*****UPDATE******
A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY has just been issued for areas along Interstate 64 from the Morehead area back toward the Lexington and Frankfort areas! Slick travel will soon begin to develop as temps are already dropping below freezing in some areas.
I had mentioned earlier that the strong north winds had me a little nervous as that is a sure sign of colder air moving in. Temps are currently running below where the models think they should be and this will make for one heck of a tough Thursday forecast.
I will tackle that later tonight. The rest of the Houston snow post is below…
Good evening gang and thanks for blogging with us today. I am waiting on all the latest computer runs to come in before I make some maps for your Thursday storm. That post should be coming along a little after 11.
I wanted to show you a couple of pics I just came across from some of my fellow weather geeks from Houston, Texas…
It is snowing all the way to the Gulf of Mexico! I will be looking to see how close the snows can get to New Orleans alter tonight. 
You guys want to know what will happen around here… not the big easy! 
1.Potential for some freezing drizzle or freezing rain overnight across the northern and central Kentucky. This could cause some slick travel and is something to watch out for.
2. Heavy rains develop early Thursday in the south and east then spreading north and northeast. This will change over to a mix by early afternoon then to wet snow by later in the afternoon from northwest to southeast. When it changes is the BIG question and will be the main factor on how much snow can fall.
3. There will be a sharp north and west cutoff to the precip shield.
4. Clipper system for Friday will bring snow showers and flurries to central and eastern Ky and this can bring some light accumulations.
5. Arctic air set to make a return to the region by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week after taking a Sunday/Monday break. The setup is one that can lead to widespread wintry weather for a lot of the country.
More on all that later tonight so check back. Until then… take care and think snow!
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Thanks for the update Chris…we were all waiting for it!
Snow that far south reminds me of Christmas of 2004… Seems like that winter we couldn’t buy a small snow and parts of South Texas got over a foot of snow on christmas…lol.. go figure…. hopefully that won’t happen again this year
Chris, I don’t see anything that makes me think that we will get much out of htis from your post. I am thinking that we will, once again, wind up with a lot of rain, and very little snow on the back side, as usual. Your post just did not sound very promising….
I hope your later post is a little bit more promising….but I still have hope. I will keep a good thought, but, at this point, I am going to have to see it to believe it…maybe others on here can build my confidence about it…
Thanks Chris. We are setting records on this blog tonight.
im bummed cuz that jus really didnt say anything lol come on cb throw us a bone lol i jus hope it all dont start until i get outta work tomorrow eve cuz i dont wanna miss it!!!!
Tease… 35 right now in Grayson, Ky… that’s about 20 miles west of Ashland, ky… I hope we get it!
I’ll take 3 inches… c’mon.. I’m not picky!
Thanks Chris….Everyone be safe on the roads!
It is currently 33 degrees and is misting. Everything is wet and if we fall below 32, I’m sure we will at least have some delays in the morning. I sure hope we at least get a few inches out of this. The Christmas lights look pretty against the white snow.
Rolo…here’s another song for the day…”Something’s Coming” (Yes, remember them?)
I believe, it’s too close not to give a little.
Everyone drive carefully.
frz rain advisory now for LEX AREA. down to 33
I guess I could have told you I am in Flemingsburg….Sorry!
Chris-
I’ve already heard about the Houston snow via my “BFF”..lol! -I only know of one other time (96?!) since she’s lived there they got snow (it lasted all of 45 min’s before melting..?!) I’m still awaiting word from my friend in MS…
correct me if I am wrong, but I think this system just might be like the 04 Christmas storm that hit us here in NC KY. and left you guys East of me BEGGING??!- (Sorry if I offend anyone..it’s just that everything is seemingly going into play here, just like that storm did??! And trust me, my friends, you don’t want ANY PART OF IT!!!?:()
New song of the day: “Something’s Coming” by Yes…remember them?
Everyone please drive carefully.
Let’s try this again…I guess I could have let everyone know that my location is Flemingsburg…Sorry!
Ohh, the dreaded darkside returns…will we only get a dusting or something much more than that?
