Good Tuesday to one and all. It’s full steam ahead toward a major flip in our weather patter as fall FINALLY takes control of the weather. This transition comes with a very active pattern featuring a major fall cold front and two hurricanes… Michael in the Gulf and Sergio in the Pacific. Wait… What? Yep… A Pacific hurricane may bring rain to Kentucky.

Let’s begin with Hurricane Michael down in the Gulf. This storm has a Wednesday date with the Florida landfall and will likely be a major hurricane as it comes ashore. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

As our cold front rolls in late Wednesday, it’s able to tap some of the offshoot moisture from Michael, enhancing the rain in our region. Later Wednesday night and Thursday morning, southeastern Kentucky may get in on some of the true outer rains from what’s left of Michael…

Locally heavy rains are a good bet across central and eastern Kentucky. Chilly air crashes in from west to east on Thursday with the chill really settling in for Friday. Highs may stay in the 50s for many with the potential for a kiss of frost by¬† Friday or Saturday morning. Lows may reach deep into the 30s…

Saturday is another chilly day with clouds increasing as a weak system rolls by just to our north. That brings us to another very interesting system.

What’s left of Hurricane Sergio out in the Pacific will cross Mexico and into the southwestern US in the next few days. That system may then wind up crossing the Ohio Valley this weekend. The hurricane models are incredible to see…

I’m not really sure the last time I saw Hurricane Models plot the remnants of a Pacific Hurricane all the way into our region.

What’s left of Sergio looks to bring rain our way by Saturday night and Sunday, followed by a VERY cold air mas…

Additional cold shots are likely to follow that and now we have our first medium range model run showing this in two weeks…

The 15 day snow map from the European Ensembles Control run is interesting to look at…

Yes we are just looking at those for fun, but it’s pretty wild to see this showing up so early in the season and an indication of an amazing pattern flip taking place.

I will have another update later today, so check back. Until then, I leave you with your daily dose of scattered storm tracking tools…

Have a great day and take care.