Good Tuesday everyone and welcome to another active severe weather day across the state. Things are getting started off early as a SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH is already out for parts of central and western Kentucky until 6am.
Here is a look at the watch outline and the current warnings…
Track the storms here….
The day is likely to feature a few rounds of strong and severe thunderstorms across much of the region. Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible. This is a very active setup that will carry us into Wednesday and more rounds of severe storms. The potential is there for a MAJOR OUTBREAK of severe storms and tornadoes for parts of our region.
Here is how the Storm Prediction Center sees things for the next few days…
Today’s Severe Storms Outlook
Wednesday Severe Threat
Flooding rains will also continue to be a major problem through Wednesday. Additional rain totals over the next few days should top 5″ in some areas. This is already a dangerous situation in western and northern areas and additional rainfall will only worsen the flooding problems.
Rainfall Since Midnight
I will have updates as needed and will send out quick thoughts and warnings through twitter. Follow me at Kentuckyweather or follow along in the twitter feed on the right side of the blog.
Take care.
Select Page
Can you guys IMAGINE what kind of major drought we will end up having to balance all of this out in the future?
That moderate risk for Wed covers a LOT more of KY than it did earlier in the day. (UGH!!) Yuk!
Chris….. You have GOT to be exhausted from all of this crazy active weather.
Guys. Two tornado warnings west of Lexington @ 4:47 am. The wind has really picked up at my house.
Wind picking up in Frankfort…getting ready for a line of thunderstorms moving in from Shelby County.
Just experienced a VERY brief period of rain and high winds. Many tree limbs down. East Frankfort. Seems to have moved on.
Chris!
That was VERY brief but intense. Made me nervous for a minute. No lightning or thunder whatsoever
It split up before it hit Louisville which is normal. The speed of the line itself was impressive.
Feederband what is this you keep mentioning about storms breaking up over Louisville? I’ve noted just the opposite. Sometimes I’ve notice they strengthen right over town. That morning they had (what was it) seven inches of rain in an hour?
I am beginning to get used to the weather radio going off in the iddle of the night and waking me up. Always seems to be about the same time. Chris, is there a break of any kind coming any time soon? I sure hope so.
We had very heavy rain and lots of wind this morning about 5AM. NO thunder but the wind sure was howling! chris, thanks again for all that you do. IT is appreciated more than you know.
Any snow potential on the horizon?
Can any one get me a link to GFS and NAM 3 day rainfall estimates? Need then before noon, if possible. Thanks in advance.
How serious is the threat for a severe weather outbreak over Eastern Ky? It seems like everything has trended west a bit but I’m not good at looking at the models.
Winds were pretty intense around 4:30. At 5:02 the sirens went off in Cornishville. Storm passed through quickly with not a lot of rain or thunder and lightning, just terrible wind.
It seems the majority of the time the storms weaken before they make it to East Ky. I keep noticing in the NWS discussions they keep mentioning “downsloping” as the reason. I’m not sure what that is but i’m thankful for it because the squall lines typically weaken down by the time they make it here to southeast Ky.
Any idea what Lexington has in store? Especially through tonight? Thanks 🙂
0z NAM: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/00znamp72072.gif
0z GFS:http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfsp72072.gif
Just talked to my dad in TN and they had some weather moving through his area this morning. Said it was rough, but relatively quick with the next session coming in sometime this afternoon. Should get a call to see how bad it was and what to expect.
When I left out this morning, they were pumping water out of Duckers’ Lake in Frankfort. Appears to be a hole in the side of the dam.
Does anyone think we’ll see a high risk issued for tomorrow from the SPC for Kentucky?
We do have our moments but usually the weather subsides prior to reaching the metro compared to the strenght the storms had to our west. The snow lovers call it “the dead zone” because the big snows miss us.
I thought it was NWS policy around here that if SPC issued Moderate Risk or greater, the local WFO would include severe wording in the zone forecast? What happened to that? Not only do we have a Moderate Risk for tomorrow, but it’s a high-end Moderate Risk at that.
WXman, what is it looking like for the area around morehead-ashland?
Thank you Shane.
While you will still see storms, right not it looks like the higher chances for tornadoes will be southwest of you. That doesn’t mean you are in the clear, just that you don’t have as much of a shot at a twister as, say, Bowling Green.
Chris,
Can you speak to the NWS issuing a “Greatest Threat” outlook today? I understand that doesn’t happen often. Could that be a possible category change for KY tomorrow?
Thanks for the hard work and hope you are recovering from your cold!
Have you checked out the TorCon index from The Weather Channel? It looks as though Eastern Ky can very well get in on some rough storms and I am wondering if this index will prove correct. Oh well, its interesting at best and you should check it out 🙂
Looks like Stroms are taking shape West and South of Lex and Tornado Vortex near Bardstown Be SAFE EVERYone and leave weather radios in ALERT mode over night