Good Morning everyone and thanks for blogging with me. I am much later than normal with this post because of the UK game!! GO BIG BLUE!!! 
I won’t take very long with this post as even I have to sleep some! There is not a whole lot of change that I have for you since my last update. Things appear to be coming together for a low pressure to track across the area Sunday with mainly rain. Colder air moves in for Sunday night and Monday with a decent amount of backlash snows developing across the region.
The European model continues to be solid as a rock with the forecast and looks to be the superior model in forecasting this storm. Here it is…
SUNDAY EVENING
MONDAY EVENING
That is basically the scenario I described above! The GFS is starting to look a lot like the European…
SUNDAY EVENING
MONDAY MORNING
MONDAY EVENING
Our biggest problem with this storm is that we don’t have a whole lot of REALLY cold air to work with once the low goes by. We will likely see rain changing to snow from west to east Sunday night with snow and snow showers continuing into Monday. Temps Monday will be in the low to even mid 30s so any accumulation would be slushy. Temps do crash into the low to mid 20s Monday night as snow showers continue. This is the time I expect the best chances for accumulations. I cannot see anything more than 1″-3″ of snow at the absolute max as of right now. Could this change? Sure as we may get some Lake Michigan moisture in here that would help enhance the snows.
Highs Tuesday could stay in the upper 20s in many areas… especially if we have snow on the ground.
While all this is still a few days away… I reserve the right to “massage” the forecast as needed!
Once we get rid of this system… LOOK OUT BELOW! Our first true taste of arctic air is coming for the end of the week. Now… we have been WELL below normal for the past 2 weeks without any arctic air at all. Imagine what we can do once it gets into the region! 
The arctic front should be arriving on the scene late Wednesday or Thursday. The GFS is much faster with the front and has it in here Wednesday evening…
That would be a nice little rain to snow event around here. The European model is about a half day slower with the front and plows it through here early Thursday. Check out the arctic cold on this map…
You get the idea… BRRRRRRRRR! The computer generated temps coming from the models for the end of next week are going to take a pounding. This is for both the raw numbers and the MOS. Look for them to trend MUCH colder in the coming days.
This front is the first step in setting the stage for a potential no holds barred wintry pattern for much of the country. The arctic air will be around as the southern branch of the jet stream becomes VERY active meaning winter storm threats could be plentiful. The first such system may be knocking on our door next weekend.
Well… I have written more than I had intended. I am long winded on tv and apparently in blogging too.
Several updates will be coming through the weekend so be sure to check back.
Take care and GO BIG BLUE!!!!
Select Page
There’s only one 7-letter word I can come up with right now about all of this.
Hmmmmmm……
=Aaron=
P.S. —Thanks for the update, Chris. 🙂
CB i dont know what to think about liggins not wanting to go back in game tonite.
ok alao isnt there always not enough cold air in place when any system comes our way.
I mean 5 days out looks GREAT, then it goes away. I dont see anything changing.
artic cold no system, then get a ststem warmer air. we CANT WIN.
O.K….Now I’m officially sad! 🙁 I know better than to get my hopes up.
Morning Chris and all. thanks for the update, chris. NOt as good as we had hoped for, but the season is still young, so I am not really too disappointed. I AM happy that the CATS won last night, though we could not get the game as it was on ESPNU. Listened to a little bit of it, but not being able to see it is just not as exciting, so I went to sleep. Anyway, whether it snows or not, looks like we are all gonna need to dig out the winter weather gear in earnest by the end of the week! Now, if I can just remember where I put my long johns…… 😉 GO BIG BLUE!
Looking forward to the next update, Chris! Have a GREAT day, all!
…..GO BIG BLUE !!!…..
Like I said the other day, I get depressed hearing: little or no snow accumulations, or light snow accumulations mainly in the higher elevations..BLAH,BLAH,BLAH…BUT!!as coffeelady said the seasons young and there is plently of potential on the table in the weeks ahead. Lets just hope it works out for the benefit of our backyards!!!:).. Chris was mentioning the storm next weekend. last night one of the models was laying a 2-4″ snow on the ground in southern tn.northern ga,and s.c. …. BUT as always take those maps with a grain of salt from run to run..until its close enough to actually matter. Hey on the possitive side I see the poor drought stricken folks in Ga. and s.c. are getting some good soaking rains this morning…
……FROM THE NWS IN JACKSON……
Accumulating Snow Possible on Monday and Monday Night Snow showers will be possible at times from late Sunday night throughvery early Tuesday morning. At this time, it appears accumulationswill be light for this event and limited due to warm ground andsurface temperatures expected to remain above freezing for much ofthe day on Monday. However, event total accumulations of a couple of inches are possible at 2000 feet elevation and above.
