7pm Update
Good evening everyone and I have to confess something… I lied.
I won’t have a full update today as promised. Even your friendly weatherdude needs some R and R sometimes. I will have the usual post later tonight. See ya then and take care.
Previous Update
Good Saturday everyone. We have a small taste of winter across parts of the state this weekend and many of the forecast models are showing a much more wintry look into February. At this point… anything would count as much more wintry. Right? 🙂
I will have a full update for you later today, so let’s hit the headlines.
– A fast-moving cold front is sweeping across the area today and will bring a period of rain and snow showers. A touch of sleet can’t be ruled out. Winds will also be very gusty with the front with temps in the low 40s ahead of it and in the 30s behind it.
– Another fast mover sweeps into the Ohio Valley on Sunday. This will also increase our winds and provide some increase in clouds and even some afternoon and evening flurries for some. The north and northeast can see a few snow showers from this. Temps may spike up a bit in front of the front and then fall off quickly behind it.
– Readings early next week will spike back up with another round of 50s likely into the middle of the week.
– Rain should be on the increase from late Tuesday into Wednesday and Thursday.
– The pattern for the end of next week into next weekend is ripe for a cutoff low and a possible big winter storm somewhere in the eastern part of the country. We have to see if this produces a storm before we can even begin to talk about it possibly impacting the weather around here.
– There is a lot of evidence pointing toward February turning into a much better winter pattern across eastern North America. The GFS Ensembles are showing a massive ridge going up western North America with a deep trough in the east. This shows up nicely on the average anomalies for February 7-12…
– The one thing going against this change taking place is the seasonal trend of the winter, so far. Time will tell.
Don’t forget the radars and tracking tools at the top of the page. I will have another update later today, so check back. Have a great Saturday and take care.
We will have to waint and see…..Not to be negative, but it will more than likely get cold for a few weeks with NO precip to go with it. Hopefully I am wrong, but that is our luck around here….Have a great Saturday.
THNK SNOW!!!
Thanks, Chris. Have to work today, so, wanted to know how to dress for the day. Hope the pattern does change, and we get some cold and possibly snow here. I am afraid that if we don’t, we will wind up paying for this a bit later….have a great day, all.
THINK SNOW!!!
Watching TWC this morning and even they were talking about that ARTIC air stored in Alaska and Canada was finally going to dip into the eastern united States. Signs are actually showing Alaska warming up and most areas east of the Mississippi River turning sharply colder with several chances of Major SNOWSTORMS developing. Chris is onto something and we all need to stay updated. For Chris to be saying it and TWC talking about it 1 week ahead of time, must be something we all better stay tuned into. Looks as if winter is on it’s way. Keep up the good work Chris. This will not be short lived. Looks to be hanging around for several weeks.Maybe now instead of thinking SNOW, wee will actually be seeing SNOW!
i have been saying for weeks now that we will have a much more wintry look in feb and march. we have had spring in dec. and jan. and now we are going to have winter in feb. march and possibly april into may. i asked a few days ago how people would like snow on easter or maybe even mothers day, although mothers day might be stretching it but i said that to try and prove a point.
point is, is that winter is far from over and before all is said and done we all may be screaming for spring time before this winter is actually over. i will make 1 prediction right now and it goes to show how confident that i am about the winter making a big time return to our area. the prediction is that our area, ne ky, southeast ohio, and western wva. will have at least 1 night below zero in feb. and we will have at least 1 day if not more days that will now get out of the teens and, my friend, you know as well as i know that in order to do that in feb. you have to have a good snow pack.
thanks for reading and god bless.
So if we were to get snow late in the week, any ideas as to when it would start? Know it’s a long way out, but what are the possibilities?
Let’s talk up the snow, I need a reason to keep checking the blog!
Okay, finally some signs of a pattern change that may take hold! Just in time for spring! We will get a couple of weeks of winter and then a cold spring. Not to be a pessimist because I love winter. It is truly my favorite season! But, I posted this thought back in December and have believed it to be true all winter. I was hoping that I would be wrong, but so far I haven’t been. We all know that a pattern change is in store. It is rare that we would havea season where the pattern remains the way it has. So change is on the way! Yea! Just in time for spring. Boo.
