Good afternoon, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the possibility for another tropical system to bring rain to Kentucky.
Tropical Depression 16 will become Nate very soon as it lifts northward toward the Gulf of Mexico. This system has some speed with it and isn’t going to mess around in terms of forward speed. Here’s the latest track from the National Hurricane Center…
That will likely shift west across the Gulf of Mexico, closer to the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Nate will try to team up with a cold front across the Ohio Valley over the weekend and early next week. The GFS continues to show a potent setup, starting late Saturday and Going through Monday…
The Canadian Model is now VERY similar with a Louisiana landfall, then toward the bluegrass state…
A few thoughts:
- The prime time for our heavy rain threat is late Saturday through Monday
- How much rain depends on exactly where Nate makes landfall in the Gulf of Mexico.
- A landfall west of Florida has a better chance of bringing heavy rain to Kentucky.
- NOTHING is set in stone with this setup.
- If Nate does bring rain to Kentucky, it would be the 4th tropical system of the season to do so.
In the near-term, showers and storms are hanging just to our north…
A couple of those may find their way into the bluegrass state later tonight or Thursday.
I’ll update things later this evening. Enjoy your day and take care.