Thundering Tuesday Starts Active Pattern

Good Tuesday everyone! Our weather pattern is getting active in a hurry meaning showers and thunderstorms are going to become common across the state over the next week or so.

Showers and thunderstorms are on the increase as I type and this trend will continue through our Tuesday. A cold front is working in from the west and will interact with increasing moisture to produce some good rainfall totals. The potential for parts of eastern Kentucky to pick up close to an inch of rain is on the rise. Most of central and eastern Kentucky will average between a quarter and a half inch of rains through Tuesday evening. Amounts will be lighter the farther north and west you live in the state.

Not only will we see some heavy rains in the east… but we need to watch for some strong storms too. You can track the showers and storms by checking out the updating radar views below…

The models are both picking up on the heavy rains and their overall placement….

NAM RAINFALL

GFS RAINFALL

Showers and thunderstorms will begin to taper off from northwest to southeast Tuesday evening. Highs Tuesday will stay in the 70s. Drier air will begin to work in Tuesday night and Wednesday as cool high pressure builds across the Great Lakes. Temps Wednesday will be very nice with mid 70s for highs under partly sunny skies and a northerly wind. However… southern and southeastern Kentucky may not clear out very much as our front will check up across Tennessee. This would keep the chance for some showers and storms scattered in these areas.

The Wednesday threat for rain in the south is setting the stage for a very wet pattern across the state from Thursday through the weekend. Yet another front will dive into the Ohio Valley and will come to a stop as well. This will happen as deep tropical moisture is pushing northward out of the Gulf meaning heavy rain producing showers and storms will be a good bet. These will start cranking Thursday and really kick in for Friday into the weekend.

Here is what the GFS rainfall map is looking like from Thursday night through Sunday morning…

Now… that map does NOT include any direct rainfall from Hurricane Ike. Several models have been taking Ike ashore in Texas then getting pulled northeast into our part of the world for late in the weekend and early next week. Well… it is very early in the game to forecast what Ike may bring us. Even without it… we are going to see heavy rains!!

Here are the latest maps on Ike…

The trend on Ike is to take it on a more westerly course. This track means the chances for Ike to have a direct impact on Kentucky are not great. Like I said… it’s still too early to say exactly where Ike will go.

BTW… some very cool air will be diving in behind our big rainmaker early next week.

16 Comments

patty on September 9, 2008 at 9:22 am

Thanks Chris……Between the cooler temps and the rain I can’t imagine a better forcast! As far as Ike goes and as much as we need the rain, I don’t mind if he stays further south of the U.S. Let him stay away from those oil refineries, The speculators have already put their two cents in to make the gas go up twenty!

William on September 9, 2008 at 11:08 am

Thanks Chris for the update…good downpour here in Isom (Letcher County).

Sharon on September 9, 2008 at 11:38 am

Friday Rain plan: activated.

crystal on September 9, 2008 at 2:12 pm

Thanks Chris.We have had some nice rains in Pikeville this morning,some downpours.The temp is in the 60’s.I love it!!!!

Tim on September 9, 2008 at 2:49 pm

Thanks for the update Chris… We’ve been getting some good downpours,and thunderstorms here in my nick of the woods as well. Started raining around 9:30ish and since then we have had a couple rounds of heavy rain with some impressive thunder and lightning as well. well have a good day gang and here’s looking forward to that cool spell coming after the heavy rains this upcoming weekend, ahhh fall gotta love it !!! cool breezes, bright blue skies,without the haze and yuck..and the bright colors that are splashed all around by the leaves…then as those last leaves begin to plunge to the ground, the cold,gray low cloud deck rolls in and BOOM!!! SNOWFLAKES..YEAH !!…LOL..LOL..LOL…I can’t help myself…:)

Tim on September 9, 2008 at 2:54 pm

speaking of snowflakes, did’nt I hear on the weather channel yesterday that northern Minnesota had SNOW/RAIN mix during the morning hours, early even for them and then later on in the day they were showing how much of the upper midwest had experienced much below normal summer temps, where several cities were way below their normal 90+ degree days this summer..could be a sign of Winter to come…

Jason F. on September 9, 2008 at 3:52 pm

Looks like the rain is about done… unless some redevelopment takes place this afternoon. We didn’t get enough to settle the dust..

