Good very early Sunday morning everyone. I have been a busy bee today with tracking Fay and adding some new features to the blog. I hope to be adding more in the weeks ahead as we get ready for our busy season!

Let’s get into Tropical Storm Fay. The models trended east with this storms track earlier in the day putting an end to a west trend that had been on going for a few days. We still have a pretty good spray among the hurricane models right now, but you can definatly see they are saying look out Florida!



Notice some of those tracks bring what is left of Fay into Kentucky!! More on that in a moment. The National Hurricane Center is basically in lock step with the model forecast. Here is their 5 day track and cone forecast…



We are in the cone!

The problem with both the models and the NHC tracks is it is one that just does not happen very often. I mean a storm hitting near Tampa is RARE, my friends! How rare… check out this map of all the landfalling hurricanes since 1950…


What does history tell us then? Well… the chances this thing heads into the Panhandle are pretty good and that is what I am looking for to happen with Fay.

Fay had a tough day Saturday and has been looking a little ragged. It will likely begin to become better organized as it heads toward Cuba later today and Monday. This would bring it into the gulf where it will have ample opportunities to develop into a hurricane.

Since I am on board with the panhandle track as of right now… this increase the chances for this storm to impact our weather here in Kentucky. This looks to happen as early as Thursday. How much of an impact remains to be seen so we will wait before we get too specific with things.

Temps around here will continue to be fairly nice with low and mid 80s for Sunday after lows hit the 50s again. Monday and Tuesday will see thermometers begin to rise with a flirt with 90 possible. Then we wait for Fay.

Updates coming later today so check back. Take care.