Good Saturday to one and all. We are dealing with a nice little blast of cold air. This isn’t a big deal, but it’s the coldest we’ve had so far this warm fall. Freezing temperatures will effectively end any growing season that was left. The overall setup grows more active in the week ahead, with winter weather showing up across the country.
The weekend forecast remains the same with temps dropping into the 20s into Sunday morning. This afternoon and Sunday afternoon look really good with a seasonal chill in the air.
Low pressure will develop to our south on Monday and could throw some showers into southeastern Kentucky. Given the current forest fire situation, let’s hope the simulated radar from the NAM is correct…
The next system zips by late Tuesday into Wednesday with only a small shower chance. Winds will then get really gusty ahead of the next system arriving later Friday into Saturday. How potent this storm gets depends on what model you look at. The GFS closes off a powerful upper low on top of our region by next weekend…
Here’s the surface map for that setup…
Upper lows like that can produce winter weather and that’s exactly what that model shows across the Ohio Valley and into the Tennessee Valley.
The European Model has been uncharacteristically poor and jumpy with systems over the past few months. It is jumping around and the current run doesn’t agree with what the GFS is selling…
That turns it cold with a much more progressive system moving through. You will also notice a tropical system coming out of the Caribbean toward the Bahamas. I talked about that potential a day or two ago. If it’s real.. It may very well alter the overall setup over the next few weeks and could blow my thoughts out of the water.
I’ll update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.
Is this going to wind up the driest November on record?
Thelma Lou says if there is any scenario that would take away cold and or wintery precip from this area…..go with that scenario, it usually wins out! BOLD PREDICTION expect at least one day of 70 degree temps in December & January…& at least a day of mid 60’s in February. Spring will arrive early in March, not to say we don’t get a cold spell or two, but they’ll be short lived.
Well Thelma Lou better be forecasting some higher precipitation in the near future or her Little Red Riding Hood want be able to “go through the blazing woods” to her house for the holidays!
Are we going to have 70’s at the end of the week like most are predicting?!? B
That wud be one heck of storm if it played out!
Still haven’t had to turn my heat on even though it was 32F this morning. I’m making up for my summer AC abuse. I can tolerate being chilly -but not stuffy or too hot.
I can’t wait for something to happen in the weather world. This endless boring weather is getting old.
It’s a never ending pattern of nothing working out. I hate how bad the model flops are…really seems worse than over 10 years ago as technology really hasn’t helped improved weather forecasting a great deal over the years.