One thing’s for sure, I TOLD you the forecasting offices wouldn’t know what to do with this! That’s ALMOST always a good sign. 😛
But I’m not saying anything yet, because there’s no snow outside my door, so I am still not going to believe any hype about rain, ice, sleet, or snow.
Sunny at 10:12 PM with a balmy 80 degrees here in my home.
=DarkSideAaron=
O.K. I know those folks down there are going absolutely NUTS!! and bombarding the grocery stores. BUT SNOW ALL THE WAY TO THE GULF!!! THATS JUST WRONG IN SO MANY WAYS WHEN We ARE HALF A COUNTRY TO THE NORTH AND GETTING RAIN..I’d love to see those kids down there right about now…I bet they are having a BLAST!!
Thanks Chris…FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES already posated for parts of Central Kentucky:
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=KY&prodtype=warnings
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
958 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008
…FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON THURSDAY…
.COLD AIR IS MOVING INTO THE REGION AS A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO
THE AREA. A WAVE HAS FORMED ON THE FRONT AND WILL MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT AND THE RESULTING OVER-RUNNING AIR WILL
DROP RAIN AND OR DRIZZLE ONTO THE FREEZING GROUND. INITIALLY…THE
BIGGEST THREAT WILL BE ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES…HOWEVER IT MAY
ALSO EXTEND TO THE MAIN ROADS BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-111100-
/O.NEW.KJKL.ZR.Y.0004.081211T0400Z-081211T1700Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLEMINGSBURG…MOUNT STERLING…
OWINGSVILLE…MOREHEAD…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…SANDY HOOK
958 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008
…FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST THURSDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST THURSDAY.
COLD AIR IS PUSHING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. AS THE
TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING…THE RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL BEGIN TO
FREEZE ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AFTER 11 PM AND THEN EVENTUALLY ON
THE ROADWAYS BY THE EARLY MORNING.
A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
$$
JJ
NWS in Lou. just put out a freezing rain adv. for the Lex area up to around Morehead. Calling for a low of 31 tonight. Morning rush could be interesting. Be careful out there. Hope we get some snow out of this.
I’m new at this….I am trying to let everyone know that I am located in Flemingsburg, KY. I hope this works. The temperature here is 33 degrees with a cold mist falling.
Hi Robert from Flemingsburg. Here’s hoping for a “dusting”. 😉
Temp on the Rowan/Carter line, about a mile south of I-64 via the crow, is 32.5.
Well I’m doubting we will have to worry about that down here along the border We are still having a hard time getting the thermometer to get below 40° its dropping but E-V-E-R so Slowly..
My house therm. 12miles south of Corbin.
41
drizzle/light rain
breezy
boom blizzard for all!!!
Hey Nate.. I’m in Grayson, Ky… Are you a teacher?
Weather.com is so wrong it isn’t funny… Their forecast says it’s not going to get to 32 or below until tomorrow afternoon in Carter County… Like Nate said, it’s already 32.5… Maybe, just maybe they were under-estimating this!
I hope we get a lot of snow or a lot of rain here in Woodford Co. PLEASE NO ICE!!! I don’t want another 2003 Ice Storm.
weather.com forecasts are made by bigger weenies than me lol cant trust those!!
I know what you mean tim… been stuck at 38 at my house in Somerset for some time now..but I don’t mind..I can do without the freezing drizzle and rain.
Thanks for the reply Amy…Where is your location?
Welcome Robert.We are so snow deprived here we dont know what snow looks like against out Christmas lights,we can tell you all about cold rain lol!!! Many years ago i seem to remember the snow was very beautiful on the Christmas lights.Gang we all have to head to Roberts house to see that snow on those lights lol!!!!! You dont have to be crazy to blog here but it helps lol!!!!! Welcome
snow is falling all the way to Galveston Island on the coast of Texas with a temp of 33.
