Steamy Temps Before More Storms

Good Wednesday, folks. Summer continues to flex a little September muscle for the next few days, but thunderstorms are about ready to sweep back in. Rounds of boomers will kick in by Friday and should last through the weekend. Bigger changes are in store for next week.

Highs today and Thursday are deep into the 80s. High humidity levels  continue to give us a tropical feel and there’s still the chance for a storm or two to go up.

A cold front nears the state later Friday with showers and storms on the increase. Those showers and storms can put down some pretty good rains as they roll through.

That front will then slow down on top of the region over the weekend. This may oscillate north and south, with areas north of the front seeing more dry than areas south. Still, rounds of showers and storms are a good bet through early next week.

The models aren’t shy with the rainfall numbers for the next week…

This is NOT going to be a washout of a weekend. You will get many dry hours, so just pick and choose on when to be outdoors. 🙂

A stronger front will then roll in here by the middle of next week and may bring some pretty good thunderstorms our way…

That will also bring much cooler air in here, with even cooler air likely to follow that by next weekend. As a matter of fact, the closing days of September into early October look cold for this time of year. The average departures from the Ensembles are all over this…

Remember that early season frost potential I was talking about? This pattern could support that.

One potential trouble maker would be the tropics. Watch the east coast for some kind of system to try and develop. It may almost be a part of the energy left from Florence that breaks off and circles back.

Back to the Ensembles… Those same models continue to suggest some early flakes pretty far south into the plains by early October…

 

Make it a great day and take care.


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7 Responses to Steamy Temps Before More Storms

  1. Terry says:

    I look forward to the first ‘Pot of Chili Alert’ myself☺

    It would literally take all time record cold next week to bring the September monthly average back down to just average: I don’t think we will have enough time to achieve that. I think this will be a top 10 warmest September based on current monthly average-to-date so far, more so helped by the warm lows than the actual high temps.

  2. Schroeder says:

    I don’t expect much change in the overall weather pattern through next week. In my county of Taylor the forecast is for more summer weather for the enforceable future and just a slight chance for showers. Looks like now our first frost in my county may be really late this year. The wind patterns in all levels of the atmosphere have not changed. We are still in an ENSO- neutral phase. I kind of wonder now if El nino is going to make it’s appearance for the winter of 2018-19 ?

    • Terry says:

      That is a pretty stout trough trying to establish next week late. We may or may not get frost but should definitely cool down a lot!

      • Schroeder says:

        I go by the current upper level winds on the Ventusky site. I don’t bother with all the extended weather models, but that’s one of the tools meteorologist can study to make an extended forecast. I looked at the GFS ten day model and it looks like winter is coming at the end of next week ? I am going to take a stab at October and say that the temperatures will be above normal and precipitation will be below normal ? Another late Autumn ? #climatechange

        • MarkLex says:

          I don’t know. From 1999 to 2013 (ish) the winters were pretty much snowless here other than ankle biters and a couple of major ice storms, we would only get 2 or 3 inches here and there, sometimes multiple times, but never any big snows. That changed in 2013 (ish) I can’t remember exactly……but the winters since then have been much snowier in comparison with record cold as well. One thing that remains constant though is the almost constant overcast here in the winter. UGH. Sure there are some sunny days, but I feel like it’s almost always cloudy in the winter which makes it feel sooo much colder.

  3. bgbecky says:

    I didn’t realize just how warm it has been this summer until our local weather man shared this fact with us yesterday…typically Bowling Green has 42 days annually with a temp of 90 or above…so far this year…64!!! That’s quite a big jump over the average number!!!

  4. Jeff Hamlin says:

    Personally, I don’t need cold temps to enjoy chili. 😉

    I know it doesn’t kill off all the mosquitoes, but a hard freeze sounds good right about now.

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