Good evening to one and all. Rain is moving into the region tonight and hangs around into Friday. This leads us into a very active and wintry pattern that starts this weekend.

Low pressure works right on top of the state Saturday with heavy rain and wind. As that low passes by to our northeast, much colder air surges in with crashing Sunday temps. That will lead to a period of light snow with snow showers kicking in on a strong northwesterly wind flow…

NAM

Light accumulations are very possible Sunday as temps drop into the 20s. Winds are going to be super gusty and could send wind chills to near zero by Monday morning.

The next system is a true arctic front that arrives Tuesday. That should bring high winds and snows with it…

Canadian

That’s a very potent system diving in here and should cause some issues. Another system may try to dive in behind that one a few days later. The Canadian likes both of those…

Canadian 2

Looking down the road, we now see the blocking REALLY showing up on the forecast models over the next few weeks. This is 5 day average 500mb height anomaly…

GFS

The southern jet stream really cranks back up with blocking sending cold air into much of the country. That’s a good recipe for some big winter storms developing.

Sure enough, during that same time, we see the European Model advertising a storm system…

Euro 2

The European Ensembles during that time are also hinting at something…

Euro 3

The late afternoon GFS is all over the same time period…

GFS 2

Enjoy your evening and take care.