………………
And all Of Louisiana is under a Winter weather adv. with the extreme southern parishes (almost to New Orleans)about 1″ of snow/sleet if forecast for Baton Rouge just to the north of Orleans..CRAZY WEATHER!!!
suppose to say with(out) the extreme parishes
I’m not sure I can mention GOD because he has gotten kicked out of everything else, (including his own birthday…geesh!) but does anyone else think that GOD sets up in heaven and laughs at man trying to predict something they have no control over? I think he uses if for amusement…Snow in Houston down to the Gulf…I can find the humor in that.
Well, looks like I am in the freezing rain advisory, it is raining lightly here at the moment, so NOT GOOD! I guess if there is ANY good news here weather wise tonight is it is very windy. Maybe that will atleast help keep the pavement dry. YES Tim food will get me to say something and as far as being in Texas still……nah, I was up near the panhandle so I would have missed the snow anyway, but the family says it is COLD there right now. Well take care everyone and stay safe! 🙂 😉
GOOD LORD I’ll get it right eventually, I’ve been at this too long today…
………………
WITH OUT THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PARISHES..now thats that…
Richmond.
i feel you robert human beings give themselves too much credit, but i rekon thats human nature, snowing at 33 hmmm someone tell nws it CAN snow over 32
Thanks Crystal…that’s a great name..my wife’s name is Kristal. My son is hoping for no school. We are under the freezing rain advisory..I made the mistake of telling him, so now he doesn’t want to go to bed. He’s 11. Where are you located?
i love tx, i have been all over in my wanderings, pan handle is amazing so flat and endless, an ocean of short grass and sand dunes, clint eastwood country!!!
You need to get the rest of the crew in gear…Were glad your back here anyways:)Boy oh Boy SNOgo will be NUTS in the morning…along with wrecks on top of wrecks because people think when they get behind the wheel they are invincible. 70mph+ice= highway patrol NIGHTMARE!!!
GO EKU!!! I’m a Kentucky fan and attended MSU. Let’s hope for some fun winter weather..but not the accidents.
Yep, you’re right Tommy. In fact, I’ve seen it snow at 40, and I’ve seen freezing rain at 19 degrees. 🙂
yea i have seen frz rain with low 20s its all up to the atmosphere temps at 3-5k feet, this appears to be a storm thats column cools thats good news, btw light drizzle and flurries here in lex, light mist more than anything
Check out this radar view out of The gulf states. Heavy snow in east Texas all the way to the gulf. Dont be suprised to hear someone tomorrow, getting a record setting THUMPING of snow.
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USLA0338&enlarge=true
Robert I am in Pikeville.It is 2 1/2 hours south of Lexington.I am about 45 minutes from the Va border or the wv border.I bet you dont have school tomorrow.I remember that great excitement as a kid waiting to see if school was called. I agree your wife has a great name lol
okay…now I’m having trouble posting and I never had that problem before. I apologize for the double posting.
Robert, I think God has a whole lot to do with the weather and everything else, and I don’t mind saying so. I can see the humor in what you said, I just don’t think He would do that to us Kentucky snow lovers, lol.
CoffeeLady, 33 degrees with a brisk north wind here in Eubank and mist hanging in the air. Might be hope yet.
the latest GFS is showing some good moisture…but the temps will be the story… I hope the cold air can win the battle.
48 in harlan with rain wooohooo rain!!! not!
I have been to Paintsville before and one of my friends is from the Inez area, so I am quite familiar with the area. It’s nice to meet you..at least in word anyway. Have a Merry Christmas.
gfs has lex in .25-.5 qfp closer to .25, BUT i think thats underdoing qfp, i am a weenie thats my story and i am stickin to it! 😀
THis is CRAZY!! Jim Cantore on the weather channel just said banding is taking place over Galveston area where it is snowing heavily with a visibility down under 2 miles. they could possibly see HEAVY ACCUM. on Galveston Island…and they are still recovering from Hurricane Ike…HURRICANE/snow..NUTS!!!
Merry Christmas to you and your family and yes I do believe God has a say in all of it.I was just in Inez last night small world.
Tommy…I’m going to show my ignorance, but does the .25-.5 qfp mean liquid equivilancy of about 2-4 inches of snow?
Just wondering.
