9am Update
Good morning once again. You can put away the tents in Perry County… the school superintendent says they have NOT blocked the blog from their schools computers. 🙂 He apparently took the whole Occupy thing seriously and honestly thought I was advocating throwing up tents in front of the BOE to protest. I guess the 🙂 and 😉 and the overall absurdity of the idea wasn’t enough for him to see it was a JOKE.
You know you guys can’t believe everything you read on a weather blog. 😉 <<<<<< NOTICE THE SMILEY??? THAT DENOTES A JOKE. 🙂 Oops, did it again.
I will actually update the weather potion of the blog later today. Take care.
PREVIOUS UPDATE
Good Monday everyone and welcome to a new work week that will feature some big weather changes for much of the country. A shot of arctic air will engulf the eastern half of the country later this week and puts an end to the March weather of the past several days. This change means our temps tank and we will even throw some snow chances your way. It’s all part of a larger pattern change that takes us through the rest of January and threatens to really go wild later this month.
Before we get to the weather… I need some help from our Perry Country friends. A couple of little birdies are telling me the school board there is blocking the blog from appearing on school computers because teachers and students were spending too much time checking it. Can anyone confirm this to be the case? If it’s true, get ready for Occupy Perry County Board of Education. Who’s with me? 🙂
We have a stalled out front just to our south today and there is a bit of moisture along and north of the boundary. Some showers are on the move across the state this morning and there is the chance for some frozen stuff for areas seeing temps closer to freezing. You can track the action by clicking on the radar tab at the top of the page.
The showers move out during the afternoon as some rays of sunshine return. Temps today should generally hang in the 40s for highs.
That brings us to the wintry change for the end of the week. It all gets started with an area of low pressure working our way on Wednesday. This low will bring widespread rains in here and some locally heavy downpours will be possible. A major dip in the jet stream works across the plains and surges in here on Thursday bringing us a shot of arctic air. I continue to like how the European Model is handling things much better than the GFS as it’s deeper and colder with the trough. Check out the overall look with the big closed Ohio Valley low by Thursday evening…
Here’s the closer inspection of the European Model…
The arctic front blasts eastward during the day Thursday with temps falling into the 20s behind it. Winds should be very gusty and a lot of the moisture with the front may be in the cold side. There is also the hint of a wave of low pressure along the front to help enhance the band of snow moving through here. Northwesterly winds should keep snow showers and some squalls moving through into Friday with highs struggling in the 20s.
The weekend clipper also shows up and that’s something we will be watching over the next several days. The European isn’t as gung ho on it as the GFS or Canadian models area. The Canadian slows it down and really amplifies it into early next week…
Not really buying that at this point… but there is a ton of action going on across North America as bitterly cold air fills Canada. That cold will then begin to invade the states during the second half of the month.
That’s all I have for you guys right now. I leave you with this question. Does anyone in Perry County have a few tents I can borrow? 😉 #occupyperrycountyboe
I will have another update later today. Have a wonderful Monday and take care.
Thanks so much for the update, Chris! I am one of those who have actually enjoyed the warmer temps these past few days, so hearing about the coming cold has me already shivering! LOL! I just wanted to pop in and tell you how much I love your redesign of the blog! It looks awesome! And, so much easier to navigate and locate needed info. Great job! Thanks for doing this for ALL of us!
Thanks Chris! It’s been sleeting here this morning. Looks like maybe more to come.
I’m forwarding your report to the NWS!
Thanks for sending that in.
Patty, now that I’ve got your picture I’ll know you when I bump into you at krogers. Saw a little sleet myself this morning in Versailles.
Now you need to post yours!! LOL! I want to know you!!
How much snow accumulation are we talking about for the Laurel Co. area this week?
They also have the site blocked at Bath county schools. So I jut cheek it on my phone. Lol
The moon last night was gorgeous. I had to take one of the dogs out at 3:30 a.m. and let me tell you, I was not the least bit sad that it was not snowing and cold.
Those who have spoiled rotten tiny dogs who can’t do their business when snow touches their backside understand what I mean. 🙂
I saw an article online that said 2011 was the driest year in history for Texas. Many parts of Kentucky had the wettest year in history. We are not that far apart. Talk about an extreme year!!
Great new blog, Chris.
We are about 900 miles from the eastern part of texas..1500-1700 from the western side. That’s pretty far. Lol.
Doesn’t look like any accumulating snow
Awh ):
Looks like Chris and the NWS out of Jackson are in a battle for Thursday and Friday. NWS saying ALL rain for my area with some snow for Thursday night and sunny for Friday. Colder air does come in but looks like their timing is later. My money is on Chris….
I hope it does snow more then ankle high to a grasshopper..I wished all last year for the big one and didn’t get it now its time to wish again…I love the snow but hate the winter ….I know I know that’s stupid but none the less bring on the snow…….
What happened to the secondary low that yesterday was discussed could bring KY a good shot at accumulating snow on Friday? The GFS had hopped on board yesterday with that. Let me guess? Another tease. Yuck!
