had to go somewhere in the mess. Trees here seem to be ok, but if we get out today we will keep our eyes open.
Looks like we got about 3-4 inches here in the Moores Creek area. I am not prepared as I can’t find a ruler anywhere. I do know this is the most snow at one time that I have seen in a couple of years. I enjoyed my extra time in bed this morning. Hope everyone has a safe day.
Marsha…that was not directed to you in anyway. Sorry for the confusion.
We didn’t get a lot of snow on the ground here in East Point (Johnson County), but it surely was beautiful when it was coming down!
Last night while it was snowing so beautifully, I took my 17-month old granddaughter, Dakota, out to watch it snow. Maybe it was because she was with me, but I saw the snow through her eyes, and it was magical! She held her little face up and let the snow fall down on it, she tried to catch the big flakes with her tiny hands, and she kept going, “Wow!”(She got that from her favorite cartoon character, Wow Wow Wubbzy). I’ve never had so much fun in snow in a lonnnngggg time! Dakota makes all the difference!
Here is the deal, we got reports, and based on the those and the meteorological aspects of things, we went with an advisory. Yeah, it was precipitating before it went out, but my counties were covered before it got bad. The freezing rain advisory went out way before it happened even without that much model support.
Not that most would care, but meteorology is in exact science. Thus, we’re not always going to get each storm right.
Much of your criticism is unwarranted, but this is a free country and you are entitled to your opinion.
With that said, I am officially leaving the board. This was a great weather community until some on here decided that they knew much more than everyone else. With as much negativity going in this world, I don’t need to read it here.
I hope this winter brings you the snow that you want.
I live about 2 miles north of Annville. I am also all electric. Just add extra blankets as needed. The tree limbs along my drive way were only about 4 feet off the ground this morning.
This is not a nice thing to say. I don’t know who you are, but I feel that we should all be more tolerant. Everyone has their own opinion, and Chris said those who did should email the people in question and let them know their feelings. The purpose of a blog is to make comments, yes…but not hurtful, derogatory ones. To direct a comment with harmful intent to someone personally isn’t acceptable. I believe Marsha’s and Vinny’s comments were not directed at any one person in particular, at least I don’t recall reading any names. MJ works for the NWS, he doesn’t own it and he is just doing his job, just like the other forecasters. We have this wonderful little blog and Chris, who is really very good at reading the maps and other details, so we do have a heads up on lots of weather happenings. We can spread the word to others, and if they choose not to listen, that is their right. It would be really nice if everyone would agree to disagree and just let it go at that. So…Eye, while you are entitled to your opinion, your direct comment was out of line…did you ever hear of “Judge not”?
MJ, I wish you wouldn’t leave the blog. I enjoy reading your comments and thoughts as well as WXman’s and Tim’s and anyone else who knows about the maps and details. There are many of us on here who do know that meteorology is not an exact science, and no one ever gets all storms right. I agree, we don’t need all the negativity, there is too much of it already in the world. Please do not let this keep you from being part of the blog.
I read what Chris says and believe it and then read or listen to the others for fun. Thanks, Chris, for the real forecast. The snow coated everything and is so beautiful. We got about 2 to 3 inches here in Ravenna. The snow is clinging to the tree limbs and looks like a Christmas card. The snow day sure helps me to get more done for the holiday. Take care everyone and hope the rest of the state gets snow soon.
MJ:
We all get mad and say things we don’t mean, but I was venting about the NWS as a whole, not you personally. Chris has documented his frustrations with them for years, but you never insult him personally do you?
Your personal attack on me was uncalled for, but that’s ok, I’m too stupid to know what you smart mean anyways…
Great job CB, you nailed this one my friend..!
…
chris:great work on your first winter threat of the season. its amazing the
sharp cut off of snow. of course we have seen this before in kentucky. still
plenty of winter left. waiting for the big one in georgetown.
Same over here as some in central KY….nothing, lol. A few flakes, that was it. Snow all around though. Ah…
well I went on a full page rant on the lack of advisories in an appropriate amount of time last night.but i erased it. decided its time to just MOVE ON to the next big storm coming down the road and HOPE that we (((ALL))) get in on a half of foof of snow…LOL…:)..might as well smile, frowning down make it any better…SO SMILE..CHRISTMAS IS JUST 2 WEEKS AWAY!!!
oops meant to say: frowning dont make it any better
Say what you want, Chris is doing the weather for his new job to get the weather out to the people in WV and doing it for us on top of all that. With all the other weather gurus around you would think the advisorys would have been out sooner. Some places had nothing even with it comming down! Hello? Even if CB did get this one wrong, you would have never ever seen CB wait until theres two inches of snow on the ground before he mentioned it.
Thanks, Chris, for posting my “star wars” picture. I love star wars so it seems a fitting title for that one. 😉
We ended up with a good 3.5″ to 4″ of snow here in East Bernstadt. SOOOO PRETTY! I’ve already been out in London today and it looks like they might have gotten around 3″. Main roads are clear but side roads still a mess in some areas.
i like STAR WARTS to chas.
Thats because Chris runs the blog your not the only one he blasted btw but the other person he ran his mouth off to is more mature and grown up than he is.
I agree. I wish you would not leave the board either. Truth is, even those of us with meteorology background including Chris himself do not have the background that you have MJ. A true Atmospheric Sciences degree is NOT easy to come by and those who earn it have an understanding of the dynamics that control weather that no one else does. Your input on this board was invaluable and unique. How many weather blogs like this get input from a true atmospheric meteorologist? Very few. It would be a shame to see you go and let these people run you off. Though if you do, I understand why. The NWS bashing has been brutal here for 2 years.
In any case, yes some counties report 6″ or a little more of snowfall. But that is not the average. Most places got a little snow. Still, I’m sure they’ll take it. Winter is only beginning and we’ll have more…
Must be nice….all the other counties sans one cancelled around us.
MJ,please don’t leave the blog we all say thing we don’t mean and sometimes we the bloggers take thing the wrong way you said that you was sorry that was not meant toward me evan if it was sorry would be enough for me when i talk about NWS in jackson i don’t mean anything bad toward you It would really would hurt me to think i cause you not to blog with us or read the blog PLEASE don’t stop blogging with us….
I’m not evan going to touch that I have cause enough problem on here this morning and for that I’m am so sorry to Chris and all the bloggers…….
Rhonda I wasn’t talking about your comment. that one eye-dee-ten
i know my car got white and then the snow stopped..what area in lincoln co do you live?? i’m in the kings mtn area
Thanks Rhonda!
Well I just cannot believe Bloggers would argue about the weather! Politics and religion YES but the WEATHER????
se ky got this last storm. hopefully we will all get plenty of snow by christmas!