Good Saturday everyone. As we wrap up a very cold day across the bluegrass state, we quickly turn our attention to an increasing severe weather threat for late Sunday into Sunday night. This is a dynamic system that has the potential to produce widespread severe storms from the Ohio Valley into the deep south.
The Storm Prediction Center has much of the state in a slight risk area…
Here’s the probabilistic outlook…
The hatched area across western Kentucky into the Tennessee Valley suggest the potential for an upgrade to a moderate risk.
Damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes will be possible late Sunday into Sunday night as this line of storms rolls in from the west.
The extreme weather continues to roll on around here and shows little sign of stopping. These things just don’t happen in January around here and they certainly don’t happen with the frequency we’ve seen in recent weeks.
On a more wintry note… let’s circle next weekend into the following week for some possible fun and games from old man winter.
Have a great rest of your Saturday and take care.
I’m hearing late Sunday early Monday, and now Chris says late Sunday into Sunday night as far as the storms for tomorrow. Anyone have any idea what time we might get these storms around the Bowling Green area? Thanks!
Becky, I don’t think anyone knows anything for sure this year 😀
Do what I do– have the radar up all day & night, make a pot of coffee or two, turn the NOAA radio on, and enjoy!
Agree 100% !!! This yr has been unlike any other so far that’s for sure. I mean severe storms one after another and tornadoes in January. Do we get snow in June this yr!?! LOL!!
I am thinking we will have a late spring. But then again…who knows?!?
You know………..that is how I am, minus the coffee! It actually sounds kind of nice though, Jeanette!
My point:
Nws in Louisville says– Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. East wind between 5 and 7 mph.
Its currently already 28 degrees at 7:15pm. 🙂
It seems they’ve been having a hard time even pinning down temps. :/
Today was a bust on temps big time– mid 40’s? It barely got above freezing. This year is so messed up its almost funny. You gotta laugh, really.
>D
it only got to 29 here :/ Why is it only this cold when there’s no chance for snow! If there was any precipitation on the radar I bet it would get to 40 easy… just it couldn’t snow!
Thanks C.B. for the update.. this mornings severe storms was more than enough for me in April let alone in January!!! Can we just fast forward to next week ? That is if ole man winter is lurking!
If we’re having these kind of storms in January, what will April/May bring around here? I think we have our seasons mixed up around here. 🙂
Drove all the way from Morehead to Georgetown this morning at about 5:00am, and nothing, but rain.. By far the worst winter we have had in a long time, and by the worst, I mean no snow and warm temps!!!
Lexington temp is still holding steady at 29 even though they called for 40’s. I’m going with — I’ll believe the next week’s forecast of 50’s and 60’s when I actually feel it.
Interestingly, Lexington hit 45 in the very early hours of the morning, then the bottom fell out. Still, IIRC, Lex was suppose to be in the upper 30s during the afternoon, like you said it was 29 much of the day.
I will wait until next weekend & the beginning of the following week for the white powder to fall from the sky.But if there is no major or even a moderate out break of snow that actually sticks to the ground, I say lets put up the white flag of surrender & hope for a storm less spring season with comfortable temperatures and little humidity.
By the way I just glimpse at the defective GFS, it has a warm solution concerning moisture for next weekend. I refuse to get hype about anybodies forecast.
I second that…I am nowcasting every storm that comes this way and will wait and see what happens. Hopefully the trend changes from WarmRain / Cold to COLDSNOW/ COLD / COLDSNOW / COLD……
Tomorrow eveing could get interesting…Esp..south of Met. Lou..
NWS Nashville’s ‘dual polarization’ upgrade is complete, about a week ahead of schedule. Their radar is back online, good timing considering Sunday evening’s projected severe wx outbreak. Far south central KY counties will benefit.
NWS Morristown (covers eastern Tennessee) is next to be upgraded.
Which Radar areas have been upgraded, other than Nashville & soon Morristown?
Memphis and Nashville are done. Morristown is up next. Charleston and Wilmington are scheduled for September while Indy will be done in October. Louisville and Jackson get their upgrades in November while Paducah and Fort Campbell are scheduled in January 2013. Evansville is scheduled for February 2013.
Next week….next week….next week…..nothing but a Snow Tease…
Chris himself has talked about how horrible the models have been. IMO to look ahead a week has no purpose
Just received a tweet from my local news station. it is a test message from their “ReadyWarn.” I guess they are prepping for the severe weather here tomorrow. Are we sure this is January??? lol
well all I can say is, BLAHHHHHHHH!! aspring weather in JANUARYY not just a hit run but whole JAN been spring weather.
A few years back we lost our roof to a January storm. Three days later another storm with 80 mph winds hit and it was not even on the radar when the news began at 10 pm. T.G. was on and he said the storm appeared out of nowhere in my part of Bourbon County. I believe the highest wind gust ever recorded in Lexington was in November 2002. (Seabiscuit was being filmed at Keeneland and all the inflatable people so carefully placed in the grandstand were a mess!) I get more nervous about winter severe weather than I do about spring storms. I do not like severe weather at all!!!!
Me either. I used to actually look forward to it, but not much anymore. I like seeing lightning, but the wind is what creeps me out. I can’t believe we have to keep an eye to the sky in freaking January……..much less ANOTHER round. I mean, really??? Do I DARE say 2012? This winter is crazy!
Re: 2012
The Mayans worshipped the sun and some people believe that their prophecy involved something like a huge solar flare. A very big one will be zipping past us tomorrow.
As for severe weather, I do not like anything that destroys the lives of innocent people who are simply unlucky to be caught in the path of a mega-storm. I prefer to be in control, but with Mother Nature, there is no hope of that!
Those of you with Met backgrounds, please tell me why we don’t have a doppler servicing the Somerset/Columbia region? Jackson is fairly far away through mountains and hills, Louisville even farther in terms of LoS and being able to see surface conditions. Bowling Green 80 miles to the west, we’re in the black hole of radar services in this region.
I noticed the same thing. Morristown’s radar also seems somewhat far away:
http://www.roc.noaa.gov/WSR88D/Maps.aspx
The general area around Somerset was very hard hit during the Super Outbreak of 1974.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Super_Outbreak_Map.PNG
Here we go!! Tomorrow night looks like a moderate risk for most west of 75. This will likely be a very dangerous outbreak, with the possibility of tornadoes and damaging winds. Be prepared everyone.
Man this has been a wild spring- Can’t wait for winter 🙂
Well, I can do without an outbreak of severe weather in January. But if we are going to have one, I am glad we have been told about it a little ahead of time, so that we CAN prepare, if we need to.
I don’t like April weather in January. We really need some cold stuff.
wonder if the solar flare will affect our weather the way El nino, and La Nina does. Anyone with more of a weather background care to answer and explain it? thanks in advance.
And THANK YOU, Chris, for the update. I am sure that many of us will be glued to this site, especially when we see storms start firing.
Have a good night all.
That’s a good question about the solar flare. I did find this article that suggest severe weather.
http://nvonews.com/2012/01/21/solar-flares-2012-solar-flare-can-create-storm/
NWS just put up a special weather statement out for freezing drizzle/freezing fog.