Good Thursday to all my fellow bloggers! This week is zipping by pretty quickly… no wonder with all the tropical talk and a a shortened work week for everybody not names Chris Bailey! 
In looking ahead toward our weekend… changes are a coming and I think you will like what we have in the extended outlook.
I feel a rambling post coming on so buckle up and get ready!
The hot temps of the past few days have made for an uncomfortable start to the month of September. Highs in the lower 90s have been common and we have one more day of temps on the toasty side. Thursday’s temps will be warmer in the east than the central and west because of the sun verses clouds and isolated storms thing. We have been seeing this over the past few days. It’s good to see the storm threat the blog talked about a few days go materialize these past few days. Take that GFS MOS lovers!
We are watching a cold front that will cross the state Friday and with it will come better chances for some showers and storms. This front will likely have some leftover tropical moisture from Gustav to work with… even as the true leftovers work through the lakes. These little fronts can be a real pain to forecast because they don’t have a very big push with them meaning any rains that do develop will likely be slooooow movers and in a fairly narrow band. Check out the NAM to see what I am talking about…
Friday Evening
Saturday Morning
Saturday Afternoon
Will this stuff be east of Lexington by 6pm Saturday? It is going to be a close call for folks heading out to Commonwealth Stadium for the Cats home opener. I will watch it an update it in the coming days… especially since I am a season ticket holder and can’t find my poncho! 
That little system rolling into the Carolinas is Hanna. Here is the latest…
![[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT08/refresh/AL0808W5_sm2+gif/205213W_sm.gif)
The monster behind Hana is Ike. Good ol’ Ike developed into a cat 4 hurricane last night and may continue to strengthen. Here is the NHC track…![[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0908W5_sm2+gif/234613W_sm.gif)
There is going to be a big trough digging into the eastern half of the country early next week and this may help steer Ike more on a northwesterly track up the coast or even out to sea. Here is the trough I am talking about…
GFS 500MB Monday Night
That is one nice little trough coming in and will likely bring some very nice September weather to us here in Kentucky for the middle and end of next week. We will likely see some showers and thunderstorms with the front later Monday into Tuesday. Don’t be surprised if we see some 40s for lows next week!
Yesterday I gave you a scientific forecast model calling for cold temps around here for the fall and winter ahead. Now… I give you some not so scientific data calling for the same thing… The Farmers Almanac!
Winter weather lovers can sleep easy now!
I told you I was in a rambling mood!!! Take care.
Chris
Lets hope there is something to your “quiet sun” theory. Who knows, there just may be.
Chris……I welcome those 40’s next week,these 90’s are killing me. I also like seeing that not so scientific map……..THE SNOW IN KENTUCKY!
Bring on the 40’s and some well needed rain.
Thanks Chris for the update and the winter sneak peek.
Farmer’s Almanac – what a joke. I don’t remember them ever being right. Just a ploy to sell stuff. I’ll hang in there with someone I find to be pretty accurate & that’s CB.
I enjoy your blog very much and appreciate that more than any other weather blogger around you try to make daily comments. Great job! How about an August almanac report? Warmer/cooler; wetter/dryer than normal?–Whatever that is. 🙂 Thanks.
Chris, surely you’re not driving to Lex from WVa to see Norfolk State?? Yikes!!! Save that gas. Looks like the farmers has the line at the KY/Tn border for different predictions. It was like that last winter. We had cold and snow and over the Tn border they had nothing. We would get snows in central Ky and my buddy in east Tn had nothing. All winter long. Interesting
Chris, what does Cancun look like for the week of Sept 13? will these storms stay in the eastern part of the US
Actually…I’ve seen the Farmer’s Almanac prediction come true many times. Likely because of chance…but sometimes they get it right.
The GFS shows 60s for highs in the 3rd week of this month!! Cooler air is coming for sure…enjoy these last few days of 90s…
Yes Chris, Why drive all the way from WV to LEX to watch a BORING football game! Just give me the tickets and I will brunt the game for you. You just stay home and relax, and I’ll take care of the tail gating, and yelling at the bad calls, and screaming like a maniac on first downs, and all that rough stuff! C! A! T! S! cats! cats! cats! YOU Don’t need to be worry about stuff like that.
Looks like the rain is moving into the I-65 corridor faster than forecast. I think NWS Louisville is going to have to make some serious revisions to the current forecast package for today, which is par for the course lately.
Wet,Wild,Frigid, and snowy…hmmm kinda sounds like a dessert from Dairy Queen..LOL…LOL… O.K. its official get the four wheel drive ready, if you havent already traded it for a bicycle.. The Farmers Almanac has spoken.. winter is gonna be on this yr…lol…. WELL WE CAN AT LEAST HOPE SO !!..lol..
……………..
I for one am looking forward to those 40’s !!! my a.c. has been running in overdrive for the past week…I’m gonna have to donate a kidney or lung just to pay the next electric bill…:(
Hi all thanks Chris I love the rambling post lol!!!!!!! I hope Wxman Farmers are right but seems like we are always on the edge.On Sat are the rain chances day or evening in the east here in Ky? Does everyone think Hanna will be a hurricane when it makes landfall?? WXman Mitch Chris anyone????? Ike is a monster!!!!
Patty how are you doing I know you can’t wait for cooler weather neither can I cooler the better!!!!!
Tim I heard on the news that everyone should expect their power bill to triple this winter!!!!! Has anyone else heard that? I guess that’s the only downside to the cold weather we love!!
Hi gang!
Showers and covering much of central and western Kentucky. Temps in these areas will only hit the low 80s in many areas. The east will still crack 90 in many areas with more sun.
Since Hanna is not as strong… our front and some leftover moisture fro Gustav is being allowed to come farther east. Get used to this SLOOOOOW front for a few more days.
Take care!
Bring on the cold and snow that is why i love free natural gas 🙂
thanks chris for the update, we really need a rain here in g-town. hope you are going to the game, like to see you come home when you can. we don’t miss your updates they are great.
Hey Cystal…I’m surviving okay. It was pretty hot and humid the last two days, but today wasn’t too bad. I just take a day at a time. Maybe in a couple of weeks the heat will just be a bad memory. How are you doing and when are you going on your next assignment?
ike trending west so much for that out to sea turn. i don’t think a strong storm can be ruled out tommorow.
Hey Chris
I read that article on the spotless sun. Quietest sun since 1913! I guess we shall see if there’s something to it….There has to be.