Good Sunday evening, gang. Here’s hoping this finds each of you wrapping up a wonderful weekend. I wanted to drop by for a quick follow-up to my earlier post about early February. Changes are most definitely brewing that should take the eastern half of the country into a wintry period.
The Models all agree on this, but differ from run to run on how and when it all plays out. The European Model is showing the best continuity right now and that’s the direction I am leaning. Take a look at the storm setup for next weekend…
That’s an interesting track and looks similar to what it’s prior run was showing for next Saturday night…
Remember my last post about a + PNA, -NAO, -AO and -EPO? Well…this is the pattern that combination can produce…
That’s a pattern loaded with potential for cold and snow across the eastern part of the country. It’s also a look that can produce some big winter storms. Only time will tell what kind of impact this will have on our weather. But, we’re in the game. 😉
Enjoy your evening and take care.
“….we’re in the game.” At least there may be a little hope….up until this point I think we have been playing in a different arena…
Thanks Chris!
I am hoping!! 🙂
The 12z EC overall for surface temps is way to warm for accumulating snow eventhough the track is OK. To me based on the upper air set-up this system should cut west of the mountains meaning mainly rain ending as flurries/light snow. Best chance of snow from central plains into interior northeast. The good news is this is still about 6 days away and can change.
Just as I was starting to get my hopes up.
We might be on a second half run. I just hope we are not too far behind. I do not trust any of these models,we have been down this road before that has the same story line “just wait until next week”. But this time it does seem that the models do have some waited data behind them. The only thing I request if it is going to be cold, please mother nature let it come with some decent snowfall.
Nice ridge out west with some blocking also…Finally the models agree on something…If this setup holds up someone could get a big snow storm…All the players are coming onto the field and hopefully they line up where ky gets walloped…Will be interesting in the next few days watching the pieces fall together..
Holy Blizzard, Batman!
Just in the last few hours, Morristown radar is already back online:
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=mrx
FTMMRX
Message Date: Jan 29 2012 21:59:23
KMRX Radar is now returned to service running dual pol. bet
Kudos to the technicians, they finished the upgrade way ahead of schedule. Morristown was not even scheduled to go offline until early February! This same tech crew did Atlanta, Memphis, Huntsville (Hytop AL) and Nashville and upgraded most if not all of these radars ahead of schedule. Unfortunately for KY, this crew now goes to Birmingham and won’t come near KY again.
Among other reasons, priority is apparently being given to radar coverage areas affected by last spring’s tornadoes.
I’m Mark, not Mary 🙂 In my haste, did a typo. Besides my home computer, I use different computers at work that don’t necessarily have my past info.
Although I know lots can change, I think the entire Ohio Valley is in the game at this point. With the combination of a +PNA and a -NAO, I feel that the storm track will be suppressed south for once, giving a chance of a big snow, especially for the northwestern half of KY.
I wanted snow all winter but my son is going up to a track meet next weekend…. sooooo now I really hope we don’t get it. 🙁
Well, I gave up on the winter about a week ago, so now that ive stopped hoping for a big snow, we’ll probably get one waist deep. Thats how my luck goes.
I think we will be the fence and Ohio and perhaps north Kentucky would see any significant accumulation, if it were to pan out. Maybe higher elevations in the east part too.
Cold air and moisture have not been buddies for us in a long time. Maybe it would be a big surprise?
I like the idea of “being in the game.” I am still hoping for the big snowfall. Yup, that’s me…the eternal optimist. I’ll keep wishing….and hoping….and who knows what will happen!