Mitch on September 9, 2008 at 4:29 pm

you almost took the GFS, Nogaps bait Chris. GFS trending back to A NE hook with IKE. EURO has had the best handle of IKE so far.

the weekend looks wet to say the least.

WXman on September 9, 2008 at 4:31 pm

Ike is a bad bad boy. That sucker has been over land for a long time now..and it still maintains a nice eye wall structure. Imagine what he’d be like if the center had stayed over water! When Ike finally moves into the Gulf…it’s going to blow up. I’d say Cat. 4 easily within 36 hours of hitting the Gulf waters..

TBinFKT on September 9, 2008 at 6:11 pm

Ike must be scaring some oil people. Gas prices went from 3.49 to 3.75 while I was in line for gas at 10am today. Thank goodness I was one of the last ones to get it for 3.49. Please rain, fall on me. We have had only 3/10 in the last 2 weeks. Everything is dying. It looks like October; leaves falling, brown grass, etc. Congrats on all who got the rain. I am enjoying the cool temps today, I’ve been trying to re-pot some plants before I have to bring them back inside for the season. Chris, how does the weather look for Friday evening in Frankfort. It’s the Aviation Days and my hubby’s band is playing. Hope it’s dry. They are having a stunt pilot perform too, should be fun.

TBinFKT on September 9, 2008 at 6:12 pm

oops, hope that didn’t post twice, sorry if it did

Tim on September 9, 2008 at 8:09 pm

WHAT IS IT WITH THE BEE’S !!!!!

I got my taste LITERALLY of the bee’s today.. Chris was talking yellow jackets, as others as well.. Well I was weed eating the fence line today and got into a nest of SAND HORNETS and 2 of them decide to latch onto my MOUTH..OUCH,,OUCH,,OUCH… I wonder what the ole timers have to say about bee’s and winter weather…got to be something to it…. 🙁

megan on September 10, 2008 at 12:31 am

I know all about the bees. I got stung a couple of weeks ago, only to find out that I am allergic. My whole hip swelled up for about 5 days & it was so sore. On top of that, my kids have been really sick, 2 of them were in the hospital for about 4 days. Has anybody else’s child had this stuff going around? It is really bad around here. My daughter had colitis & a very bad stomach virsu then my son picked up the virus. It was bad enough with the colitis, but the virus on top was horrible. Also,as I was on my way to town I heard on the radio that Hurricane Ike was supposed to hit around Brownsville, TX but it made a more nothern turn & as of right now the cone of possibility has it just west of N.O. again. AS far as gas not jacking up, yea right. It jumped ten cents while I was in town. It jumped to $3.69. I found a gas station that still had it for $3.58, so that was one good thing.

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omega on September 15, 2010 at 12:41 pm

Thanks for the updates with us & I like to read this article very much & also article is very well written…..keep sharing such type of posts…..

