Good Friday gang and thanks for stopping in to blog with us. It’s certainly good to see a lot of the “old timers” from the KYT blog showing up. It’s feeling like home again!
Before we get into the weather… I do want to talk about the blog a little bit.
For the newcomers… you can only leave comments through www.kyweathercenter.com . I am still working out a bug that keeps people from posting on kentuckyweathercenter.com. They are linked to the exact same thing so no worries. I am also planning on upgrading the blog in the coming weeks to get ready for the busy winter season. I hope to add some more goodies to what you already see here… including video forecasts from yours truly. This will include the winter forecast too.
I would also like to set it up where you can upload pics and even videos of the weather where you are. Moral of the story is we are going to take the blog to another level this winter so tell your friends and family! ![]()
Let’s get to the weather. I don’t have a whole lot of new things to add to what we have been talking about in recent days. The rain is moving across the state on this Friday with many areas picking up between a half and one inch by early Saturday. Here are some radars for you to track the rains into your hometown…![]()
Showers will taper off from west to east Friday night with one or two lingering into the day Saturday. A mix of sun and clouds will be with us Saturday as temps hit the low to mid 50s for highs. Sunday will be a fairly nice day just ahead of our BIG cold air push. Highs will likely warm into the low 60s under partly sunny skies and increasing winds. The front will then slam through the area Sunday night. Winds will crank with gusts reaching 30mph or greater as temps drop some 30 degrees. This front is likely to have a narrow band of rain showers just ahead of it and those can easily end as some snow showers or flurries by Monday morning. Just for fun… take a look at the NAM snowfall chart for Sunday night and Monday morning…
That is your typical 1″-2″ late October snowfall in southern Ky and Tn! Haha… don’t believe it folks… it ain’t happening but it is cool to look at anyway! You will notice that the central Ky snow dome lives in even in fantasy land. ![]()
As we mentioned earlier this week… getting ANY flakes of snow in October takes the perfect setup. A few flurries or light snow showers is as much as I think we can get out of this early next week. You get the Monday morning chance then the chance later Monday night or Tuesday with some upslope flow kicking in.
We have all weekend to pinpoint the flake potential for early next week and that is indeed what we will be doing.
Until then… enjoy the rain… we REALLY need it!
Take care.
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Perhaps if we could slow that front down by about 8 hours we could let some of that tropical moisture stream into the area! We need it to start filling in into southwestern and central Tennessee in a hurry! 😉
=Aaron=
Hey Chris, thanks for the update…I will be waiting and watching for that first flake…lol.
Thanks Chris! Ahh! The Dome! Dare we even mention it for fear of a winter weather jinx! I’m not going to worry this early though.
Cyrstal…….sounds like you need to get your camera out to upload all those snow pictures you’ll be taking for Chris this winter!
Thanks Chris for the update…I hope and PRAY the rain puts out the forest fires.
It’s true..the closer to Winter we get, the more Chris’ blog lights up. Chris…you better start making sure right now that this blog can handle the traffic. As soon as that first Winter storm threatens KY…this place is going to be nuts. 🙂
And judging by the way the overall pattern is shaping up already, that could happen before 2008 is done…
Chris,
Just found your blog! Really missed your forecasts since your departure from WKYT. Once again, thanks for all your efforts.
Well if that snowfall chart held true, I would be shoveling snow!!! my county is in the bright pink and yellow..(boy that sounds so scientific don’t it)…lol..lol.. THE RAIN is FINALLY falling in my back yard this morning, such a WELCOME sight..Well I guess the waiting and watching begins..lol..to see when,where,and who gets the snowflakes..lol..
I meant to say my county was in the BLUE AND YELLOW not the pink and yellow..lol..lol..lol..LIKE IT MATTERS ANYWAY..Since it is just EYE CANDY..:(
Is that what that is ? I thought somebody was peeing outside an airplane
Is it just me or is anyone else having trouble loading the page esp the comment section ?????? It is really slow.No rain for Pikeville so far it looks like the dome is over se ky so sad!!! I wonder is we will eventually get in on the rain????
I just had trouble too Crystal!
***some info. from NWS in Jackson on first snowfall (average) ***
Let it Snow!!!
Every year as winter approaches, people start thinking about that first snow fall of the year. School children are hoping for that first snow day and the highway department is preparing their vehicles and equipment for snow removal. With all of this interest in the first snow, the National Weather Service’s own Jeffrey Carico dug through the climate records and came up with the table below that lists the earliest recorded measureable snow date and the average first measurable snow date for 22 locations in eastern Kentucky. Snow is considered measurable when at least one tenth of an inch has fallen. Also listed are the years that the snow data is recorded.
