Good Thursday afternoon everyone. Before I get to the tropics and what could be a MAJOR hurricane threat to the us over the next several days… I want to talk about our weather for a bit.

A front is settling southward into the region and will spark scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon through Friday. Some of the storms could become strong with hail the main threat to go along with some locally heavy rains. Temps Today will be mainly in the lower 80s but will be a bit warmer in the south. Friday will see more clouds so thermometers will be lower with upper 70s and low 80s.

The weekend generally looks dry with highs low and mid 80s. Next week’s weather wil grow wetter but a lot of it will have to do with what is going on in the tropics.

The blog has been harping and harping on the tropics ramping up by the middle of the month. This appears to be the case as we have what could grow into a major hurricane that closes in on the southeastern US coast early next week. Here is a look at the system in question…





As amazing as it sounds… this is not yet a storm. The National Hurricane Center is sitting on their cans not doing their jobs as this is CLEARLY a depression or low end tropical storm. It amazes me that they are looking at the same stuff and just sitting there. Wow! Upgrade this thing to what everybody else in the weather world knows it to be… a depression or storm! There… I fell better now!

The hurricane models take this storm toward the Bahamas over the weekend and have it sitting off the Florida coast by Tuesday. Here is a look at just a sampling of the forecast tracks..



The NAM has been all over this storm since it got within its range and has been VERY consistant. Here is what it looks like Sunday night…



The NAM has had a good year with tropical systems so it is wise to take stock in what it shows.

This storm will likely grow into a major Hurricane. Anyone from Flordia to North Carolina needs to be on guard for a possible landfall next week. Some of the models are actually pulling a Floyd with this storm by taking it to the FL coast then riding it all the way up to North Carolina.

Stay tuned… I will have another update coming later today.

Take care.