Good afternoon, folks. Cold winds are blowing across the state, leading to a few flurries and snow showers for parts of the region. From here, it’s all eyes on a developing winter storm taking aim at Kentucky this weekend.
Let me begin with the cold of today and roll ahead. Temps hang in the low 30s with wind chills closer to 20 at times. A few flurries or snow showers are flying in the north and east…
Wind chills tonight drop to around 10 degrees. B to the RR.
My overall thoughts for the upcoming storm haven’t really changed much at all. Some fresh thoughts:
- The timeline on this winter storm is Friday night through Sunday night.
- The track of the low is pretty much west to east across the southern states, then it tries to turn the corner up the coast.
- This low will have an inverted trough into the lower Ohio Valley. That funnels moisture into the cold air, producing accumulating snow for many.
- The first wave of snow moves across the state Friday night into early Saturday. That will put down accumulating snow statewide.
- The southern half of the state will see this switch to a rain/snow mix or plain rain for a time on Saturday and Saturday night.
- All of this should go back over to snow and light snow on Sunday.
- For areas getting in on all snow for the duration of the event, several inches of snow will be likely.
- An upgrade is likely in the next update.
I’m not going to make changes just yet to the current map I have out…
I will have a brand new map on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will update that on KWC this evening.
In terms of the models, they are a little colder than earlier runs. Here’s the GFS…
The Canadian has a similar look…
Again, I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and another update here this evening. Make it a good one and take care.
No more complaining and probably my last post until this model circus is over for this weekend mess, I will cheer for the usual I-64 areas that get more snow in KY. I hope you all get a decent snow not ruined by the temps and a lot of mix. Of course, this would be a power outage threat, especially north of Lexington.
At least we had a dry stretch in SE KY which will keep the flood threat low as WPC is now over an inch of rain in far SE KY now for this storm system.
Those who cash in, ENJOY!
Looks like I will be equaling the monthly total so far for rain this weekend.
For all you armchairs out there, it’s creeping north, you may nail another one
Aren’t you a armchair?
No training here, so yes, guess so
Well, CB hasn’t done a Threat Mode yet, so just sayin’.
He did say an upgrade is likely in the next update, though.
Looks like the snow line has creep down south a little compare to this morning runs he show on this morning post. Just my opinion I really don’t think Chris or the mets will get a handle on this tell tomorrow afternoon. Have a good day!
Chris is only showing the ones that have snow for kentucky. What about the rest of the models the gfs has been horrible the nam bu far has been m7ch better this winter why not show that one ?
NAM has snow for KY as well, I think all models are in general agreement at this point, just a difference in where the heavier bands set up and how much. But, still a lot of time for things to change. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017030818&fh=84&xpos=0&ypos=621
Someone is a hater
Lotsasnow, If I’m correct you mention you live in southern Ohio so why you complaining what Chris shows. Another thing he said don’t take these models for granted its not a set stone.
Cherry picking FTW!
Actually, the GFS is the only model that was remotely accurate for the epic bust that was the early December storm for southern KY. The GFS showed very little accumulation while ALL the others were spiting out anywhere between 12″ to 17″. Just sayin…
Thanks Chris. Well it’s still early but I can say that it will do whatever it does no matter what we think or say. And Chris shows what he hunks will happen on here. So I will go with whatever he says.
Tony Cavalier forecasts almost all rain event a la European…
Still moving north
What model are you talking about that’s going more north?
Hes just a hater
Duh…. The Lotsasnow model
What did CB say about the storm on air? Been busy, couldn’t watch.
Suppose to be sunny with high near 80
Got the funny guy back on board! Whines when people try to crack jokes with him; because, “no one likes a hater”. Right prelude? Not even gonna say much to you because I don’t want you to login to your other usernames and make posts supporting your argument, all from the same IP address. Lol
Enjoy the 80 degree weather. Maybe you can get out and live a little!!
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Prelude, is that you??
Prelude, it is interesting that you sit around all day waiting for me to post, so you can respond for attention! As a courtesy, I wanted to throw you another post so you can get some more enjoyment! Tune in folks!!
Drew, I gotta hand it to ya’! 🙂 At least you don’t come here and ridicule certain posters for their opinions (i.e. Shroeder…etc) and I’ve not seen you post a semi-quoted forecast from your local met, nor tried to be witty by plagiarizing an oft-used-lately meme.
🙂
Snow to rain to snow Oh my!
Chris mentions several inches in his post..Don’t know how much several inches is but sure some will take it..Probably not to big of a deal..Still a very strong signal showing up around the 20th and the 25th for the East..So far EKY has been missed to the south(what a heart breaker) and now its looks like to the north..So if the signal is still there and a big snow happens in the time frame i mentioned i’m sure the East coast will get clobbered while we get the dreaded backside flurries..Just the way we roll in the mountains..
One thing we NEVER miss in E KY and SE KY….flooding rains!
TRUTH!
Right now, we are only in the 1 to 2 inch rain projection. A set-up like this favors us for heavy rain, however, have to be on guard for more possible!
Good thing we got a week to dry out!
In the Frankfort area less than an inch so far this winter, extreme east KY has had more for sure, pretty sure west Ky has had more also.
So far these storms are just nipping at the corners of the state?