Good Friday everyone. Many folks are packing the malls and shopping centers across the land and doing so with very nice shopping weather. They are getting their entertainment from finding bargains as we have our fun seeing which of the forecast models blinks first. It’s a monumental stare down between the American models and every other model known to man.
Before we get to that.. the weather today into much of Saturday looks pretty darn good. We are likely to see some dense fog and low clouds early today and this may be slow to burn off. It will leave us with a mainly sunny afternoon sky and temps near 60.
Saturday looks windy with low 60s and an increase in clouds. Rain may move into western Kentucky by late afternoon.
This brings us to one of the greatest model battles I’ve seen in a long, long time. The NAM and GFS models continue to show a more northern stream dominated system moving in for Sunday into Monday. . They blast a cold front through here Saturday night with rain ahead of the boundary and a switch to snow behind it with snow showers and flurries for Sunday and Monday.
GFS
GFS Snowfall
The NAM is very similar to what is being shown above.
The European, Canadian, Nogaps, JMA, etc. all show something totally different with a cutoff upper level low across the Tennessee Valley Sunday that works over top of us Monday into Tuesday. This would imply a MUCH slower and more moisture laden storm that would put down heavy rains and the chance for some heavier snows for some.
Canadian Model
It will be interesting to see how the staring contest plays out today. Maybe we should take bets on which model blinks first. As I mentioned in a previous post… the truth is likely somewhere in between.
It’s a fun pattern ahead as there is more action in the pipeline for the end of next week.
I will have more updates later today so check back. Have a great Friday and take care.
Much rather follow the weather models than the shopping malls!!! Hope you had a great Thanksgiving!
for those wondering taken as is the ecmwf 00z would produce 1-3 inches of wet snow on grass Tuesday night as rain changes to snow due to dynamics for the bluegrass and eastern KY. However it will take the weekend for the models to figure things out. Don’t read to much into that one model run with such a large spread in model guidence. Bottom line: You all are still in the game for snow from this!
Thanks Mitch. I was wondering that very thing.
Interesting run on the 12z GFS..Looks like its coming around to a closed off low somewhere in tenn..Decent rain/snow storm maybe for some…
So what would be the best-case scenarion for snowlovers for this weekend? Anyone?
3-5 inches from woodford county west!!!!
hows it lookin for SE an E KY tornado?
Best case? 100 inches!!!! ;p
Lol. Just kidding.
LOL good to see you back Lincoln and your site. just checked it awhile ago
That’s was our total for last year or so it seemed.
The weather has never been this good. Thanks for the info.
I think over time this will enable kids to have that give me give attitude because I took out the trash.