Heavy Rain and Storms Set To Return

Good Thursday everyone. Have you enjoyed the small break from the storms and heavy rains? If not… you are outta luck as the the dynamic duo is set to return tonight into Friday. As a matter of fact… the threat for flooding rains and some severe storms is on the increase.

The NWS folks are busy surveying storm damage across the state from the Tuesday night storms. 4 tornadoes have been confirmed so far…

EF-1 Scott County

EF-1 Oldham County

EF-1 Simpson County

EF-0 Franklin County

The same front that caused all the severe weather will be returning northward as a warm front tonight and Friday. This will bring showers and thunderstorms back into the weather picture. Some of these may get going today across our southern counties and you can track the drops here…

Rain and storms will really increase tonight into Friday as we set the stage for significant rain totals for many areas… especially across the northern half of the state. Here is the area of greatest concern…

Some of these storms may be on the strong side with the highest threat for severe storms being across parts of central and western Kentucky as unstable air surges in. Here is the latest severe storms outlook for Friday from the Storm Prediction Center…

Our Easter Weekend will feature the threat for on and off showers and strong thunderstorms. We will continue to watch the potential for heavy rains and flooding. Warm air will rule with high 70s and low 80s for afternoon temps looking likely.

The pattern remains the same into early next week and may even ramp up a bit as another big storm develops across the plains. This has the looks of another big ticket severe weather event from the plains into the Ohio Valley and may actually be a multi day threat…

The word Amazing doesn’t do this pattern justice as it is smashing severe weather records left and right. Just think… we aren’t to the heart of the severe storms season yet!

I will have updates as needed so check back. Have a great Thursday and take care.

16 Comments

Shawon on April 21, 2011 at 12:36 pm

“Just think… we aren’t to the heart of the severe storms season yet!”

I haven’t looked at any data, but I tend to think that anymore the severe weather season seems to cut off sometime in May and that all we generally get the rest of the spring/summer are just garden-variety thunderstorms. These things do tend to run in cycles, but the days of our severe weather season being April/May/June seem to be a thing of the past.

WXman on April 21, 2011 at 2:29 pm

Actually, I was thinking the same thing as Chris. May is typically the biggest month of the year for severe…both in the Plains and the Ohio Valley. We traditionally get more watches and warnings in May than any other month I believe.

Shawon on April 21, 2011 at 3:24 pm

I will give you that last May was definitely stormy. I seem to recall that was when we decided the SPC had totally lost their minds. Seems like they have had their act together thus far this year.

Stormchaser Shawn on April 21, 2011 at 5:20 pm

I drove through the Frankfort tornado area twice at about the time of the tornado. On the return trip, there were trees down in the road in two places, and I called the FPD about them. I’m not sure, but I think the tornado hit in between my two trips. They were only about 15-20 minutes apart, but it’s possible it could have happened just before my first trip. I took a slightly different route on the way back, and could have just not seen the trees the first time. Anyway, it was exciting. It was odd though; it wasn’t really all that windy/stormy when it happened. Woohoo, I’m a stormchaser and didn’t even know it.

MS on April 21, 2011 at 6:02 pm

At the rate we’re going, Kentucky could challenge the all-time record for tornadoes in the month of April.
I believe the record is 29, set in 1974.

The NWS survey crews have been adding to our totals lately. I’m sure we’re in the double-digits by now and more severe weather expected soon.

MS on April 21, 2011 at 6:24 pm

I know NWS survey crews are still out, but I think the total confirmed tornadoes in KY for this month is 16.

There were 11 earlier this month and at least 5 have been added during the past storm system.

tornadolarkin on April 21, 2011 at 7:39 pm

SPC says 35….

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/2011_annual_summary.html
its under state tabulation.

MJ on April 21, 2011 at 8:12 pm

Yes, late April into May is our climatological peak for severe weather. It starts to tail off through the month of June…well during “normal” years. That may not be the case this year…but we’ll see.

Ryan on April 21, 2011 at 8:14 pm

Looks like yet another softball tournament will be rained out this weekend. This time it is supposed to be in Boyd County. Next weekend Collins High School is hosting a softball tournament so there will probably be massive flooding or some other crazy weather even that will cause it to be canceled. They can’t seem to get any games in this year.