WEll I have searched all morning and I havent found not one point and click weather forecast for the upcoming storm having accumulations over 3″. with the exception of nose bleed territory, and lake effect areas… HMMM! I still think someone is gonna get a thumpin wet snow out of this SOMEWHERE !!..lol..
hey I read where its even gonna snow as far south as central miss. , al. , and Ga. I thought I’d paste this from atlanta just for amusement purposes, hey at least with a forecast like this that far south, at least we’ll get alot of snow flying in the air…LOL…:)…
…………………..
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
415 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>021-030-292115-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-POLK-
415 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008
…LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE FOR NORTH GEORGIA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING…
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTHEAST ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST THIS WEEKEND WILL USHER IN A BLAST OF COLD AIR AS IT EXITS THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. THE TRAILING COLD AIR ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A
MIX OF RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA
BEGINNING AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT. DUE TO THE WARM GROUND
TEMPERATURES…HOWEVER…NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED…WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF UP TO AN INCH TOTAL IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS.
ANY SNOW THAT FALLS IS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
CEDARTOWN TO CANTON TO CLEVELAND. SNOW CHANCES WILL END BY
MID-MORNING TUESDAY
Looks like rain sunday like always I dont know why I never learned I always get my hopes up and we end up with an inch of snow. Pathetic.
GO SAINTS
hey i love getting the big snows as much as anyone… but i think its exciting whatching and waiting cuz u never know, we havent had a big snow in a long time and we havent had a winter thats been very cold either and its already been way colder this year than any i can remember in a long while so be patient and lets wait and see what happens we all may get a big surprise, i love it im really excited about this year lol for some reason.
GO BIG BLUE!!!! WOOOOOOOT!!!
I’m probabily the only one besides chris who had espnU and stayed up that late, they made that intresting 31 turnovers ans shot 70+%. Go cats for the doubleheader on espn2 tonight. the NAM is still showing a little extra disturace mon am that might be the way to get a 3 or two out of this. i’m still thinking 1-2 is a good bet across the board with maybe some 2-3 in those far se areas.
Chris…you’re the best! Hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving! I’ll be travelling to Cincinnati on Wednesday evening and your forecast is making me a bit nervous!
A little snow and sleet falling here in Pulaski County. Its spitting a little snow, sleet and snizzle out.
Tim all I know to do is all of us move to the nose bleed territory!!!!! 2000 feet and above.
Guys since you all are like my family I would like to ask you to pray for my cat Slyvester.I have had him 14 years and he looks just like Slyvester the cat I had him at the vet yesterday for test because he has not been eating lifeless and the Dr just called and said he was in kidney failure pretty bad he gave him iv fluids yesterday.I now have to start him on steroids antibotics heart meds pedialyte and kidney dialysis 3 times a week, and he said if he didnt improve dramatically in one week he recommends putting him to sleep.I am devasted.He is our baby.Please pray for him and what are your thoughts on putting animals to sleep?? Chris don’t kill me I just feel very close to my blog family.I would really value your thoughts???? He said kidney transplant is an option but very expensive with no guarentees.I see the rain is almost here on radar my tears will be in it.
Crystal,
Is this the cat that was not doing very well earlier this year? I remember somebody on the blog had a sick cat.
I’ve been in your shoes and the best thing to do is to look at the quality of life for Sylvester. I am crazy about my pets so I know how hard it is to think about saying goodbye. I have had two dogs put to sleep after long illnesses and in both cases, after a few weeks had passed, I felt guilty for not doing it sooner. It takes a lot of courage and love to do the right thing. Listen to your vet. You don’t want your baby to suffer.
My heart goes out to you.
As for the weather, is there no chance for some snow this time around? I’d be happy with enough to cover the ground. It’s pretty to see.
1-3 is good for late november, can’t say i am overly dissapointed most storms always look good five days out, bring on the arctic hounds CB!!!
Had a decent snow shower move through about 30 minutes ago here in Pulaski County. Nice to see it…looks like the evap cooling is over… mixing with rain, should change over to rain soon. Its spotty precip
Thanks Chris….Crystal, I am praying for your cat Sylvester…hopefully, he will get better soon.
While I do get ESPNU, I needed the sleep. Midnight is too late for me to watch a ball game. 🙁 At least my Cats won. 🙂 However, I WILL watch both football and basketball tonight. 🙂
Weatherwise, Chris, do you think we will see a white Christmas this year? The pattern seems to indicate we will have one.
Thanks William that means so much I am trying to stay occupied and it helps to read the blog and dream of snow!!!!!! Are you in eastern Ky with me??? The dome zone
Jason, I like your attitude! If it snows, it snows, if it doesn’t…well, I will just wait around for the next forecast. It is exciting to watch and wait, and I refuse to go over to the “dark side”. 🙂
WOW michael it must be alot cooler up there than it is down here in WHitley co. my thermometer says 47* its windy and cloudy, we havent seen anything as far as precip. or at least not at my house.
…………..
weather channel showing rain mixed with snow all the way to the gulf coast of alabama (almost) on sunday night..
