Good afternoon, everyone. It’s all eyes on the increasing potential or a winter weather system to impact our region for the weekend. This is a system that will roll our way from Saturday night through Sunday night and has the potential to put down accumulating snow for some of us.
I mentioned earlier that we should see the models converging soon on a track and the morning runs did just that. Of course, I expect them to deviate a few times over the next few days, but the general theme of the forecast should remain intact.
The GFS went from having no storm to having the biggest winter weather hit of the bunch…
The new version of the GFS is similar…
The Canadian took the rain train to work last night, but got a different ride home…
The ICON is also targeting the region with a healthy swath of snow…
The air coming in behind this system is absolutely frigid and is of arctic origin. If we can put snow on the ground, look out!! Check out the actual low temps early next week…
Wind chill numbers from the same time…
I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and here on KWC later this evening. Have a good one and take care.
Haha
WPC is starting to show well over an inch of rain equivalent for my far SE KY area. Hope a little at least is snow but not likely. We dont need that much rain down here!
Hate to say it Terry but you and I as well as others in our region know this will be a near 100% rain/backside flurry event for us.
The models moved the system 100-150 miles north between the 6Z and 18Z runs. Seems that cold is stalling and likely will stall more as it has all winter. Looks like a cold rain coming to me.
I totally agree. Cold will come but it will be late and dry. It will also get pushed out after about 2 days.
Bingo! #Trends
Maybe by what would seem a near miracle anymore, we actually get some decent lake effect snow showers behind the arctic front around Monday night/Tuesday next weej. It looks too WNW at this time but maybe a true NW to NNW wind will set up briefly next week to bring snow showers. Without that little lake effect back in late November, Harlan would be near 0 instead of 3 inches on the season. I lucked up with those snow squalls back in late fall!
The lake effect/northwest flow has been weaker and practically nonexistent for about 5 years. I wouldn’t put any faith in the NW flow as far as snow accumulation is concerned.
BOOOOOOO
Well, well … Rodger will get excited about snow if the maps show this Saturday morning. There’s just way too much model waffling this far away – a bit surprised Mr Bailey thinks the models are converging on a solution this far out. Rodger in Dodger
Rodger Dodger, I have a some swamp land in Florida I’d like to sell you! 🙂
Just about could sell swamp land in SE KY…lol.
To all the snow lovers who have been burnt time after time this year by the models, I feel your pain! But remember the great Andy Dufresne once said ” Hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things, and no good thing ever dies”. So don’t loose hope!!!!
RIGHT ON GOOD COMMENT !
CB is always talking about how the trends matter..
The trend for my neck of the woods in NE KY, throughout the last couple years, would be for this system to either give me nothing but a cold rain..maybe a slight glaze over with ice, and some flurries on the back side………or to be overpowered by the cold and pushed south.
I’m sure the dynamics of this are different than past storms..but I also heard this phrase for past storms as well….
Personally, I hope we don’t get any snow. I’m all aboard #teamspring
If trends matter, we should be already calling this one a bust 😉 Rimshot!
Bust
Don’t let this post distract you from the fact the Euro is warmer/wetter/and likely more correct than any other model at this point.
Agreed.
Don’t think anyone is distracted, we know what’s coming haha
I think we will have a block buster of a snowstorm and more down the road. The pattern in the upper levels is currently showing a developing trough in the center of our nation that will extend well into the great state of Texas. A blocking high is also developing in the Pacific and the Atlantic.
We might get a hit but I really think the bigher story will be the rain train returning after next week and may pose huge concerns for us going through spring.
*bigger*
Looking like a significant snow to me, as well. Maybe nothing that will make national news outlets, but a considerable snowfall for this time of year nonetheless. We shall see. I could be wrong. Normally, I am. LOL! Just feels different out there today, warmth or not.
The overall upper air pattern is finally changing to favor winter weather events in the Ohio Valley.
Schroeds, if Rodger Dodger does not want buy my swamp land, you have next dibs 🙂 😉
No thanks I HATE the river bottoms ! Now if you had land with a trout stream in the high mountains I would take you up on the offer.
As per this winter if you really want to call it that, It will be 99.9% rain ( Which we don’t need ) With maybe a few snowflakes at the end, Then the well if it was 50 miles farther south, blah blah blah… The cold will be the bigger picture and it’s looking down right frigid!
Well, CB using the word “regional” does not exactly build confidence 🙂
All BubbaG think possitive #teamsnowstorm