Good Friday, folks. Our nice weather was one and done, and now it’s back to some of the ugly stuff. That “ugly” includes rounds of showers rolling across the region today, and another big blast of arctic air later this weekend.

Today’s rain will increase from southwest to northeast rather quickly today. Some downpours will be possible across central Kentucky during the afternoon and early evening hours. That’s also when the best chance of rain reaches eastern parts of the state.

Track away…

Colder air works quickly in from west to east this evening into tonight. Some light snow showers and flurries will be possible during this time. Low-level moisture and a bit of a northwesterly wind flow will help keep some flurries and snow showers going into Saturday. Highs will be in the low and mid 30s.

Our arctic front then arrives late Sunday into Sunday night with a band of snow showers and gusty winds…

NAM

Some small accumulations will be possible during this time.

Before that front arrives, the GFS still has a storm across the southeast that throws a little light snow into southeastern Kentucky Saturday night and Sunday morning…

GFS 2

The European Model has something similar…

Euro

That setup is soooooo close!!

The real story is the cold coming in behind that front. Readings hit the single digits by Monday morning with the possibility of reaching zero if skies totally clear. Wind chill numbers during this time should be below zero.

Highs for Monday range from the mid teens in the north to the low 20s in the south. This should lead us into another single digit night with mainly clear skies.

The GFS is bringing a nasty winter weather maker in here Wednesday and Thursday…

GFS

The European Model has a weaker system producing light snow at the same time…

Euro 2

The European Model is holding on to too much energy out west and that’s a big flaw with the model. Until it resolves that, the GFS will be a better model with that particular feature.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.