Good Wednesday, everyone. While we are enjoying another awesome weather day, a colder pattern is lurking as we get ready to flip from February into March. This colder pattern is going to try to begin with a storm system rolling through here over the weekend.

As always, let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs today will be in the 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. #teamspring is loving life!

A weak system rolls across the region on Thursday as temps come back down. That’s mainly a light shower maker, but this isn’t going to be a big system by any means. Some of us may not see much of anything coming from the skies.

We have a cold front working in here by late Friday into early Saturday. How far south that front gets will be the determining factor to what happens with the storm system coming behind it for Sunday. The track of that low will dictate what kind of weather you get outside your house.

Your three options:

  • The cold is so impressive that it pushes the track too far south to bring much of anything to Kentucky.
  • The cold is less impressive so we get a storm track right on top of the state, bringing more of a rain threat than anything else.
  • The cold is just right and allows for a storm track across the Tennessee Valley, bringing a swath of accumulating snow to the state.

As the President of #teamspring, none of those options sound particularly appealing.

The European Model and Canadian Models had been most consistent with showing a winter weather maker, but both took the rain train to work last night…

Euro

Canadian

The GFS still doesn’t really know what the heck to do…

The new GFS went the winter weather and snow route…

The Icon is similar…

The models should shake out and come into better agreement over the next 24 hours. Regardless of how this system pans out, next week is frigid… Frigid I say!

I will have updates later today, so y ‘all come back now, ya hear?

Have a good one and take care.