Good Wednesday to one and all. What a Tuesday we are coming off of as heavy rains caused serious flooding across much of central and eastern Kentucky. 24 hour rain totals were in the 2″-4″ range for many areas and that was more than enough to cause high water concerns.

Our active spring pattern rolls on and we take a look at the next system to impact our region. A lot of people are asking about the upcoming summer and we take a sneak peak into what may be ahead of us.

In the short term… we have some nice weather for a few days. Sunshine returns today as temps warm well into the 60s with low 70s in the far west. Thursday looks to be the best day of the week with readings in the 70s with mainly sunny skies.

The week is likely to end on a booming note as another powerhouse low cranks up across the plains states and heads toward the Great Lakes. This one looks to be another big time severe weather maker for a lot of folks and this should include our region. The best time for strong or severe storms around here will be late Friday into Friday night. Heavy rains and gusty winds will also be likely with this big low. Check out how impressive this is being modeled…

European Model Ensembles



That has a classic look to it and we will need to be on guard once again.

As the low and cold front sweeps across the region on Saturday… a quick shot of chill will move in. The models are showing this to push through here much faster and our Sunday may end up being a pretty decent day to end the weekend.

I am already watching the middle and end of next week as the pattern is ripe for a prolonged heavy rain and severe weather event setting up in our general vicinity.

If you are looking long term toward late spring and summer… we have a little nugget for you in the form of a seasonal computer forecast model. This is only one model and doesn’t have a great track record… but it does have a lot of friends showing something similar. A lot of the analogs I am looking at are also leaning in the same general direction. The model is known as the CFS…

Temp Forecast



Rainfall Forecast


If you are wondering… that model shows a cooler than normal summer with ample rainfall. I can’t really argue with what the model is showing as several analog years are showing the same thing. We will be talking more about the summer forecast in the weeks to come.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.