Good Monday, everyone. It’s another in a long line of active weather days across the bluegrass state. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will be accompanied by high winds and big temperature swings. This crazy setup is slowly giving way to a pattern more conducive of winter weather across the eastern part of the country.

Today’s system across the Mississippi Valley lifts northward, bringing additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the state. With a saturated ground, high water issues are a good bet. The highest threat for flooding is across central and western Kentucky. Watch the water levels as the rains move in.

A few of the storms could be strong across the west and southwest, however the main severe threat appears to stay just to our south.

Temps will also bounce around with another huge gradient setting up.

Your weather trackers of the day…

Today’s Severe Risk Area
Latest Day 1 convective outlook

We have to watch for another rain maker moving in on Wednesday. If that verifies across central and eastern Kentucky, it could add to the high water concerns. Colder air filters in later in the day and sets up shop for New Year’s Eve and Day. A few flurries will also be possible.

The toasty pattern of the fall and December looks to become toast in early January. Waves of winter come at us, but it’s not quite ready to settle in. That may change by week two of the new year as all the Ensembles are pointing in that direction…

European Model

Euro 3

GFS

GFS 3

Canadian

Canadian 2

Notice that BIG ridge across western Canada and Alaska? That’s something we saw a lot of over the past few winters. When and if that sets up… watch out.

The CFS Model did a very good job with the blowtorch weather of the past few months. That same model is now going cold for January…

CFSHang tight, winter lovers. The pattern appears to be on schedule!

I will update things later today. Make it a great Monday and take care.