46 now with rain still in harlan
It just feels like there’s snow in those low lying clouds in Richmond. Whaddaya think Amy?
3-5″ predicted for east-central LA tonight as well…the world has gone completely nuts!
I have a quick question. Looking at the current surface temps according to the 00z GFS, it shows the freezing line to be up in Central Indiana and Ohio. In actuality, the freezing mark is right at Lexington. Is this a sign that things may end up colder than what the models are indicating? As we all know, 3-5 degrees can make all the difference in the world.
Just got some pics from my Aunt in College Station, TX. That’s just not right to see TEXAS snow pictures!!! LOL She said it will be 50 tomorrow.
Robert….if you’ve figured that much out, you’re ahead of the game!!!! I never know what it means!!!! That’s why I rely on our little weather community, and of course the AWESOME CB!!
Its 41* and misty rain down here on the border!Repeat after me : SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW
🙂
Well I haven’t been posting but definitely reading the blog…I sure do hope we can squeeze some snow out of this one but I’m trying really hard not to get my hopes up. I’ve got my fingers crossed though!!!!!
You may be on to something. They sure look odd. Guess we’ll see if we get that old school “dusting”! LOL
TG is talking about temps staying above freezing here in the south but if the rains start won’t evaporative cooling play a role in bring the temps on down considering they’re border line now?
Maybe there’s something to the lack of sun spots.
27 says could see couple inches in SE KY of snow and thats after an inch + of rain
18 says almost all rain for SE KY i suppose we will see what happens
Which translates to…No one knows what it’s going to do.
a big yes on that one justin!
Tricky tricky tricky tricky….
Chris, can you go with your gut, like you did back in 98? Not saying that this storm will be anything like it (highly doubtful,) but it would be good if you could stand against the crowd of other forecasters and simply speak your mind as to what you think will happen.
You know when the weather goes awry according to the models, and you know what should happen. So take your viewpoint and please let us know what you think!
*ahem* not worried at all….
=DarkSideAaron=
my biggest concern over the past 2 days may be coming true, an icy rush hour on thursday.
only if the upper low itself moves overtop that allows cooling from top to bottom. or we get some wrap around cold air, or if the precip is coming down so hard and temps are in mid 30’s that can cause cooling as well…I hoped that helped instead of confused..lol
Not much hope from Jackson on this storm being any kind of snow producer whatsoever
Special Weather Statement
(Expires: Thursday December 11 12:00AM EST)
special weather statement
national weather service jackson ky
444 pm est wed dec 10 2008
fleming-montgomery-bath-rowan-estill-powell-menifee-rockcastle-
jackson-pulaski-elliott-morgan-wolfe-lee-
including the cities of…flemingsburg…mount sterling…
owingsville…morehead…irvine…stanton…frenchburg…
mount vernon…mckee…somerset…sandy hook…west liberty…
campton…beattyville
444 pm est wed dec 10 2008
…wintery weather possible late tonight into thursday night…
a low pressure system passing by to the southeast of kentucky will
combine with cold temperatures to bring a threat of wintery weather
to the region. rain overnight has the potential to mix with freezing
rain or sleet toward dawn on thursday and last into the day. at this
time…accumulations of freezing rain or sleet look to be minimal…
although some slick roads can not be ruled out. a brief change to
snow may occur before precipitation moves out of the area thursday
afternoon and evening. little or no snow accumulation is expected.
this is a complicated weather system and it would only take a small
change in forecast temperatures to result in an increase or decrease
in the threat for snow or ice.
stay tuned to noaa weather radio…local radio and television media
for further details or updates. for more information…visit our
internet web site at weather.gov/jacksonky.
[back to top]
Bring it on
Just be safe if thats the case tomorrow
Tony Caviler on WSAZ just said lex would get snow tommorow.Jim on wymt said 1-3 inches but they are saying our snow in eastern Ky wont get in till tommorow night or late afternoon
If you can get a county map out, I have issued my own “preliminary” WSW for several counties, and this will go for December 11th and 12th. Could it change? Yes, and still fairly possible even at this point.