Crystal, my heart goes out to you, and I will be praying for your kitty. I know how you feel, completely. This year has been a bad one for me with the loss of several pets. They were like family to me, Two of my cats were 14 and 18 years old, Molly, my dog, was 18, and Harley, one of the cats was 15. I had to have him put down, and it was a tough decision to make, but he had so many things wrong with him and he was suffering. I could not bear to have him do that. So, I made the decision, and I went into the room with him and held him. I did not leave him alone, and although it was extremely difficult for me to do this, I knew he was not suffering any longer. I understand your pain, and this is just my opinion, but try whatever you can (I did) before making that decision. But if it looks like it won’t help and Sylvester is in pain, you will know what to do. Banjo, my cat that was 14, had to have surgery to remove her leg because I accidentally ran over it. Unfortunately, she was so old she did not come out of the surgery. I agonize over that because it was my fault, but I would never have harmed her intentionally. Sometimes surgery doesn’t help, especially if they are old.
My thoughts and prayers are with you.
LOL…here is the GFS playing Russian Roulette with a FOOT of snow for central and western ky. on DEC. 4th while the east gets rain then a dusting…lol..boy oh boy. about our luck this model will stay the same…:(
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_114m.gif
Crystal, my haeart goes out to you & your family, but as a friend here that’s been down the same road many times, it would be in your best interest to go ahead and have Sylvester put down-I’m not saying immediatly, but let me tell you, no matter what the vet tells you, Sylvester is not going to make it. We spent hundreds of $$ when our 2 Dobermans developed tumors all over their bodies, and it was miserable for all involved-they’d chew out their stitces/staples,back to the vet we’d go,here goes another $25 office call, and when it started getting past $300/400 a pop,that’s when we had to call it…we had to put a 1 yr old cat down in ’05 (diff. circumstances to begin with-long,but cute,inspiring story)because he developed renal failure because of his injuries…wht is even worse, in my opinion-my aunt had a Benji dog-14 yrs old and terribly arthritic..special ($$!)diet,$$ meds, it couldn’t even WALK hardly because it was so down in its hips..every evening, Aunt Stella would put this 65 lb dog on a blanket and drag him into the house on cold nights..next morning, back out on the blanket outside-Aunt S. here was 75 years old herself!!??- I know she just wanted to keep Benji happy & all that, but think about it…that dog was apparantly very uncomfy and in pain, and you know that the vet bill wasn’t going to get any lower thru it all….it took a lot of explaining and a lot of hearing, “It’s not YOUR DOG!!! YOU have NO FEELINGS!! blah-blah!”…
I had feelings for both of them..it’s harder on you & the family the longer it goes on, in more ways than one, but the dog couldn’t share her feelings and her pain that we all knew she was facing. a “Dear Abby” clipping on my fridge says it all- it talks about how the dog loves you, how you should treat him & love him, but at the end-“And, my fried, when I am old, and I no longer have my health, hearing or sight, do not make heroic efforts to keep me going. I am not having any fun. Please see that my trusting life is taken gently. I shall leave this Earth knowing with the last breath I draw that my fate was always safest in your loving hands”
Crystal my heart goes out to you. My girl’s have a solid white cat and they love her just like family her name is snowball. But its hard to put them to sleep because you really love them but sometimes you have to so they don’t have pain but its not easy on you sweetie.
We’ve got a really cold rain/something outside right now. It feels colder than it probably is. Just another slap in the face 🙂
We’re not going to get a foot of snow with that solution. That’s a classic rain to snow before ending solution.
yea tim we might as well forget it here in our area, yea its early but until i see a changw when storms approach, i am going to double up on my first aid kit meds.
I watch the game and havnt been to bed. i did sleep for awhile before hand though.
we lose football game and win BB game.
ML +320 ill take a stab.
what the deal with liggins telling coach he didnt want to go back in game.
Mitch I was up i have espnU it was a great game….
Tim It was around 11:30 or so… temp at the Somerset Airport at that time was 43* but with evaporating cooling is how it spit out some snow showers and sleet… it wasn’t nothing major, but atleast it was neat to see some snow showers and snizzle…it switched to rain showers around 12:30.
qpf is for the 6hrs before that image 32 line is for the time at the end of the image. sometimes looks can be deceiving.
Rolo:
I say we win FB game, loose BB game… Huggy Bear gonna press them all night long…
As for Liggins, I don’t believe half the things Billy G. says…
My heart goes out to you sweetie. We had a cat (Rascal) several years back that was in the same situation. We done everything the vet said to do and a week later we had to put him to sleep anyways. It’s the very hardest thing we ever had to do, but we knew he was suffering and had no quality of life.We grieved for him and then when we were ready we went and got another cat. Now I know another cat doesn’t take the place, as anyone knows who is a cat lover that no two cats are alike. But we started a new relationship with Titus the cat and loved him just as much as Rascal. I will keep Sylvester,your family and you in my prayers. I hope he comes out of this feeling like his old self again.
I’m so sorry Crystal! It’s so hard to lose the ones we love even if they are our pets! I know in your heart you’ll know what to do when the time comes. Just listen to it.