patty on September 9, 2008 at 9:22 am
Thanks Chris……Between the cooler temps and the rain I can’t imagine a better forcast! As far as Ike goes and as much as we need the rain, I don’t mind if he stays further south of the U.S. Let him stay away from those oil refineries, The speculators have already put their two cents in to make the gas go up twenty!
William on September 9, 2008 at 11:08 am
Thanks Chris for the update…good downpour here in Isom (Letcher County).
Sharon on September 9, 2008 at 11:38 am
Friday Rain plan: activated.
crystal on September 9, 2008 at 2:12 pm
Thanks Chris.We have had some nice rains in Pikeville this morning,some downpours.The temp is in the 60’s.I love it!!!!
Tim on September 9, 2008 at 2:49 pm
Thanks for the update Chris… We’ve been getting some good downpours,and thunderstorms here in my nick of the woods as well. Started raining around 9:30ish and since then we have had a couple rounds of heavy rain with some impressive thunder and lightning as well. well have a good day gang and here’s looking forward to that cool spell coming after the heavy rains this upcoming weekend, ahhh fall gotta love it !!! cool breezes, bright blue skies,without the haze and yuck..and the bright colors that are splashed all around by the leaves…then as those last leaves begin to plunge to the ground, the cold,gray low cloud deck rolls in and BOOM!!! SNOWFLAKES..YEAH !!…LOL..LOL..LOL…I can’t help myself…:)
Tim on September 9, 2008 at 2:54 pm
speaking of snowflakes, did’nt I hear on the weather channel yesterday that northern Minnesota had SNOW/RAIN mix during the morning hours, early even for them and then later on in the day they were showing how much of the upper midwest had experienced much below normal summer temps, where several cities were way below their normal 90+ degree days this summer..could be a sign of Winter to come…
Jason F. on September 9, 2008 at 3:52 pm
Looks like the rain is about done… unless some redevelopment takes place this afternoon. We didn’t get enough to settle the dust..
Mitch on September 9, 2008 at 4:29 pm
you almost took the GFS, Nogaps bait Chris. GFS trending back to A NE hook with IKE. EURO has had the best handle of IKE so far.
the weekend looks wet to say the least.
WXman on September 9, 2008 at 4:31 pm
Ike is a bad bad boy. That sucker has been over land for a long time now..and it still maintains a nice eye wall structure. Imagine what he’d be like if the center had stayed over water! When Ike finally moves into the Gulf…it’s going to blow up. I’d say Cat. 4 easily within 36 hours of hitting the Gulf waters..
TBinFKT on September 9, 2008 at 6:11 pm
Ike must be scaring some oil people. Gas prices went from 3.49 to 3.75 while I was in line for gas at 10am today. Thank goodness I was one of the last ones to get it for 3.49. Please rain, fall on me. We have had only 3/10 in the last 2 weeks. Everything is dying. It looks like October; leaves falling, brown grass, etc. Congrats on all who got the rain. I am enjoying the cool temps today, I’ve been trying to re-pot some plants before I have to bring them back inside for the season. Chris, how does the weather look for Friday evening in Frankfort. It’s the Aviation Days and my hubby’s band is playing. Hope it’s dry. They are having a stunt pilot perform too, should be fun.
TBinFKT on September 9, 2008 at 6:12 pm
oops, hope that didn’t post twice, sorry if it did
Tim on September 9, 2008 at 8:09 pm
WHAT IS IT WITH THE BEE’S !!!!!
I got my taste LITERALLY of the bee’s today.. Chris was talking yellow jackets, as others as well.. Well I was weed eating the fence line today and got into a nest of SAND HORNETS and 2 of them decide to latch onto my MOUTH..OUCH,,OUCH,,OUCH… I wonder what the ole timers have to say about bee’s and winter weather…got to be something to it…. 🙁
megan on September 10, 2008 at 12:31 am
I know all about the bees. I got stung a couple of weeks ago, only to find out that I am allergic. My whole hip swelled up for about 5 days & it was so sore. On top of that, my kids have been really sick, 2 of them were in the hospital for about 4 days. Has anybody else’s child had this stuff going around? It is really bad around here. My daughter had colitis & a very bad stomach virsu then my son picked up the virus. It was bad enough with the colitis, but the virus on top was horrible. Also,as I was on my way to town I heard on the radio that Hurricane Ike was supposed to hit around Brownsville, TX but it made a more nothern turn & as of right now the cone of possibility has it just west of N.O. again. AS far as gas not jacking up, yea right. It jumped ten cents while I was in town. It jumped to $3.69. I found a gas station that still had it for $3.58, so that was one good thing.
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which she always did Then there was this new girl in class and Grace knew that she had competition Both of them were neck to neck in the grades domain and she worried that she would overtake her one day The pressure began to tell on Grace and she thought that if she continued like that she would certainly go off the deep end of life That is when she decided to compete with herself rather than compete with someone else and that she should put in her best efforts and leave the rest for the universe to decide upon This certainly made her feel better replica T
omega on September 15, 2010 at 12:41 pm
Thanks for the updates with us & I like to read this article very much & also article is very well written…..keep sharing such type of posts…..

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