Good Tuesday, my fellow weather geeks. We are enjoying another nice, albeit windy, day out there as temps warm under a mostly sunny sky. This nice weather has been more common than not for the better part of March. This looks to be changing, perhaps in a big way, as we roll through the next few weeks.
The first system of interest arrives Thursday in the form of a strong cold front. This front is likely to have a band of showers and strong thunderstorms along and ahead of it, with much colder air behind it. Check out the simulated radar from the NAM from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning…
That even suggests a small chance for a few Thursday night snowflakes. Ouch.
Winds will be very gusty through Friday as colder air moves in. Temps for Friday will generally range from the high 40s to low 50s. While not “cold”, that’s still much colder than normal.
Thermometers rebound quickly into the 60s for Saturday. That makes for a very nice start to our Easter Weekend. It’s the end that has me concerned. Another system works in from the southwest with an increase in rain for Easter Sunday…
Maybe we can get an Easter Duck instead? 🙂
Temps will likely come downs several degrees as that system passes. A nice temperature spike should follow that into the first half of next week. Once beyond that, the longer range models continue to support a very cold look for much of the country.
This isn’t a good look from the WeatherBELL ensembles for the first few days of April…
The operational models are also catching on to the possibility of a significant cold shot. The GFS…
I only show that because every single Ensembles run has been targeting the first week of April for something similar. Here’s hoping they are throwing out a false signal. If not, some serious freeze issues ala April 2007 would be possible.
Enjoy your Tuesday and take care.
Thanks Chris. Glad my flowers are just peeking out of the dirt. Easier to cover when they are small. My azealea bushes are just greening up too. Hopefully the frosty stuff will get it out of its system and behave before long. But it did thunder in February. That means frost in May… Have a great Tuesday everyone.
I do not think that because it does one thing, the other always happens.
I swear I don’t think I’ve seen a temp map posted by CB in months that didn’t feature a ‘baked Alaska’. The flies and mosquitos seem like they would be much worse than the usual level of awful up there this go around. I’m sure we’ll be having our own issues here soon enough as well.
That is because Chris very rarely posts a temp map that would have Kentucky warm (and, likely, Alaska cold).
(Can both KY and AK be cold at the same time?)