Good Sunday, everyone. Bitterly cold air is surging toward the bluegrass state and will settle in over the next few days. This kicks off a busy week of weather that will feature a lot of winter for our region and across much of the eastern half of the country.

Our day starts with light snow brushing southeastern Kentucky with some flurries and freezing drizzle elsewhere. Winds will ramp up this afternoon as the arctic front blasts in from the northwest. This will have a fast-moving band of snow showers with it, but the real story is the cold. Here’s a breakdown of the temps:

– Temps ahead of the front spike into the low and mid 30s then crash through the teens this evening.

– Readings by Monday morning will be near zero in the north and upper single digits in the south. Wind chill readings will drop into the 0 to -10 range.

– Highs Monday stay in the teens for many with another bitterly cold night to follow. Temps are back into the 0 to +10 range by Tuesday morning.

A snow maker dives in from the northwest Tuesday night into Wednesday. This could bring the first widespread snows to the region. Here’s the European Model…

Euro

The traditional 10-1 ration snowfall map from that same run of the European Model…

Euro 2Snowfall maps will change from run to run so don’t fall in love with any one map. The totals and placement of the accumulating snows could change drastically from run to run. Still, snow looks like a good bet for Wednesday.

A much bigger storm system will then develop behind this and impact our weather from Friday into the weekend. This may wind up being a messy storm that produces snow, ice and rain in this region. The models are showing a very strong storm loaded with moisture, they just vary a bit on where it goes and how it evolves.

The GFS…

GFS

GFS snowfall through next weekend…

GFS Snow

The European Model has a colder solution for our region, but still blows up a monster storm in the east…

Euro 3

The total snowfall map from the European Model through next Sunday…

Euro 4

Once again, those are snapshots in time of various computer forecast models. They will change with each run, so let’s just wait and see how all this plays out in the days ahead. That said… the first “threat” of the winter is looming for the week ahead.

I will have additional updates through the day, so check back. Your tracking tools will fill the gaps…

 

Have a great Sunday and take care.