Good Saturday, everyone. We are tracking a light snow maker ready to take over the region on Sunday. This will drop a widespread, light snowfall across the entire region. This system is actually one of several I am tracking over the next week and change.
Today’s weather is better than the past few days, but won’t win any beauty pageants. Highs will hit range from the upper 30s to low 40s on a gusty wind. We will see a mix of sun and clouds with the potential for a flake or two. We will likely see a bit of an increase in snow showers later this evening into tonight.
A clipper dives in here on Sunday with a rapid increase in light snow that carries us into Monday morning…
We will likely see a few pockets of heavier snow, and we will need to be on guard for this becoming an overachiever. This is a healthy disturbance embedded within a northwesterly flow, and that’s can sometimes produce a little more snow than the models suggest.
Right now, this still looks like a general 1″-3″ for the region. I will get much more specific with A New Call For Snowfall map later today.
We continue to watch a few more systems lining up for next week. Another front arrives later Tuesday with the chance for light snow into Wednesday as another disturbance slides in from the west and northwest. Friday will find another such system trying to impact our weather as cold air settles in.
This brings us to the weekend and the potential for a developing winter storm to impact the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. The models will vary from run to run on placement and timing, but they continue to show something.
Here’s the European…
The Canadian Model 10 day snowfall map shows something similar…
We will have to see what impact the upcoming systems have on us, but it’ cool to see the operational models going toward solutions coming from the GFS Ensembles in recent days. I kept posting them because the vast majority of them had healthy signals for Ohio and Tennessee Valley winter weather.
That’s still the case…
If anything, they have an even greater target than a few days ago.
I will have the “New Call” later today, so check back. Have a great Saturday and take care.
Only time will tell.
Great song from the group Asia 🙂
Maybe we can catch a big snow in the next 10 days. BOTS
Snow is pretty and fun for the kids to play in but there is another side of snow I do not like. They use a sand salt mixture on the roads here in Southern Ohio that contain some bigger rocks in it. That’s how I have had my truck and cars windshields cracked. Plus salt is hard on metal and concrete. I know I’m not the only one who has had this happen.
Salt sucks for sure.
All the weather systems this winter both fair and foul have been weak and fast moving. Unless something changes in the North Pacific, like a strong high pressure system we will continue to have a trend towards a mild winter, which consist of long mild,wet period followed by a few days of cool pacific air mixed with polar air and maybe a upper level low from the Northwest which lacks a Southern component.
Have a cabin reservation in Garlinburg Friday – Monday next weekend. Leaving from lex anyone foresee any issues?
Thanks Chris. I hope we can get ourselves one good snow in the next little bit. And keep the cold for a few weeks to help with the insect population, not to mention viruses. I always advocate for one really good snow a year, and then okay, lets move on. Hope we can do that again this year. At least the chances are looking like there might be a possibility. Have a great Saturday everyone. Enjoy the sunshine today. And go CATS!
It’s great to see a good bit of snow talk. Maybe we can build to a bigger one next weekend? Thanks Chris. And go Big Blue!
It is so nice to hear the phrase, “‘New Call’ later tday.”
Now all we need to hear is “threat mode” and this winter will begin a 180 turn…hope is still alive, even if barely:)
Thanks Chris! Interesting times!
Looking forward to a snowstorm next weekend. Thanks for a great blog. As always, stay hopeful.
I can’t find any source that is calling for more than one inch tommorrow. The next real chance for snow is next Sunday. Looks like a rain to snow event.
If your on this blog you have found 1 source if you have watched or listened to WLEX, WYMT, WTVQ or WKYT are all giving an inch at least. The NWS is also giving 1-2 inches as well as TWC.
So i don’t think you looked very hard.
Even the Knoxville/Morristown weather service is issuing concern for over an inch region wide…how many sources does someone need…with CB’S being the earliest of them all!
Yawn meter still at 10 for rest of winter, but man love the thought of spring this late into winter….
EF5/Jim – we missed you! Great to see your predictions.
Who’s we???
Been hoping I’d be wrong all winter retro, really hate the ” put in a fork in it” opinion, but it has held true so far, unfortunately. But, I’m ready for spring, and if proven wrong in next couple of weeks that would be great also…don’t take myself that serious like SOME that post on here LOL
Ice creeping back in the picture next weekend..lol..If so probably go 300 miles north and leave us with rain..Yawnnnnnn…meter at 20..
Been there done that got the Tshirt already once this year.
If you live in central/far eastern Ky and W. Virginia the Sat. 12Z GFS looks great for you and no one else for next weekend. The previous 2 runs showed nothing and the 12Z Fri. showed Georgia, the Carolinas, E. Tennessee, and Virginia being absolutely hammered with a foot +.
Point being, the potential is definitely there but at a week out this will change drastically for the next 5 days on every run so no one should really get their hopes up only to be crushed just yet.
What’s the outlook for W. Ky., Hopkins County to be exact?
Thanks!!
This has the absolute most likely hood of going north as we get closer to next weekend
give it a rest
Thelma Lou thinks the ice or snow next weekend will set up for the northern half of the state or along Ohio river. Here in the LC area our track record suggest a better probability of rain. She’s predicting an inch here tomorrow night!
We’re getting close to the NAM’s sweet spot for accuracy with the 12z run. Up to an inch for Louisville; 1-2″ Lexington; 2-4″ Eastern Ky…this is just general, not focusing on potential for heavier bands.