Good evening, weather lovers. Our weekend is off and running on a pretty nice note across the entire region. This nice weather will be with us over the next few days, but a very, very wild pattern takes shape after that.

I have no changes on the potential for severe weather on Groundhog Day. A line of strong and severe storms should race across the state that afternoon and evening…

Euro

Damaging winds are the main threat from this line of storms and the overall setup. I’ve noticed the latest models have a little more of a positively tilted trough as opposed to the more threatening negative tilt. We will see how it goes, but the threat is alive and well.

We know colder air comes in behind this for the rest of next week. Once into next weekend and beyond… look out! The pattern is threatening to send the country into the deep freeze. The GFS introduces this bitterly cold pattern with a system for us to watch for…

GFS 3

The GFS Ensembles from WeatherBELL are absolutely frigid…

GFS 2The European Ensembles from WeatherBELL are brutal. Look at the mega trough…

Euro 2

Euro 3

Wow is all I can say after looking at those maps. Imagine if this active southern branch of the jet stream continues to crank during this time!

I will have the full update later tonight. Take care.