Good Monday, everyone. Some areas are getting a bit of a break from the steam today, but the steam and storms are on the way back to the bluegrass state for the week ahead. Things do get a little murky as we see exactly what happens with an upper level low spinning toward the region.

Let’s start with today and roll forward.

Highs across the east will be much cooler than the west. The Hi-Res NAM forecast highs…

GFS Temps

There could still be a shower or thunderstorm floating around…

The steamy air fights back to the northeast on Tuesday as the threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms ramps up a bit. Here’s the NAM simulated radar for Tuesday and Tuesday night…

NAM

In this type of setup, some very heavy rains will be possible with any storm that blows up…

NAM 2

Showers and storms will increase a bit by the middle and end of the week as the upper level low slides farther east. The models are really struggling with what to do with this thing. The European Model has it going nuts to our east, with cooler air moving in for the weekend…

Euro

That same model run then shows another dip in the jet stream by early next week…

Euro 2

Have a great Monday and take care.