Good Wednesday everybody. We have had one gorgeous stretch of weather across the state for the past week and change. This has featured very pleasant temps in a pattern that has a non August look to it. After a spike toward normal or a bit above for a few days… the pattern goes right back toward looking more fall than summer.
Here is the breakdown of a fairly active setup for the next week…
– Highs today will warm into the middle 80s across the board with a few upper 80s possible. You will feel the increase in humidity levels and an isolated shower or thunderstorm may pop up.
– A cold front sweeps in from the northwest late Tonight into Thursday. This will increase our chances for scattered showers and storms with Thursday seeing the best chance. Temps Thursday will likely be held in check due to the increase in clouds and storms.
– Isolated showers and storms will try to hang around into Friday as we get ready to kick off the high school football season. Temps will generally run in the middle 80s.
– Saturday will find the region between systems and this may produce the warmest day for a while. Readings in the mid to upper 80s will be a good bet with a 90 possible.
– A series of disturbances will drop in from the northwest Sunday into Monday with showers and thunderstorms on the increase.
This takes us into next early next week and what could be a nice sized amplification of the jet stream as a ridge pops out west with a trough in the eastern half of the country. The depth of this trough is still in question… but it’s safe to say another shot of September is on the way.
Here is how the GFS sees this working out…
96 Hour GFS Rainfall Ending Tuesday
Once again, we find ourselves looking at a pattern that looks more like September than August. If the trough is as deep as the GFS and several other models suggest… cool temps will come calling for much of next week. Look at the GFS Temp Departure Maps…
The Canadian Model approves of this trough in the east message…
We will have to wait and see if this is as deep and cool as the models above are showing. Regardless… no one should be worried about any “real deal” heat returning over the next few weeks.
August looks nothing like June and July giving our “summer in reverse” forecast some validity.
We are getting to the time of year I will start dropping more and more fall and winter ideas and these may come with a surprise post at any time of day. Gotta keep you guys on your toes! ![]()
Have a great Wednesday and take care.
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Wow…with all of those model maps I thought I was reading a blog in the middle of winter. 😉
Lovin’ your cool forecast, Chris!
speaking of winter here is another forecast for cold/snowy winter for our area!…:)
http://www.weatheradvance.com/winter-2011-2012-outlook-2nd-edition
So, when will we hear your predictions for the winter. Will the weather stay cooler this fall and will the winter be an active one? Would not mind seeing some nice snowfall so the kids could built themselves a snowman. Of course we do not need any ice or anything else to cause power outages. I am sure you can make this happen, I am counting on you weatherman, jk.
SOOO HAS ANYONE SEEN THE GFS AT AROUND 240 HOURS OUT. IT HAS A VERY STRONG HURRICANE ITTING SOUTH CAROLINA TRACKING INLAND AND ACTUALLY DELIVERING US HERE IN KY A VERY POTENT STORM…. IT WILL CHANGE BUT PRETTY COOL TO SEE IT IN THE MODELS. I SAY FISH STORM.
I always read the blog, CB, even if I don’t post much in the summer.
Looking forward to surprise posts!