The key thing to remember is, if we are going to get the changeover to snow, the low will have to gain strength and create its own dynamic cooling system as it moves just to our southeast in Tennessee, (the low should be near Sevierville, Gatlinburg, Pigeon Forge, etc.)
If, and I repeat IF….IF the low strengthens before it takes its journey up to the east side of the apps, then we WILL see a changeover to cooler air that is conducive to snow as the column of air will be cooled thanks to the low gaining strength. Do you notice that there is already snow in Texas? Hello!!!!!! There’s a lot of cold air being wrapped into the northern side of the storm. That means with marginal temps already, we’re going to have an extremely difficult forecast.
But, basically, if you have your county maps out, I’ve issued my own WSW for all counties along this line, and all counties in Kentucky to points east:
Allen, Barren, Metcalfe, Green, Taylor, Marion, Washington, Anderson, Franklin, Scott, Harrison, Pendleton and Campbell.
All counties along this line and points east will see the heaviest precip and the highest chances for precip changing over to a possible accumulation later Thursday.
Far eastern Kentucky will depend on the strength of the low and how much cold air can be wrapped into it.
=DarkSideAaron=
where you been hiding all day, you’ve only posted 2 or 3 comments…
The only problem with this is, there isn’t going to be much in the way of wrap around. This storm isn’t going to be extremely wound up until it gets farther north. Also, this storm is going to be moving quickly enough that any wrap around snow you do see will be light at best. There is no blocking going on for this storm to be slowed down so if you want a good snow, you had better hope the temps tank before the mainstream moisture is gone or else you will be left with flooding rains and no snow.
We are still at 40 degrees in Pikeville bummer
Been at work most the day big boy
It’s gonna Snow…it’s gonna Ice…I just saw our 4 local forecasts’ and they STILL have NO CLUE…???!! NO CLUE WHATSOEVER..not even GOING THERE??!- One says east of here, a little ‘freezing drizzle”…another says a “flurry”..#3 says..ehhh..watch out for overpasses!!”..Nextun’
says “NOTHING!-ZILCH!-NADA!-ZERO!…
Still nothing from my friend in Jackson,MS…I’m SURE she would yell at me,if only to make fun of us here…?!- I called Lisa in Channelview,TX to say..once again..”I DESPISE YOU!!”..lol!(She says it’s melting soon as it hits the ground there…yippeee!!)
Buster says it’s “snowy weather out there!?”…I don’t fuss with anything with worse hair than mine….LOL!:D
i would be on Freaksters but everybody has abandoned that one just like youbuddies
32° here in Bardstown, and a light “drizzle”??!
I’m still sayin’….lol!:D
same here crystal, its kind of got me worried,because its dropping ever so slowly. and a higher temp. to start with tomorrow just means longer to get below freezing to change to snow…
Debbie, if it’s 32 where you are, that precip will freeze within 25-30 minutes time. Looks like possible hazardous driving conditions for where you are already.
Motorists beware…
=Aaron=
SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW
I WILL GO TO FREAKSTERS LOL 🙂
Yep, Aaron…I just walked out and my deck is starting to “crust over” here??!- it’s VERY LIGHT,tho…??! I still can’t figure out why my dogs are going outside and coming inside with wet/sticky hair,tho, and there seems to be NOTHING falling outside??! (What is freezing is what was puddled from the rain last night..?!)
..and NO…they’re not out there rollin’ round…lol!:) They barely get off the deck,do their ‘what-not’, then come back inside…??! LOL!:)
Does anyone out there know where Bernie is??! I’ve IM’ed him once since he’s been in OKC and nothing since??! Anyone??! (Vinny??!)
He’s in OKC…
I chat with him just about every day on AIM
showers forming over all of tenn and east ky these should move northward reaching the lex metro by 4 or 5am sooner for those of you s and e of the metro. of course if it is below 32 frz rain will occur.
Tell him I was thinking about him, and that we plan on coming out there to OK in the Spring (God Willing…lol)-I’m sure he still has my e-mail, so let him know we might just creep up on his butt!!:D