Thanks for the sleet reports! I agree with Chris blocking this site in schools denies kids a chance to learn about the weather. That chance has led me to do something I really enjoy every day. This just shows that school systems are more worried about liability and not educating the young minds of the world. I’ll stand by Chris on #occupyperrycountyboe.
I’m all for it. This site provides important information the kids and teacher’s can use. Shame on them….
I dont know how much clearer you could have made the levity in the situation. Maybe if the kids could read the blog, they might eventually understand the levity and be able to decipher joke from serious.
I also noticed that NWS in JKL forecast is completely opposite of Chris’s thinking for Thursday and Friday! my local forecast calls for rain/43* on thursday, and just a slight chance of snow/rain/mix thursday night!! cloudy/cold on friday….I feel like this is a case of De-ja-vu from last week !!!…so I’ll expect rain then snowshowers, that can produce LOCALIZED accumulations, just like last week, I ended up with 3″ of snow out of those intense squalls last week..
Net result will still be the timing of most of the precipitation will likely be ahead of the colder air, so mainly rain and then mix and some snow. Well be interesting to see the actual timing, since just a few hours difference would create a dilemma for school systems.
Still wild that this seems the longest CB has ever gone, not mentioning big snow chances in an outlook.
I think its totally ridiculous to BLOCK a weathersite from a school district!!! come on..
A bit of sleet coming down now in Rowan County.
Can’t wait to hear an update from Chris. I love the battles with the NWS…lol
I would have been so mad in high school if this site had been blocked. I was on it constantly when near a computer. Haha.
first I got call on parkway saying it was a NO GO, so we turn around and got my tent put up.
as far as upcoming weather goes, I love CB this not a knock my opinion. how can u call what coming a ARTIC BLAST?? artic BLAST would be 20 for highs and single to low teens, what we have coming is basically NORMAL for this time of yeraer give or take a degree. now Im not daying so clipper action wont be possible but as far as anything more than inch or 2 all u see and alot that be north wrre it is cold enough and in SE MOUNTAINS, bout what we got a week from today which was NOTHING.
CB knows what a real ARTIC BLAST is, he more hits the better for the upgraded blog. once again im the one who says Chris THE LEGEND BAILEY, he knows he my guy. hell ive wropte WKYT LETTERS about not keeping him. but lets get a HOLD ON A ARTIC BLAST coming, cause its NOT.
also a real artic blast is LASTING not 2 days top as well. love all u all and CB just my opinion.
You need to check your normal temps for kentucky. Our average high never dips below freezing. So whats coming for us, to southern folks, is artic air.
agree BUBBA CB i think ready for spring, he frustrated with the winter.
i still think we get a late feb/march couple week of winter IMO. only hope right now.
The NAM will be able to settle this one. Many data runs today will go a long way to help figuring this one out.
As of the NAM’s 12z run, the onset of the cold air looks to still be just north of the Ohio river by Thursday evening with lingering light rain showers east of I-75.
Still looks like flurries afterward. Not as intense as the snow squalls we saw last time.
wilmington says about an inch here i think wed night or thursday for areas along i70
just go rid HENRY AT ACCWEATHER new post its SPOT on to what ive been saying, 1 maybe 2 days intrusion of minor cold but mostly stay warm as north ne stays cold for prlong time.
Very True Mr. Rolo. Chris even states that the bitter cold isn’t even in Canada right now, that it may be filling in up there 2nd half of month, I’ve offically given up for real cold (lasting more than 1 or 2 days) and snow for this winter! (maybe if I give up, it will then finaly happen). Oh well, its going to do what its going to do!
Chris, I’m just not Buying any real winter weather this year. Your trying your hardest to sell us winter, but all I have seen is above normal temps and rain!
I like snow, but my electric bill likes mild? Todd Borek on WKYT at noon just said Lex area could get 1 inch or so thursday. Hey, its’ better than nothing 🙂
That sounds about right for now.
NWS in Jackson still not very convinced about the snow…giving mainly rain for Thursday and then a period from 7 to 1 am for snow…that’s not much. Come on Chris…help the kids out…lol
lastest run of Goofy shows low pressure forming in Gulf an moving north east…But as usual cold air retreats as system gets close to ky at the 150 hr range..But lo and behold cold air returns around(Sunday) 177hr and beyond and ky gets a decent snow especially Eastern ky..Of course i dont buy this setup but netherless will be something to watch on future runs..Models are constantly showing ridging in alaska which to me points to a pattern change..So maybe 7 days down the road hopefully the models will have a better handle on things if indeed a pattern change occurs..
Should of mentioned also(About Sundays System) that the GFS OP has no support from its own ensembles, and is miles apart from the CMC, UKMet, Euro and Euro ensembles…But hey ya never know..
As far as CBs new site, is anybody else noticing it is more of a resource hog than the former site? I really notice it when using lower power devices like smart phones and tablets.
