Good Wednesday everyone and welcome to another very warm day across Kentucky. We are just beginning a prolonged stretch of temps that are so far ahead of normal that it isn’t even funny. Highs are running more than 20 degrees ahead of where we should be for this time of year.
Thermometer readings out there today are likely to be even warmer than what we had on Tuesday. Mid and upper 70s look common with a few areas topping the 80 degree mark. A record or two may fall in the process.
There is just the smallest chance for a scattered shower of thunderstorm… especially in the west and south. Those showers and storms will become a little more widespread over the next few days as moisture increases from the south. Take a look at the NAM Simulated Radar…
Temps will remain warm through the shower and thunderstorm threat days and then may REALLY take off late this weekend into early next week. 80 or a tad better will be possible for a few days into the beginning of next week. Wow!
This warm pattern is likely to carry us through much of March. It can’t stay this warm forever and my worry is we are setting ourselves up for rounds of severe weather later in the month. The European Model for next Tuesday shows some of my worry…
That may be a lot of severe weather showing up in the plains states as a deep trough digs into the Rockies. You will also notice a lot of cold air up in Canada and it won’t go quietly into the night and may set the stage for a rough and tumble spring around here. Let’s hope that is not the case… we have had more severe weather than we can stand already.
Have a great Wednesday and take care.
Chris please don’t say that I don’t think I can handle it right now lord please take it out of here….
i love this warm weather. don,t want storms, but hope the warmth stays
Could this be setting up like 2007, where much of March was insanely warm, and then we got snow in April, along with a hard freeze that killed everything?
I sure hope not. Not only was it miserable around here that April, but it had a major (negative) impact for the rest of the year.
I was coaching middle school baseball that year, and I can remember having to call a game because of snow…we couldn’t see the outfielders…..never forget it.
I’m afraid I have to agree with Chris. This is the Ohio valleys year for tornadoes, I’m sorry to say. We’ve been lucky in past years, but this year will likely not stay the same. Here’s hoping it doesn’t effect the ones most devastated.
I agree. Late in the month and especially April should be a wild period of storms. Looks like SPC is already highlighting the next system in the Plains on their 4-8 day outlook. They don’t do this unless there’s good confidence. We’ll have to watch how that system affects KY one week from today.
Already 59 tornadoes reported in Kentucky this year and we have not even moved out of our (NOT SO WINTER) season. Ky had a total of 59 for the entire year last year. Could be in for a rocky start to our spring season. Still holding out for a WHITE DERBY….The cold weather is not finished.
Song of the DAY: I’m Dreaming Of A WHITE Derby!!!!!
Thanks for the updates CB…..
You know, I’m not liking the looks of what I’m seeing though. I do think severe season isn’t over. But man.. there sure is a LOT of strong blocking already showing up across the eastern U.S. Summer may be a miserable one around here.
miserable as in HOT or very wet and stormy?
Even if stormy, thankfully July/Aug/Sept storms in Ky/Tn tend to be less tornadic and those twisters that do form tend to be weak (F2 and weaker); the stronger tornadoes tend to stay in the upper plains and Great Lakes during these months. I’d have to look it up, but IIRC, Ky has never recorded June twisters stronger than F3/EF3. Even last June’s Louisville twisters were only EF2 even if that’s still nothing to sneeze at.
Hot & Humid.
I prefer 95 degrees to 15 degrees but even that gets old after awhile.
Yeah, hot and dry is what I’m thinking. I hope I’m wrong. And I will say that seasonal forecasting has a LARGE degree of error. But signs are just not looking good already. The heat wave we’re in right now is just wild. We see this all the time in March, but only for a few days…not for weeks. Remember what ended up happening in ’07? Summer turned dry as a bone and HOT with triple digit heat by the first of August. Almost no rain for several months.
thanks for all the info! I dont want to think abt the 100’s for august, i work in a local school system and we start school early Aug and it is miserable for the kids especially when they are on the bus!
It makes sense for this dryness to occur because the past several months have been very wet.
We are due for some bone dry weather in the Northern part of Kentucky because 2011 was the all-time wettest year by far at CVG for precipitation. But I would much prefer a “normal” year and not the extremes that we have been having.
Can handle hot and dry better then storms and what we see here in west liberty….
Wxman,do you think these storms well be as bad as what we just had in west liberty
I would say the tornado outbreak of a few weeks ago was a every 50 year event in KY, If something like that happens again in Ky this year, tornado alley has moved in our direction.