Spring is March 20th????
Meteorological winter runs from December – February. Meteorological Spring is March – May.
I am not saying it won’t snow some. But let’s face it, we are in the last few weeks where we can get some snow on the ground and keep it there for a while. When it snows in March, it disappears pretty quickly. This is it. We are in the home stretch. Ole man winter better take his best shot!
Just when I accept that this winter is a huge disappointment and get into spring softball mode, it changes. Figures! Its kinda like washing your car will bring the rain lol…..unfortunately, I’m not happy about winter prospects at the moment but thats the way it goes 🙁
Even I wouldn’t mind one nice snow that doesn’t effect the roads too much. Reminds one of YouTube video (can’t find it) of an Ocala, Florida kid so overjoyed at their rare snowfall she eagerly did real snow angels….albeit on a big outdoor trampoline!
Would persistent late winter cold hold down severe weather for us in the spring? A nice thought, but the winter of 2010-11 was of course very cold for most part, even in the southeast. However, the Gulf of Mexico and Florida were very warm – except for a brief shot of bitter Florida cold in Dec. Thus the Gulf waters were able to send all that very warm moist air for the epic severe wx of spring 2011.
The winter of 2009-10 was consistently cold, even in Florida. So the Gulf waters were chilly. This may had led to relatively little severe wx that spring.
It may be too late this winter for even a few deep surges of cold to cool the Gulf waters much, time will tell. If the Gulf stays abnormally warm, that will be one fuel for spring twisters, but we will also have to see how the spring jet stream patterns behave. Some predictions have La Niña finally weakening this spring which could reduce overall chances of severe wx – if not eliminate a twister or two.
All I remember last winter for central KY was a LOT of one and two inch snow events and nothing beyond that. I prefer the current weather over that.
As CB said, the models suggest some good winter ahead, but the results so far temper the positive outlook.
All small snow do is cause accidents and gets tons of salt caked on vehicles. Nasty stuff for no real return. Keep the rain a commin’ over that. Now, if we get a shin kicker snow- that is different 🙂
In addition…..leave out the ice storms! I experienced some nasty ones growing up in east TN. They are for the birds. Actually, not even the birds deserve that 😉
South central Kentucky also had lots of little snows last winter, although they got a five inch dump early in the season. If anything, it was south central Tennessee that was buried, one storm brought 16 inches along the Tenn/Alabama line IIRC; this was same storm that brought Huntsville, Chattanooga and especially Atlanta to a crawl, but somehow south central KY got virtually no snow from this particular storm! But in Feb, Bowling Green got a few inches and this snow cover combined with cold to plunge the temp to -5F one night.
It will snow on the East Coast next weekend. Seen this story line over and over.
the 12z CMC is one of the few model runs for the entire winter that has brought a smile to my face. maybe just maybe still in the very doubtful phase.
Mitch please elaborate!!!!!
as i posted few days ago FEB into early march could be intersting. tx CB.
i see a NICE SNOWFALL within next couple weeks for p[arts of ky, i say 1-64 north best chance right now.
I would take 10inches of snow that melted the very next day? Who cares how long it would be on the ground, just bring the snow anyway we can get it? Also, LS looser! Go CATS 🙂
Good call CB! The model aggregate does suggest a chance for a big event and change for the region, but is tempered when regressed with the trend this winter.
Tv mets not even coming close to taking the bait for the end of the week. Forecast upper 40s to mid 50s
Our local Met (BG @ Wave3) says 37 high 27 low for Friday with snow showers. NWS Louisville says 50 high 34 low. Hows that for disagreement. sheesh.
LIAR – LIAR – PANTS and FIRE!!!! You must be getting rest because you know what is about to come!!! Bring on the cold and snow.
Still holding out a little hope andI still think it will be a White Derby!!
THINK SNOW!!