Good Saturday everyone! I am going to make this a brief post because it’s getting late and I am a tired weather dude! 
The weather around here Saturday will be similar to our Friday… except the thunderstorms will fire up farther east and south than our Friday stuff. Some could be strong once again as a cold front moves across the bluegrass state.
After that… it’s pretty much warm and humid into next week as we wait to see what the tropics may bring us by the end of the week. And yes… I am tracking some fall chill possible by next weekend or into early the following week.
Gustav and Hanna continue to roll on with Gustav ready to grow into a monster with a likely date with Louisiana Monday or Tuesday. Here are all the updating maps you need to track the storm…
![[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0708W5_sm2+gif/205016W_sm.gif)
Here is the latest from the NHC on Hanna…
![[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT08/refresh/AL0808W5_sm2+gif/205312W_sm.gif)
I will have more on our twin storms and my own track forecast for Gustav coming a little later on Today. This will include all the links and web cams you can handle so you can have the safest seat available to watch what this storm brings to the Gulf.
Take care.
Thanks Chris for the update…the way things are going right now, this will be a VERY historic weather week.
Totally fascinating to watch. Scary to think about hitting our coasts. Thanks for the update. I read every day but don’t always have time to post. I am now retired but I have no idea how my time gets away. I have less time now than when I worked and my muscles ache more. I might have to get a job to rest up. 🙂
Gustav
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=CARIB&isingle=mult_big&itype=vis
My mom lives on the Texas coast close to Houston and she refuses to evacuate no matter which direction Gustov decides to go. It’s very frustrating!!
I’m still nervously watching. The current track is into Vermillion Bay, near Morgan City, Louisiana. Since the NHC started issuing “cones,” no storm has come in at the mid point of the cone. It’s likely to be 100 miles to the east or west of the mid point. My kids are still in the cone. Evac decision tonight.
One thing to keep an eye on. If Gustav comes in 100 miles to the east of the current forecast, it would be catastrophic for NOLA. When I used to live down there, people would constantly talk about the “doomsday scenario” when a storm threatened. If Gustav jogs 100 miles or so to the east, that scenario would come into play. A Cat 4 at that angle would push surge up the Mississippi River first, and then would bring Lake Ponchartrain down onto the city. That would make the flooding from Katrina look like a bad thunderstorm.
Gustav is now a category 4 hurricane:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCUAT2+shtml/301718.shtml
PRAY for those in the path of the storm.
…and pray for everyone gearing up to head south and help in any and every way necessary. Thanks to the weatherdude for keeping us all informed.
Does anybody know how to guesstimate the wind speed as a hurricane moves inland? My mom is between 80 and 90 miles from the Gulf of Mexico. She has lived there her entire life and says she lost the roof only once, back in 1962. Her house was practically brand new at that time. She says the wind would be no problem since she’s “so far inland”. I think she’s crazy!! Is there a chart that shows the general wind speeds inland as a hurricane moves ashore? Thanks!
KP, I am not sure if this helps with your specific question, but I have found this hurricane tracker to be very interesting to watch:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26295161?preferredName=Gustav
God bless your mom – and all the folks who are in the path of this monster.
KP,I tried answering, but my response didn’t show up in the comments section for some reason, so I will try again! My apologies to everyone if this gets posted twice.
I am not sure if this helps answer your specific question, but I have found this hurricane tracker to be interesting. If you click on the rings, it gives you estimated wind speeds.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26295161?preferredName=Gustav
Prayers for your mom and everyone else in the path of this monster. I just saw where they predict it will hit a Cat 5 soon.
Thanks Chris i love all the updating maps you have created one awesome weather site!!!!
We are having a heck of a storm in Pikeville right now really bad thunder heavy rain dark i just hope i don’t lose power.I am by my lonesome my husband is in TN on lake cherokee with his friend I was going to go but i am really under the weather with a bad swimmers ear really bad i saw the dr yesterday he said my ear is swollen together but hopefully the meds antibotics and things will take care of it.It’s been the most painful thing.Has anyone else had it?
I will pray for all the people in the gulf wow a cat 4 hurricane and is it true hanna could head into the gulf as well???????
KP I will pray for you and your mom.
Feeder Band god bless you and your family I hope everypne will evacuate.KP can she go to a shelter more inland?????
Barn Swallow thanks for the great graphic.I am just glued when this storms are there.I am so praying for everyone.
KP, where is your Mom?
Thanks Barn Swallow and everybody else. That is a fascinating site.
I guess I need to know how far inland hurricane force winds can reach as a storm moves ashore. I can’t find much info or advice for those who don’t live right on the coast, but live very near it.
My mom refused to leave when Rita was bearing down on her in 2005. She watched the traffic at a complete standstill on I-10 and decided there was no point in leaving. My brother-in-law tried to evacuate his family but they got stuck in traffic and gave up and went back home. It’s a tough thing to decide.
They both said people were tossing pets out of cars as they sat in the 100+ degree heat and cars ran out of gas. The people just abandoned their pets and walked away. That makes me so mad. There is no easy way to handle these storms but take care of the pets!!! 🙁
She’s in Brookshire, Texas. It’s right on I-10 on the west side of Houston. Right now she seems to be in the clear but things can change and she has no intention of leaving no matter what happens.
Yes, she’s fine for now. Keep an eye on any changes in the cone. If it is shifted west to the upper Texas Coast (think Galveston), and this thing stays a 4, a 3, or God forbid a 5 as it approaches, she will be in harm’s way. It would still be a hurricane 100 miles inland, with tornadoes and flooding rains. She would lose power for days. If it has not shifted to the west by tomorrow evening, she should be fine.
The good thing is that she has more time to react. If a shift is made to the west, that would add an extra day before landfall.
There are several storms in Eastern Kentucky right now…including some severe ones:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for parts of Floyd and Knott until 4:30…and for parts of Bell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, and Leslie until 4:15. Stay safe.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for southern Pike County until 5pm.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for central Knott and NE Harlan County until 5:15pm
William we have had severe storms for over an hour in Pikeville but looks like the worst is over i hope so.The thunder at times shook the house and the rain came down in sheets.They are now saying the hurrcaine is close to being a 5 wow.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for SW Breathitt, extreme east-central Clay, NW Leslie, SE Owsley, and NW Perry counties until 6:45pm
I agree Crystal……Cool graphic!
Gustav is easily going to reach Cat. 5 status. I figured he would strengthen quickly. The good news…historically most Cat. 5 hurricanes weaken some before landfall. So look for Gustav to start winding down before it hits the U.S…
New ans Mayor Ray Nagin has announced a mandatory evacuation of the city beginning with the west bank at 8am CT (9am ET) and the east bank at Noon CT (1pm ET). Nagin called Gustav “the mother of all storms.”
PRAY for the people and the city of New Orleans and the entire Gulf Coast.
Oops…I meant New Orleans…some sort of error.