Good Tuesday everyone! The headline says it all… our day will be filled with watching the radar to see EXACTLY where the heavy rain axis from what is left of Fay goes. We have seen some heavy rains in several areas already and a lot more is yet to come.

The models are in two camps… the GFS is farther east while the NAM brings heavy rains to all of central and eastern Kentucky.

Here is the GFS…


And the NAM for the same time…




Both are bringing a swath of 2″4″ rains (with locally higher amounts) across the state… it is simply a question of does the storm come up west of the mountains or does it ride up and east of the mountains? The radar will have all the answers today.

Rain and storms will develop from south to north through the day with the heaviest rainfall coming Tuesday night and early Wednesday. Even with the dry ground… we have to watch the creeks and streams… especially across southeastern Ky where the heavy rains are a certainty with either track.

Temps should stay in the 70s the next few days for highs and could even struggle to hit 70s during the heaviest rains.

Thursday and Friday will see very warm conditions returning with highs in the mid and upper 80s. A cold front will move through Friday evening into early Saturday with an increase in showers and a few thunderstorms. Cooler and drier air will work in for Sunday and Labor Day.

Gustav has formed near Haiti and this storms looks like it can become a monster in a few days. Here is an updating sat shot…




There is another system in the Atlantic that will likely become a storm in the next few days. Gustav will become a hurricane very soon and track toward the Gulf. Here is the National Hurricane Center’s track forecast..

[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]





























We could very easily have a major hurricane in the Gulf labor day weekend!!!!!

I will update the rain chances coming later today so check back.

Take care.