Good morning bloggers and welcome to a wet Wednesday in Kentucky. Numerous showers and storms will continue to roam across the state through the day. This has been in the forecast for many days now and the overall pattern is remaining pretty well behaved at the moment.
Waves of showers and storms will push from west to east into the afternoon hours as a slow moving front drops southward through the state. High dewpoint temps will lead to more heavy rainfall with local amounts of an inch or two possible with the heaviest rains. Since some areas have already had a couple of good soakings in recent days… keep a close eye on the smaller creaks and streams for some high water problems.
By later in the day… the best chance for rain and storms will be across southern Ky.
Thursday looks like a decent day… but this front will probably still be close enough to the state to keep an isolated storm chance in the southern counties. Highs will run normal to a few degrees below normal.
I had talked about the heat ridge trying to head this way for the weekend only to get cut off at the pass by a cold front. Well… this front says “I’m the boss” and may not even give the western heat a chance to make a run at us. We will start to feel the effects of this front as early as Saturday with a few scattered storms that would then carry us into early Sunday. Pleasant temps should follow the front for Sunday into early next week.
I am looking and looking for some true summer heat to get in here and I simply cannot find it. Folks… this is not the summer to get prolonged, above normal temps into this part of the country! This is something I kept trying to drive home in the spring and meteorological summer is almost half over now. If the heat is going to prove me wrong… it had better get started. 
More updates later in the day so make sure you check back. Take care.
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Thanks for the late night or early morning update how ever you consider it Chris 😉
Chris…..That storm that moved through Woodford last night sure packed a punch! Those wind gust sure showed who was boss! At least I don’t have to drag that garden hose out! Yeah!!! And for those above the average temps I say STAY AWAY!
Yes, those storms last night had some pretty stout winds with them. I would estimate some of the gusts topped out around 50 MPH here in Garrard County. I would say some small branches probably got blown over in this neck of the woods in a few isolated spots.
As per Chris’s forecast for today–yes, yes, and yes. Looks like there is considerable moisture in the atmosphere, especially in the western parts of the state as PWATs there are over the 2 inch range! Very unseasonably high levels.
Upwind propagation vectors this morning show that the batch of showers in western Kentucky will take a slight northeast jog and then begin to move southeast, so areas like Louisville, Lexington, Richmond, Irvine, Somerset, Danville, Sandy Hook all stand a decent shot of precip today—I’m guessing around 60 percent. Some isolated severe storms may try to form in the southern part of the state this afternoon as well–but ISOLATED only, and more likely than not your area will NOT see severe weather today. I don’t think any watches will be issued today, but those stronger storms that do form have the potential to put down a lot of heavy rain, so take the umbrellas with you, all the way down I-75 and the Cumberland Parkway, just in case.
Talk soon!
Glad to see you have your own place now, Chris! Even nicer to see all the old gang still showing up over here. You’ve got a lot of fans, mister! 🙂
=Aaron=
Thanks Chris…some fog here in Letcher County this morning.
Gotta love when people talk like scientist on here to make us country folk seem stupid
Good morning Chris and everyone.All right aaron what are Upwind propagation vectors?Also Chris or anyone what are gust fronts and how are they seen on radar????
Patty glad you got those tomotoes watered lol.Its so humid out already.
Good morning, everyone!
Looks like we’re about to see some rain soon in Laurel Co. It’s getting darker here, although we’ve had some cloud coverage for much of the morning already.
Coffeelady, how are the conditions in Somerset? We’re headed that way in a little while for a doctor appt.
AndyRose, I don’t think anyone is trying to make anyone else appear stupid. Aaron is just sharing his opinion on what is going on. Nothing wrong with that at all.
AndyRose, that’s how you learn!! I love the scientists on here.
I’ve just learned a TON of stuff by just listening. I like to hang out with smart people – which is why I hang out here!
I agree Sharon thats how we all can learn and i have alot to learn!!!!!!!!
well as long as they explain what it is thats ok but some people are not
Upwind popagation vectors is when storms form from the uplift of gusts from previous storms. (As far as I know)
Gusts fronts are outflow boundaries. Outflow boundaries are the winds driven by strong storms. They generally head in the direction the storms are moving. They are seen on radar by causing uplift in the atmosphere which then forms prcipitation that is seen on radar.
Hope this helps. As far as I know this is right.
Thanks Dave L I learn something new almost everyday on here we have some really smart weather buffs.
Now we need people like Dave L who explains things and just doesn’t throw big words around
Crystal, the easiest way to pick out a “Gust Front” on radar is when a line of strong or severe storms are on the radar scope.
A gust front on radar is usually detected by a thin blue line extending out in front of the main line of thunderstorms. When the line of thunderstorms starts to erupt, a gust front is not usually present on radar, but once the actual wind field expands outside of where the rain is falling, the gust front will initially look like it is attached to the line of storms. As the wind field expands, the thin blue line on radar eventually appears to “outrun” or jump ahead of the line of strong thunderstorms. Gust fronts are not always easily detected on radar, but the best location to find them is usually right near the actual radar location itself. Take a check the next time you see a line of storms getting ready to hit Louisville. Since there is a radar site there, if the line of thunderstorms is strong enough, that thin blue line will show up right over Louisville.
With the case last night, the storms were apparently strong enough to produce a gust front a considerable distance away from the radar site, so the storms, as you could expect, packed quite a punch of wind.
Hope this helps.
=Aaron=
Well, now we’ve got 2 sites to check on a daily basis – a lot to keep up with!
Aaron thanks so much wow you explain so well i appreciate it.Are you a teacher? If not you should be you do a very good job.Thanks.Thats why i love this blog and our weather community.
Looks like the line did not materialize as expected. The Bluegrass counties are going to largely get left out with frontal passage this evening. sigh.. Maybe next time.
It sure sounded bad last night at 23:00 during our SVR Warning…but max wind was 33 mph at my house. Sometimes it sounds like the wind is worse outside than it really is.
Glad to help. 🙂
Definitely a great bunch of folks here. Thanks for the inspiration–you never know when it might help someone out. 🙂
=Aaron=
didn’t they patty, our flag took a bit of a beating during the storm.
thanks, chris for the updates. hopefully the hot part summer can stay away.
Heavy rain in Pikeville currently very dark windy temp 70 degrees!!!!!!! We need this rain.
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