Not surprising, the earliest first snow date is at the Jackson Julian Carroll Airport, where the elevation is 1358 feet. It is not uncommon to drive through the City of Jackson on the way to work and there is little or no snow accumulated in town and there is over one inch at the airport. If we had more data from Black Mountain, it would almost certainly have an earlier snow date than Jackson. Grayhawk and Mt. Vernon have also had their first snowfall in October on Halloween. The majority of the stations had their earliest first snowfall on Nov 2nd or Nov 3rd. The average date for the first measureable snowfall ranges from as early as Dec 2nd at Jackson to as late as New Years Day at Oneida.
EARLIEST/LATEST SNOW DATES/AVERAGES
FOR STATIONS WITH > 20 YEARS WORTH OF DATA
Earliest Years
Location Snow Date Average Active
Barbourville 11/03/51&66 30-Dec 51-57/61-68/80-08
Baxter 11/03/54&66 21-Dec 52-08
Buckhorn Lake 11/12/1976 20-Dec 64-94
Closplint 4ESE 11/8/91&92 3-Dec 80-08
Farmers 2S 11/02/54&66 12-Dec 33-08 *
Grayhawk 10/31/1993 21-Dec 73-99
Hazard Water 11/2/1954 30-Dec 50-08 **
Jeremiah 1S 11/2/1954 7-Dec 48-08***
London Airport 11/2/1966 13-Dec 55-94
Manchester 4W 11/03/54&66 23-Dec 51-06
Middlesboro 2N 11/03/51&54 16-Dec 28-90
Monticello 3NE 11/2/1966 6-Dec 49-08
Mount Sterling 11/02/51&54 10-Dec 49-08 ***
Mount Vernon 10/31/1993 16-Dec 63-08
Oneida 11/12/1976 1-Jan 57-08 **
Paintsville 1E 11/3/1954 15-Dec 33-08
Skyline 1SE 11/12/1976 13-Dec 75-08
Somerset 2N 11/2/1954 22-Dec 50-08 ****
Stearns 2S 11/2/1954 27-Dec 54-08 **
West Liberty 11/14/1969 21-Dec 51-08 **
WFO Jackson 10/20/1989 2-Dec 81-08
Williamsburg 11/11/1987 25-Dec 49-03 **
* sporadic data in 70s and 80s
WEll Chris gave snow flakes in his forecast at 5. with highs in 42-48 range and 20’s at night…
………………………….
someone else just mentioned there might,might be a stray snowflake on sunday night. with the coldest daytime high was mid 40’s….. I will be glad Chris gets those videos up and running on here..I know it takes alot of work to do so. Like Chris needs more on his plate right?..lol.. We do appreciate it though. Or I know I sure do.
………………………
knock on wood !!! I actually got to watch Chris on live streaming video today without any freeze ups or interuptions..lol… Well the comment section is low today but I think folks are having a problem getting onto the comment section..I know I have all day long…so hang in there gang…. the roller coaster ride is just beginning..lol
What? 60’s for Sunday? I thought the NWS and others showing mid 60’s this weekend were going to get owned? 😉 I’m happy though, our last race of the season is Sunday at the Legends Stadium. Everyone come out if you want to see what your local SCCA autocross club is all about. WKYT should come and do a story 🙂
Thanks Tim for the data thats cool.My comments are loading now.I have cooked all day pot roast pototoes carrots onion homemade fried apple pies my first and the fire dept didn’t have to respond lol
I forgot we finally got in on the rain in Pikeville and still raining I am so thankful for this rain.Tim you are cooking tommorow night!!!
No that was for the 60s they were giving for Monday and Tuesday
thanks for posting that Tim… however I wonder why London/Corbin airport didn’t report the snow we had on 10/31/1993. I know we had atleast 1″ of snow..maybe a tad more than that… the chart shows earliest measurable snow was 11/2/1966… oh well
To quote:
This will be a very chilly weekend as well with highs struggling to get to the low 50s. The NWS is going to take a beating with their 60s for highs this weekend.
Again, I’m just pointing it out cause I have a vested interest in this being a decent weather weekend.
Well, looks like most areas in central Kentucky picked up on a solid inch of rain out of this system, some a bit less, some a bit more. Some counties just to our immediate west (from what it looks like on radar estimates) picked up over two inches out of the deal.
Very well-behaved system.
=Aaron=
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This is a great blog. I love being able to stop in and see the forecast. I hope my car will be safe in this upcoming storm. I have to park outside!
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