I also preferred the format of posts with the blue for original posts and white for replies. Though this new site is nice, I must admit I preferred the previous site. Just saying 😉
I’ve had problems bring up the comments on twitter. Maybe it’s because of the new site because I didn’t have that problem before. Not really sure what the deal is.
The one good thing is posts seem to go through quicker (no lag). Real blog bottleneck test will be IF we see a big chance event and it has a good chance to pan out.
I actually think it loads faster on my iPad and iPhone.
I almost (key word – almost) want to say that what is about to happen in the world of weather finally reflects what so many early winter forecasts were calling for before the heap of early-December adjustments. The AO is about to crash, and the NAO is completely scattered in the mid-range (but the average is neutral as of now)…could go down further for good late this month (but who knows). The hopeful part of me wants to believe the cold air won’t be so exclusive to the western 1/3 of the US with a -AO/neutral NAO. With the shift in the PV, which has been mentioned regularly on here, I can’t help but be optimistic that February could be the breakthrough month (which wouldn’t technically fit the many early winter forecasts), even though I’m not sure what to believe on a potential SSW. So basically…what I’m trying to say is the ideas used in early winter forecasting were correct, but just out of order. I’m just talkin’ though…
WOW !! I mean whats 5-10″ of snow in Midland/odessa Tx !?!?! lol..lol.. put some extra pico-de-galo on the Chimichanga’s !!! ( my favorite mexican food) !!
Texas is big though, so plenty of geography variance. It is the size of…..TEXAS!
LOL!
If, and that’s a big IF, the 12z GFS is right about late weekend early next week, we could have a possible old school. Chris’s latest tweet mentions it. Still to early in the game, though.Watch and wait.
And Texas is getting tornadoes as of now: http://blogs.hamweather.com/2012/01/09/lone-star-state-snow-and-severe/
From his Twitter update, sounds like Chris is backing off of this weeks winter weather forecast and looking ahead to next week.
The timing of this just doesn’t seem right.
I would like to see some snow… enough to be snowed in for awhile, but I don’t think it will happen. just flurries probably.
if mets are already saying 1″ for lex, and you notice now JKL is forecasting snow 7-1 shows you people are coming around to accumulations for thurs
Cheerleading song: Is what I’m hearing (actually this whole winter)..PUSH -Em-BACK, Push em back, WAY BACK. ..ARtic air snow coming (push it back a few more days, few more days few more days few more days few more days)..it will start sometime, or else we will push it back into the endzone and it will be April!
The MODELS aren’t reading winter this year!!! PLEASE QUIT trying to Think and just go with what is! It has been the same answer over and over, push it back! oh well, its going to do what its going to do!
guys new GFS sghows possible storm now at end of weekend,lol 7 days out learn no newed to even mention that cause it aint happening. i mean even CB says the other mets are fools usinf GFSas there m forcaster top model.
remember HYPE gets hits, hits see ADVERTISING. but CB not lying GFS look ok at end next weekend, but JERSEY SHORSE coming to stay at lake cumberland for new season this summer has better chance happening that any model being right 7 days out.
as i said seasonable temps to just below normal for 2 days top and warm up then repeat. only time i can see a possible long period of any cold into FEB early march.
Where did that southern branch storm come from? All of a sudden, GFS wants to blow up a southern branch storm this weekend with snow spreading northward into Kentucky Sunday-Tuesday timeframe. I’ll bet the 18z run loses that idea. Then 00z will sort of pick it back up. But it’s just odd.. it came from nowhere.
Looks like next week could be what Chris calls “Clipper Mania”. 🙂
Sorry guys, but I will take 50’s the rest of winter and then around the end of March 70’s and 80’s. As I have gotten older, 50+, my old body just doesn’t like the cold. I have been told to move to Florida, but I can’t afford a divorce!
Please nobody say a word about a model 7 days away haha
That was meant to sound sarcastic btw lol.
NWS in Jackson now giving snow from Thursday afternoon to at least Monday…man, there is so much flip-flopping I feel like I’m at the beach. Now you see it….now you don’t…
I think JKL make LMK and Paducah look very bad, cause both of them are very good. Just saying.
This has been avery dreary day in southern ky low clouds and VERY FOGGY, Drizzley weather day!! No sun here today
just read a report that a town in Alaska is buried under 18 feet of snow!!! national guards have been recruited to help…THATS INSANE!! and we cant even buy a good snowshower…lol…
looking at CB’s latest tweet I am not trying to be a buzzkill but does anyone see any model other than the gfs showing this possible southern branch storm? CB himself usually leans strongly on models agreeing and just one out of a bunch doesnt usually mean too high a chance.
my wii doesnt like the new look of the blog. it keeps giving me a running out of memory error. hopefully i wont have to use the wii for internet much longer.
look forward to the colder temps next week. ive been here in houston looking at 60’s , 70’s , and close to 80 degrees.
When do the nam for thu and the 18z gfs come out?