LD on April 21, 2011 at 9:46 pm

If you do happen to be filming a tornado, at least *try* to sound excited. CBS should hire this guy to do golf play-by-play.

http://www.wral.com/weather/story/9466534/

MS on April 21, 2011 at 10:17 pm

I believe those are preliminary reports, not actual. There’s typically a drag time of about 2-3 months or so before actual verification is tabulated. See for example
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/newm.html

valiejev on May 5, 2011 at 9:18 am

Really interesting topic raised

rattan bedroom furniture on May 10, 2011 at 1:34 pm

I think the tornado hit in between my two trips.

Survey Mastermind on May 11, 2011 at 3:40 am

Have you enjoyed the small break from the storms and heavy rains?

nnsadjwewey on June 14, 2011 at 6:09 pm

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solar energy systems for homes on June 15, 2011 at 5:10 pm

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Shawon on April 21, 2011 at 12:36 pm
“Just think… we aren’t to the heart of the severe storms season yet!”
I haven’t looked at any data, but I tend to think that anymore the severe weather season seems to cut off sometime in May and that all we generally get the rest of the spring/summer are just garden-variety thunderstorms. These things do tend to run in cycles, but the days of our severe weather season being April/May/June seem to be a thing of the past.
WXman on April 21, 2011 at 2:29 pm
Actually, I was thinking the same thing as Chris. May is typically the biggest month of the year for severe…both in the Plains and the Ohio Valley. We traditionally get more watches and warnings in May than any other month I believe.
Shawon on April 21, 2011 at 3:24 pm
I will give you that last May was definitely stormy. I seem to recall that was when we decided the SPC had totally lost their minds. Seems like they have had their act together thus far this year.
Stormchaser Shawn on April 21, 2011 at 5:20 pm
I drove through the Frankfort tornado area twice at about the time of the tornado. On the return trip, there were trees down in the road in two places, and I called the FPD about them. I’m not sure, but I think the tornado hit in between my two trips. They were only about 15-20 minutes apart, but it’s possible it could have happened just before my first trip. I took a slightly different route on the way back, and could have just not seen the trees the first time. Anyway, it was exciting. It was odd though; it wasn’t really all that windy/stormy when it happened. Woohoo, I’m a stormchaser and didn’t even know it.
MS on April 21, 2011 at 6:02 pm
At the rate we’re going, Kentucky could challenge the all-time record for tornadoes in the month of April.
I believe the record is 29, set in 1974.
The NWS survey crews have been adding to our totals lately. I’m sure we’re in the double-digits by now and more severe weather expected soon.
MS on April 21, 2011 at 6:24 pm
I know NWS survey crews are still out, but I think the total confirmed tornadoes in KY for this month is 16.
There were 11 earlier this month and at least 5 have been added during the past storm system.
tornadolarkin on April 21, 2011 at 7:39 pm
SPC says 35….
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/2011_annual_summary.html
its under state tabulation.
MJ on April 21, 2011 at 8:12 pm
Yes, late April into May is our climatological peak for severe weather. It starts to tail off through the month of June…well during “normal” years. That may not be the case this year…but we’ll see.
Ryan on April 21, 2011 at 8:14 pm
Looks like yet another softball tournament will be rained out this weekend. This time it is supposed to be in Boyd County. Next weekend Collins High School is hosting a softball tournament so there will probably be massive flooding or some other crazy weather even that will cause it to be canceled. They can’t seem to get any games in this year.
LD on April 21, 2011 at 9:46 pm
If you do happen to be filming a tornado, at least *try* to sound excited. CBS should hire this guy to do golf play-by-play.
http://www.wral.com/weather/story/9466534/
MS on April 21, 2011 at 10:17 pm
I believe those are preliminary reports, not actual. There’s typically a drag time of about 2-3 months or so before actual verification is tabulated. See for example
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/newm.html
valiejev on May 5, 2011 at 9:18 am
Really interesting topic raised
rattan bedroom furniture on May 10, 2011 at 1:34 pm
I think the tornado hit in between my two trips.
Survey Mastermind on May 11, 2011 at 3:40 am
Have you enjoyed the small break from the storms and heavy rains?
nnsadjwewey on June 14, 2011 at 6:09 pm
wrq ng bejvp
solar energy systems for homes on June 15, 2011 at 5:10 pm
nn new jersey turnpike tolls

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